2024 U.S. Elections | Trump v Harris

That’s always been the case though? I don’t think we have been expecting much from the Sun Belt. MI/GA, WI and PA or bust.
Wasn't expecting such a big GOP lead with the excellent GOTV operation the Dems have there but whatever. The rust belt numbers look decent for now at least.
 








You bedwetters are getting strung along as usual, Ralston is good, but hes also an attention whore. Stop torturing yourself with the day to day update and just look at final result at end of early voting.

Context: Republicans won EIP in 2022 by 7 pts.
 
How are these numbers crunched that are posted in the Tweet above? How do they come up with 45% for Dems, 56% for GOP etc? They can’t be officially confirmed numbers. So it just based on some kind of “survey”?
 
How are these numbers crunched that are posted in the Tweet above? How do they come up with 45% for Dems, 56% for GOP etc? They can’t be officially confirmed numbers. So it just based on some kind of “survey”?
They have access to the state voter files database by registration, you then match that with the result once they came in. Nov 9 2022 when the tweet was written was day of election.