Irwin99
Full Member
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- Aug 6, 2018
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- 10,498
Actually I have to admit I was trying to be more balanced in saying it was impressive but I agree largely with the person you quoted. I think 74 points isn''t bad but it shouldn't be seen as impressive for United and the least said about 66 points the better (Jose finished his first season in 6th place with 69 points). Also, let's be honest there's no way we finish second last season if Liverpool don't collapse with their entire centre back line being out for months. A lot of people were convincing themselves that we went through something similar in 09-10 season but that wasn't true.Actually it wasn't. I read such an interesting thing on the net earlier, as is mentioned in another thread, there was this in-depth article in the Guardian today:
https://www.theguardian.com/footbal...e-ball-ole-gunnar-solskjaer-baffled-spectator
But hidden amongst the readers comments, is this brilliant analysis which proves that Ole has technically over-achieved because of the strange times we have been living through. I hope 'Dubhghaill' won't mind me pasting it on to the cafe, it is worth a look - the writer doesn't really labour the point, so I will: if you are playing well 70,000 fans helps, if you are not it can add pressure and your players struggle. Man Utd. have benefitted from the empty grounds, OGS has benefitted from the empty grounds....
"In a sense, OGS has overachieved as United manager, though.
Let me explain:
Since becoming permanent Manager at Old Trafford, Ole's taken charge of 95 leagues games. He's won 46 of them (drawn 27, lost 22). That's a mediocre win record of 48%ish.
Yet he's managed to finish 3rd and 2nd in his two full seasons in charge, which is quite literally unprecedented in the 38 game Premier League era (26 seasons and counting), so Ole can rightfully claim he has managed something no other manager in all that time has...
He finished 3rd in 19-20 with 66 points. Only once (Late Evans era Liverpool, 97-98, with 65 points) has a team finished as high with so little accumulation. In fact, only four teams have finished inside the top 4 in that time with fewer points (Villa 95-96 with 63, the aforementioned Liverpool team two seasons later, Liverpool again in Houllier's last season, 03-04, with 60, and Everton the following season with 61).
He also finished second last season with 74 points. This is the fifth lowest points total to finish so high in those 26 seasons, "bettered" only by Newcastle in 96-97 (68) and Arsenal in 99-00 (73), 00-01 (70) and again in 15-16 (71). In fact, Ole managed to finish second in the league last season with a points total that is less than the median for a top 4 finish in that 26 year period (only 40 of 106 teams have finished in any of those positions with lower points totals).
All of which is a very dry and stat heavy way of saying: OGS didn't just get mediocre this last month, He has been since he took charge. He's also been very fortunate in what that mediocrity has been good enough for outsized rewards (and no little misplaced acclaim and good PR as a result)...And he's spent around €500m in that time on transfers and signing on fees alone.
Man United do spin and PR better than anyone. And that happenstance has aided Ole and his team to achieve league finishes their records don't "deserve" in a historical context, so much so that he's been not only shielded from criticism over his tactics or coaching up to now, but actively lauded as a "game changer" or "breath of fresh air" etc for United is testament to that. This week a rescue act from an aging Superstar against a team struggling domestically was being touted as a great leap forward. Today we get Ole digging up his discarded 5-3-2 and hoping it works. It doesn't.
He's just not good enough. And his team aren't much better"
It has been a very weird and strange time during our recent history and I hope we learn from it and move on.