Nevada has gone Democratic the last 4 presidential elections, it has 2 Democratic Senators and a Democratic legislature, and up until 2 years ago, a Democratic Governor as well.
So how was it ever not in play?
2024 U.S. Elections | Trump wins
- Thread starter Raoul
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Nevada has gone Democratic the last 4 presidential elections, it has 2 Democratic Senators and a Democratic legislature, and up until 2 years ago, a Democratic Governor as well.
So how was it ever not in play?
I know, but I seem to recall the polls have been pretty iffy up until recently? Personally I had written it off. If Harris can nab both Nevada and GA (and everything else is as expected) she can even do without PA.
It was Biden who was polling badly there, and tbh he was polling badly everywhere.
Harris is up 1.2 pts in the NV RCP average, it’s one of her stronger states.
Polls are pretty even in NV. Harris is up by two in the last one, and Trump was up by 1 in the two preceding ones. Its as close as any state can get at the moment, which means whoever gets better turnout will win it. Its certainly not a state Harris should rely on in lieu of winning the rust belt.
She is swimming in money, with how close the Rust Belt states have gone the last couple of elections, it’s a very real possibility that they won’t always go together this time (as Ohio goes, so goes the nation etc….), so it’s important to widen your paths especially when you have the resources. NV + NC and she can afford to lose all of GA, AZ, PA. It’s certainly better than the Rust Belt or bust Biden was relying on.
It’s a good thing Biden is no longer running then.
Yes, I wasn't suggesting she shouldn't compete in NV. It just one of four states that may help her if she loses PA. But that's a backup strategy since she should first and foremost attempt to win the rust belt, which with NE2 would be enough. If she wins any of NC, GA, AZ, or NV, then all the better.
When the only person people are trying to assassinate is you, maybe it's time to ask yourself, am I the problem?
Trump using the title Comrade is... revealing. He's also telling people to go back to their own counties, so clearly he's thinking of moving back to Queens.
Also, both people who shot at him were white Americans with Conservative views. So... mass deportation to Europe?
Attacks others for spreading lies, fear and misinformation before then himself spreading lies, fear and misinformation ALL IN CAPS!
Sounds true to form. Standard.
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/sep/16/ryan-wesley-routh-trump-golf-shooting
The only thing that explains the bizarreness of the suspect's views is the last line.
The only thing that explains the bizarreness of the suspect's views is the last line.
Just played that in class today. <3or, as his favorite pop star might say:
Uh oh, are you MAGA parents going to take that insult to dear leader?
I wish
@Carolina Red I hope you reinforced her continued support for Trans and the wider LGBTQ+ community too. She's an angel.or, as his favorite pop star might say:
Please don't. We have enough problems of our own.
I never had classes at school where the teacher played popular music!
I hope you had parental consent!
And another reminder he said at a rally last week in his first week in office he will roll back any gun law changes or restrictions Biden has made since he has been President.
Still, it’s the headline.
I couldn’t find who they endorsed previously. Did they say?
I couldn’t find who they endorsed previously. Did they say?
I don't think any readers will switch their votes over such an endorsement. What it will do is add to a list of growing endorsements Harris is picking up, which could collectively help her in some way.
Just released. Pretty much more in the same.
Offff!
I’m imagining how election night would look like if this is indeed the margin in PA and other states.
Is that the correct one? Other sources says Harris +3, but is it third parties vs none, perhaps?
Yep, pretty sure its a 3 point lead.
Maybe one is head to head and the other is with all the others ? I noticed the one you posted also has 5% at undecided.
Anyway, its been taking some time, but perhaps finally, more high-rated polling from battleground states will be done, or is under way now.
It seems like all of these big pollster mostly just wanna do national polling these days, which is not really what we want to be looking at.
It seems like all of these big pollster mostly just wanna do national polling these days, which is not really what we want to be looking at.
Agreed. The hope is we see a lot more battleground state polls now that the debate is done and there aren't any other big events scheduled.
To what extent does favorability matter?
Harris around zero, Trump is around -10, Hillary was not as disliked as Trump, but she wasn't far off his ratings either, solid in the negatives, i can't find the numbers, but i think Biden had positive approvals leading up to 2020 election.
Can the cult and the EC alone carry you, when you are trailing your opponent by 10% in approvals?
Harris around zero, Trump is around -10, Hillary was not as disliked as Trump, but she wasn't far off his ratings either, solid in the negatives, i can't find the numbers, but i think Biden had positive approvals leading up to 2020 election.
Can the cult and the EC alone carry you, when you are trailing your opponent by 10% in approvals?
I am don't know anything on how is counted but could it be very simplified
------------------------------ Harris----------------Trump
1,000,000 ---Approve 100%------Approve 0% -------Will end voting Harris
1,000,000 ---Approve 20%--------Approve 100% ---Will end voting Trump
You have a 10% more approval of Harris but 50/50 votes
But again, I dont know how the approval and disapproval numbers works
In 2020 PA was Biden 4.7% (538) vs 1.2 (Election night). Current averaging Harris 0.7%. Hopefully the new polls after the debate are like this last one to have a bit more margin. Looking towards a toss up with the margin of error
The same old debate, you, and most others, believe this election is like 2020, and Trump will be underestimated by a rather big margin, i simply don't.
I believe 2022 is more representative, dems being underestimated this time around, but, i don't have the energy to go through this again.