2016 US Presidential Elections | Trump Wins

[Rolandofgilead]

I did it before just in case.

This.

 

[bleezy]

Kay Burley has fecked off to go ice skating.

 

[RoadTrip]

Jesus even NH is close. RIDICULOUS.

 

[cyberman]

how is anyone supposed to have a wank tonight after this??

Wanking while filled with self hate and crying is quite an experience

 

[adexkola]

And he knows it:

Heh.

 

[17 Van der Gouw]

Compulsive viewing (I still think she'll take it).

You're right though, if he somehow manages to win, then polls will forever be considered absolutely useless.

I hope you're right.

I think Karl Pilkington would actually be preferable at this point.

 

[Silva]

We’ve been talking all night about the historic gender gap that we are likely going to see come out of this election, with women favoring Clinton over Trump in huge numbers — it’s news to no one that Trump has been a controversial figure in no small part because of his comments about women.

And yet, we’re seeing some interesting figures coming out of the Florida exit polls — Clinton isn’t doing quite as well with women there as she is in other key states, which might be one reason the race in Florida is so close. According to preliminary exit poll results in Florida, Clinton is winning 51 percent of women, compared with 53 percent in Michigan and New Hampshire; 54 percent in Ohio, Wisconsin, Georgia and Colorado; 55 percent in North Carolina; and 58 percent in Pennsylvania

Another 538 update. A sliver of hope? Florida really may just be especially backward.

 

[Rolandofgilead]

Ladbrokes has Trump at 5/4

Holy shit, he was 9/2 earlier.

 

[prateik]

Rojo with a wild shot... Squeaky bum time

 

[Mciahel Goodman]

Feck me, this thread was amazing a couple of hours ago, and has been for over a year. Now it's like the mathday threads. Complete buzzkill.

I'm starting to shit myself to be honest. This shouldn't be so close. There were predicted 3% leads in some of these states. Polls way out.

 

[Chip]

Wonder when we'll get the crossover...

58-42 now. Won't be long at this rate

 

[Winrar]

A quick check reveals that Trump has outperformed his RCP average in every swing state barring NH. He leads NV there. If the pattern holds, it is between blue NH and president Trump.

shades of brexit, unfortunately for clinton supporters.

 

[donkeyfish]

This is a brilliant case study in what Akerlof and Shiller call Animal Spirits. One bit of positive news about Clinton and everyone will become optimists again.

 

[Reckless Full Back]

60-40 % on NYT now. Was about 85-15 a few hours ago. Worrying to say the least. This really cannot be happening

57% now.Oh god. I'm starting to get worried.

 

[Luzhniki2008]

All these battleground states

 

[Ramshock]

can those quoting NYT please feck off until the numbers are better?

 

[sammsky1]

Trump has so far polled far better in swings than expected. He is in the mix.

 

[MTF]

57%.... feck.

 

[Attila]

Clinton is going to win clearly

 

[Damien]

Calling it. Trump wins.

Felt it back in June.

Spoiler

I can see the trinity of Brexit winning, Johnson in and Trump being elected happening. Scary.

Gove probably fecked up the Johnson bit from happening. Shit looks bleak. So many close states with Trump leading.

 

[sport2793]

Fair enough.

 

[sammsky1]

Manchester City ??? WTF???

 

[RedRonaldo]

Ok this is not looking good... How is this even possible? I mean how?

 

[cyberman]

There's a place called Manchester City?
And voted Trump. There you go

 

[Rado_N]

Clinton now into 1.16 on.Betfair.

Looks like Betfair is calling Florida with Clintons with these votes

Looks like Clinton is scoring better then Obama in Florida so this is looking good

BOOOOOOOOM

Florida is Clintons. Into 1.12 on BF

It's over - traders have gone Clinton in last 2 mins.

Clinton is into 1.10 - a 98% chance if winning election. 5 million traded inside 5 mins.

This is over according to markets

Talk about kicking someone when he is down.

Looks like Clinton is going to win big based on Florida / Ohio / NC

It's not bookies - it's traders

Traders saying Clinton 1.50 to win Florida. Is too tight to call now

Machine now giving Florida to Trump. This is way too tight

Markets have flipped towards Trump in last 10 mins. Clinton is back to 1.20 with 86% chance of winning from a 96% chance when she was flying in Florida

TRUMP now 1.40 to win Florida on Markets.

Carnage on Markets

Clinton now out to 1.33. 72% chance of winning

Markets collapsing for Clinton.

Into 1.43.

A 67% chance of winning

Clinton just touched 1.49 on Betfair. Panic has set in on the machine

The markets are giving 60% to Clinton 40% to Trump to win.

Trump will shortly be favorite to win

If you ever wondered why people say odds don't mean shit....

 

[donkeyfish]

This would've gone much better had we used Giggs as the candidate.

 

[hobbers]

So has Hillary won bigly yet or what?

 

[bazalini]

Markets have now Clinton at 57% - 43% trump

 

[17 Van der Gouw]

This ref is a dick.

 

[Attila]

Trump has so far polled far better in swings than expected. He is in the mix.

No way will he win any support....wanna bet on it?

 

[RoadTrip]

I don't think I can watch this anymore to be honest.

 

[Winrar]

trump up 150k in florida. don't think even rest of broward can save it.

 

[Ramshock]

ban bazalini

 

[Silva]

This ref is a dick.

Wanker's giving Liverpool every 50/50. This ain't right.

 

[NinjaFletch]

fecking rigged elections.

 

[MTF]

Electoral votes NYT model just clicked 270 tie at the median of estimate.

 

[marukomu]

Clinton 104
Trump 129

 

[unchanged_lineup]

Having a "everything I know is wrong" moment...

 

[bazalini]

Markets now 50% 50%

 

[langster]

I don't post in the matchday threads. I do not want to be in a matchday thread

Me neither. I'm actually really fecking annoyed about it.