Russian invasion of Ukraine | Fewer tweets, more discussion

Simbo said:
Whenever I see something like this that feeds into Russian propaganda so well, I tend to assume there's more to the story. In this case a lot more, though I still don't really know what, its shady as fook. Full video and further context below. The guy being arrested is already enlisted, a veteran of the 'Kraken' special forces unit even, so its not forced conscription. These are the acts of Mykola Tyshchenko who was part of Zelensky's staff before being fired from his party in Jan 23. Though I think he's still holds some kind of office as 'People's Deputy of Ukraine'. No idea what authority he has to arrest people, but this case is under criminal investigation.



Tyshchenko claims the guy he arrested is part of some bot farm network and apparently has had some run in with him before.


When I saw duck lips lady my first thought was that she probably has Russian ties, then I checked my self as making assumptions from someone's appearance is wrong! Then I saw this.


There's lots of similar videos doing the rounds. Russian trolls are having a field day and no doubt spamming Ukrainian males with them. My understanding is that nobody can be forced into the army under Ukrainian law. They can however be arrested if they fail to turn up to the enlistment office once conscripted. If they refuse the draft at that point they are just fined.
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A family member of mine got shot for running away from the draft.
 
Putin would use North Korean troops as ‘cannon fodder,’ US claims
Pyongyang does plan to send its military engineering unit to the occupied territories of Ukraine to undertake rebuilding work, Reuters reported citing South Korean TV Chosun channel. The troops being sent to Ukraine will likely serve as overseas workers to earn hard cash for North Korea, where the economy is strangled by international sanctions, according to TV Chosun’s report.
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https://www.politico.eu/article/vladimir-putin-would-use-north-korean-troops-cannon-fodder-us-says/
 
Russia Sends Waves of Troops to the Front in a Brutal Style of Fighting
May was a particularly deadly month for the Russian army in Ukraine, with an average of more than 1,000 of its soldiers injured or killed each day, according to U.S., British and other Western intelligence agencies.

But despite its losses, Russia is recruiting 25,000 to 30,000 new soldiers a month — roughly as many as are exiting the battlefield, U.S. officials said. That has allowed its army to keep sending wave after wave of troops at Ukrainian defenses, hoping to overwhelm them and break through the trench lines.
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https://www.nytimes.com/2024/06/27/us/politics/russia-casualties-ukraine-war.html
 
“We are now becoming a liability for our neighbors because Russia is using us as an operational base,” a senior Austrian intelligence official said.
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RIP Pete 'Hasta' Fouché. South African born British citizen, served in Ukraine as a combat medic since March '22.

His last message to the world:


His first:
 
Chinese and Russian companies are developing an attack drone similar to an Iranian model deployed in Ukraine, European officials familiar with the matter said, a sign that Beijing may be edging closer to providing the sort of lethal aid that western officials have warned against.
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@harms How is the current temperature among the russian population and how strong is the support for the war and/or Putin?
 
Lightbringer said:
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Fortunately, Biden and NATO have front loaded Ukraine with plenty of resources to mitigate Trump inevitably barging in and demanding a ceasefire on Putin's terms. Putting the $300b in frozen assets to work will also be help defray any stupidity from Trump.
 
That_Bloke said:
@harms How is the current temperature among the russian population and how strong is the support for the war and/or Putin?
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It’s hard to say as there aren’t any reliable (and independent) social analysis on the matter. I live in a bubble where everyone is strongly against it but it’s not a representative group.

Going just by my personal experience I don’t think that many actively support the war, most people try to go by as if it wasn’t happening at all — and it’s a viewpoint that is actively encouraged by the actions of the government. But this apathetic majority allows Putin to do what he wants.

As for the support of Putin, it’s more complicated. The most ludicrous yet popular opinion that I’ve heard a lot during the election was “we have a war and only a strong leader like Putin can end it, so we must vote for him”… completely missing the point that it was Putin who started it.
 
harms said:
It’s hard to say as there aren’t any reliable (and independent) social analysis on the matter. I live in a bubble where everyone is strongly against it but it’s not a representative group.

Going just by my personal experience I don’t think that many actively support the war, most people try to go by as if it wasn’t happening at all — and it’s a viewpoint that is actively encouraged by the actions of the government. But this apathetic majority allows Putin to do what he wants.

As for the support of Putin, it’s more complicated. The most ludicrous yet popular opinion that I’ve heard a lot during the election was “we have a war and only a strong leader like Putin can end it, so we must vote for him”… completely missing the point that it was Putin who started it.
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As it always is the case.

It's not ludicrous at all, wars tend to regroup the population around the current leader, especially when he appears to be "strong", no matter how wretched the latter is. Russia isn't the first and certainly not the last country to experience it. It will take a catastrophic defeat on the battlefield to decisively shift the opinion.

Thanks a lot for the swift reply.
 
Note, it's not that they've established hard evidence for this 120,000 figure but it's estimated through a prediction model with data from Russia's National Probate Registry. As for actual confirmed deaths, that figure currently stands at about 56,600 killed and is derived from open sources like obituaries.

120,000 dead and counting: a new estimate from Meduza and Mediazona shows the rate of Russian military deaths in Ukraine is only growing
According to our latest calculations, as of the end of June, approximately 120,000 Russian servicemen have died in the war since 2022, but the real number could be as high as 140,000.
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https://meduza.io/en/feature/2024/0...an-military-deaths-in-ukraine-is-only-growing
 
Large missile attack arrived in Kyiv and other cities in the last hour, on eve of this next 'nato peace summit'.

Looks like multiple have got through. Kyiv children's hospital has been hit.

 
But Ukraine can't hit Russian airfields where a lot of the missiles and bombs are launched from because that would be an escalation.
 
Video of the impact on the childrens hospital. Missile is flying straight at the target indicating that it was not collateral damage from an interception but an intended strike. Looks like a cruise missile either a KH-101 or a Kalibr.
 
Simbo said:
Large missile attack arrived in Kyiv and other cities in the last hour, on eve of this next 'nato peace summit'.

Looks like multiple have got through. Kyiv children's hospital has been hit.

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If they designate Russia as a terrorist state they’d have to list Israel too.
 
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