2024 U.S. Elections | Trump v Harris

Mike Smalling said:
Kind of a side point, but this idea of openly advertising your political position is so strange to me. I couldn't imagine decorating my home with a political sign or wearing an item of clothing indicating who I'm going to vote for.
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Same here, it's weird to me, but compared to 2016 and 2020 the number of signs around is tiny this election in comparison
 
Wing Attack Plan R said:

Nationally, Harris leads Trump by between 19 and 29 points among those who say they’ve already voted, which is more than Hillary Clinton in 2016.​

The election, of course, is decided in the swing states. But there, the polls suggest Harris is also banking a sizable advantage heading into Election Day.

Polls from Marist, CNN, Fox News and USA Today-Suffolk University show that her leads among those who say they’ve already cast ballots look like this:
  • Arizona: 9-12 points
  • Georgia: 7-10 points
  • Michigan: 26-39 points
  • North Carolina: 2-6 points
  • Pennsylvania: 17-35 points
  • Wisconsin: 22-60 points

https://www.washingtonpost.com/poli...s-with-big-early-vote-lead-despite-gop-gains/
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Election day will of course decide a lot, but North Carolina looks like will be quite the tough task to win.

Wisconsin continues being Wisconsin, 38 point range is the best they could find there?
 
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Question. when a state loses or gains electoral votes? has to do with % on state population/federal?
 
4bars said:
Question. when a state loses or gains electoral votes? has to do with % on state population/federal?
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The U.S. conducts the Decennial Census every 10 years (2020 was the last one) and they use that population to redistrict congressional seats, based on the percent of population the state has compared to the nation. If a state gains enough population they can get a new congressional seats at the expense of another state who loses population.
 
Ole'sgunnarwin said:
Can anyone explain to me why 50% of Americans would vote trump but it seems like less than 5% on here would. Is it an American mentality? Are there people who'd vote for Trump on this website who aren't participating in the thread? Would most Europeans not go near Trump? Genuinely curious
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I haven’t posted here in a long time but I do lurk here occasionally. I voted for Trump in 2020 and 2024, and I would say between everyone I know the split between Harris and Trump voters is pretty much 50-50, same as the outcome of this election imo.
 
Giggs86 said:
I haven’t posted here in a long time but I do lurk here occasionally. I voted for Trump in 2020 and 2024, and I would say between everyone I know the split between Harris and Trump voters is pretty much 50-50, same as the outcome of this election imo.
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Could we ask, why?
 
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Was with the kids doing trick or treat. From distance, I saw a sparkling U.S. flag. “Cool” I said. Then I got a little closer. The U.S. flag became “TRUMP 2024”. My mood completely changed.

There were also few flags of another country. Could you guess which one?
 
ManUtd1999 said:
Was with the kids doing trick or treat. From distance, I saw a sparkling U.S. flag. “Cool” I said. Then I got a little closer. The U.S. flag became “TRUMP 2024”. My mood completely changed.

There were also few flags of another country. Could you guess which one?
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Russia?
 
The number of Trump supporters I’ve seen this evening in North NJ is crazy.

People were even giving out Halloween candy in small packets with Trump 2024 stickers on them.

Is this a sign of things to come?
 
iKnowNothing said:
The number of Trump supporters I’ve seen this evening in North NJ is crazy.

People were even giving out Halloween candy in small packets with Trump 2024 stickers on them.

Is this a sign of things to come?
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In 2020, I saw many Trump voters gathering in Washington DC…

Trump voters assemble in a way like no other, but it doesn’t necessarily indicate big support. In my zip code, Harris will get 80-85% of the vote. Guess what, you will see more visible Trump supporters than their real weight.

MarylandMUFan said:
Israel.
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Yes.

That was the most visible house in area that Harris will win 4-1 or better. Unbelievable!

By the way, I barely saw Harris signs. And, if so, they were small yard signs.

Trump is a religion for people.
 
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Wilt said:
Bookmakers have Trump odds on favourite ….Harris 6/4
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Betting markets are moved by people laying bets. The demographic that gambles most are white males which is Trump's core demographic. A lot of influence is coming from Polymarket, where Trump has been the heavy favorite for the past few weeks after someone bet 10s of millions. There is speculation who that was (Peter Thiel) as this election has brought a ton of attention to that platform.

The betting markets for politics are based on feels, not facts, especially when the polls are so tight.
 
ManUtd1999 said:
In 2020, I saw many Trump voters gathering in Washington DC…

Trump voters assemble in a way like no other, but it doesn’t necessarily indicate big support. In my zip code, Harris will get 80-85% of the vote. Guess what, you will see more visible Trump supporters than their real weight.


Yes.

That was the most visible house in area that Harris will win 4-1 or better. Unbelievable!
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In God loving rural Eastern shore Maryland, there are a few Israel flags and a crap ton of Trump flags. It's gross.
 
MarylandMUFan said:
In God loving rural Eastern shore Maryland, there are a few Israel flags and a crap ton of Trump flags. It's gross.
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I was in Ocean City few weeks ago. Seeing all-things-Trump everywhere we went just made the experience less enjoyable than it should be. He was everywhere.

In Howard County ( at least 70% blue), in PG county (90% blue) and Montgomery County (80%), you won’t see a fraction of signs for Harris than the signs of Trump in Ocean City and the surrounding areas.
 
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