World Cup Betting Thread

Lukaku top scorer was 25/1 last I checked. Might've shortened a bit since a quarter of this match has already been played though.
 
Won under 1.5 in ET. Meh. Free bet didn't hit. Damn you England.
 
Tried that build a bet thing @Mrs Smoker does.

Over 16 goal kicks in the game
Over 1 goal in the game
Over 6 corners in the game

3/1. Didn't know it would come in that easily, else i would have put something meaningful on it.

Gonna try it in the finals, was really fun.
 
A friend told me that since the 70s, every 3rd place playoff in a WC has had at least 3 goals. I have no idea if that's true.

I've checked back to 98 and it's true for those.

So over 2.5 goals might be a decent bet.
 
Had a tenner on Croatia to win the tie after Kane missed his sitter. Easiest £35 I ever made.
 
Is that a reply to my post?

Yup, the point is it's important to differentiate the signal and the noise, correlation and causality. That said, the pressure is off in third place games which could well explain the goals. There have been a lot:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/FIFA_World_Cup#Results

However, the other important thing is to consider value. A bet without odds can never be a good bet. The bookies are well aware it may well be high scoring. BTTS is 8/15 and over 2.5 is 8/13. Are they good value? I'm not sure. I possibly prefer Rom anytime at 5/4.
 
Yup, the point is it's important to differentiate the signal and the noise, correlation and causality. That said, the pressure is off in third place games which could well explain the goals. There have been a lot:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/FIFA_World_Cup#Results

However, the other important thing is to consider value. A bet without odds can never be a good bet. The bookies are well aware it may well be high scoring. BTTS is 8/15 and over 2.5 is 8/13. Are they good value? I'm not sure. I possibly prefer Rom anytime at 5/4.
Yeah it was just a casual observation really. Obviously it isn't a high scoring game just because it's a 3rd place play off. But it might be worth £5 for some fun. Or part of a accumulator of some sort
 
What site?

Group betting 1-0/2-0/2-1 France at 13/8 for me wouldn't be a bad one.
 
Thank you Axel Witsel.

Belgium to win, more thab 8 corners, nd over 2.5 cards.

3rd card came in the 93rd minute due to Witsel being a cnut lol.
 
Surely rebic is a cert to be booked ? Odds of 2.87

Got a build a bet of
France to lift the trophy
Rebic to be booked
Over 3 France corners
Just over 4/1 I think

Also
Rebic to be booked
Loveren to be booked
France to win
Over 3 France corners
Over 8 free kicks for France first half
And over 7 goal kicks for Croatia
That's 68/1

Meant to do the 2nd half free kicks for France but bollocked it and thought I'd let it ride
 
France to lift the cup
Over 3 cards
Over 4 corners for france in the game
Over 10 free kicks in the game for france

4.5/1
 
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Croatia to win the cup
Over 4 corners for croatia
Over 4 goals kicks for croatia
Over 2 cards in the entire game
Over 4 free kicks in the game for Croatia

10/1
 
I had a pre-tournament bet on Greizmann top scorer and France to win. B365 are saying the 1st goal was an OG but it was on target?