2024 U.S. Elections | Thread Closed

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Kornacki is good and I want to watch him but McCaskill is such an evil loser freak. Go away witch!
Kornacki cam on YouTube. Just him and then blissful silence between his segments.
 
aye you'd expect her to win but the fact that a 92-8 (the percentage of polling agg given to her) is now 50-50 with 70% of votes in is indicative of the entire election. Whether he wins or loses that state. It would be like Trump losing Florida. I didnt see a single pollster of any affiliation predicting this.
Literally no state was quoted for to win with that big a margin. Biden won 60-40. She might win 55-45.
 
Literally no state was quoted for to win with that big a margin. Biden won 60-40. She might win 55-45.
I'm talking about 538 simulations which have been pretty accurate with this one exception so far. It was >90 (wins 90 out of a 100 based on x percent polling leads). I.e., from those simulations I made a map which is basically exactly what is now happening with VA being the only outlier.
 
So, is he going all out for revenge and going to start rounding up judges, democrats and prosecutors?
 
So bizarre that his vote percentage has increased when just four years ago he attempted to destroy American democracy and steal an Election.
That is a left wing communist thought process. There was no attempt to steal or commit a terrorist style attack. That's what they believe.

So no surprise there.
 
I think GA and NC will go Trump. It's those three upper midwest that make the difference. I did just hear a VA update that seemed surprising but without knowing which areas are reporting hard to really tell if it means much.
VA will go for Harris, Arlington and Fairfax are big Dem areas
 
I'm so suspicious of any of these metrics at this time. A lot of people are making some serious speculation money feeding off the madness of it all. Look at what Bitcoin is doing right now.
 
Another reminder that people don't just vote on policy. They also vote on tribal identity and emotion.
I think that people have focused so much on the later with Trump to the neglect of the former. The cult of personality isn’t the only thing that has him in this position. His positions on the economy, immigration and foreign policy (i.e. his rhetoric on stopping these endless wars that America’s involved in) are very popular with voters.
 
I'm talking about 538 simulations which have been pretty accurate with this one exception so far. It was >90 (wins 90 out of a 100 based on x percent polling leads). I.e., from those simulations I made a map which is basically exactly what is now happening with VA being the only outlier.
She just took the lead again in VA. Dems will take that state. Votes in Fairfax and Arlington still needs to come in.
 
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Their only hope now is that he continues his track record of not following through on anything.

Last time he wasn't prepared, this time he will be, and the SCOTUS has basically declared the president king, so...
 
Looking like my cheeky £50 Trump battleground sweep bet at 8-1 gonna pay out. I always hedge my preferred election result. This is by far the least happy I've been.
 
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