2024 U.S. Elections | Thread Closed

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calodo2003 said:
Any hard data on the makeup of the bettors?
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what they are doing is highly illegal so the chances of that are slim to none I'd say.. they got in trouble for paying US based influencers though

they could (maybe should) be shut down eventually.. they are breaking all kinds of laws
 
Chesterlestreet said:
The odds are (obviously) influenced by betting activity. One person could hugely influence the odds by placing an insane amount on X. And so forth.

Still - it's debatable how much this actually matters.

If a potential Trump voter looks at the odds - and sees that his man is likely to win, is he (the potential voter) more or less likely to vote?

But in general - yes, I absolutely agree. Betting on elections shouldn't be allowed. It's not feckin' entertainment.
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This is basically a match day thread. The election is pretty much team sports for a large portion of the audience.
 
Best case scenario
  • Harris wins
  • Trump goes to jail
  • Trump makes a bid for the 2029 nomination from jail and secures it for the fourth time.
 
RDCR07 said:
There is really no point in talking/arguing with his supporters, at least from my experience. They make absolutely no sense whatsoever so I let them be and exercise their right to vote for whoever they want.
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I'm not even sure this guy likes Trump. He was very quiet 4 years ago but came out with the same shite in 2016 about Hilary. I reckon he's just your bog standard misogynist but too afraid of his wife to be open about it.
 
Well… I went to bed to get 5 hours of shitty sleep expecting to wake up to a shit tonne of the usual pessimistic caf messaging but it actually seems pretty optimistic in here which I think is a good sign.

Big turnout favours the dems and if it’s young white educated men voting for Harris… I think on top of the female vote she will back this one in more than comfortably. The polls aren’t underestimating Trump… they’re arguably over estimating him.

I’m not ok or ready for this shit due to the consequences of that fecking muppet getting in power but… here we go!
 
May the best candidate win. It's been a nice friendly rivalry with cool level heads. It was nice to see so much respect from each side, and I'm sure once the decision is announced, we can all move forward as one big happy family.
 
InfiniteBoredom said:


Turns out outsourcing GOTV operation to grifting dipshits wasn't a good idea after all.
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What I find quite remarkable is that this was a genuinely winnable election for Trump but his campaign seemed to just wing it. The Democrats looked better organized.
 
Make This Thread Great Again.

When will we see the first results?
 
SirAF said:
How is it significant in terms of predicting the winner when a bunch of foreign "whales" are betting big on Trump which makes the market move? They do not have any more perfect information than you and I do.
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if your point is it isn't that significant then I'd find it hard to disagree. I just disagree is has zero significance, that's all.

anyway I feel I'm derailing the thread with a boring topic? Apologies Sir

I was a full-time pro-gambler for over a decade but my brain is kinda fried nowadays and if people disagree with my thoughts on betting markets then I'm certainly open to being wrong
 
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