Westminster Politics

They'll have no choice. The economy can't sustain the increasingly large numbers of young people getting signed off work. Almost a million since Covid. Whoever is in power will need to sort that situation out and quickly.

Almost like they should borrow some money to build good, energy efficient housing stock, invest in green technology to grow the economy, and to improve mental health services and social care. What will make people sicker is no help, no money and no support. And Labour aren't all that far off proposing all those things right now so they can meet some imaginary fiscal rules they imposed on themselves and look like they hate the population like all good governments seemingly should in this country.
 
They'll have no choice. The economy can't sustain the increasingly large numbers of young people getting signed off work. Almost a million since Covid. Whoever is in power will need to sort that situation out and quickly.

No choice but to continue a manufactured bit of Tory outrage and move responsibility of signing people off sick from GPs to the DWP?

Although suppose it’s a cheaper solution to change the definition of “sick” rather than invest in the structures that improves health.

I haven’t actually seen Labour’s response… they’ve been too busy ensuring they’re draped in the George Cross I think.
 
They'll have no choice. The economy can't sustain the increasingly large numbers of young people getting signed off work. Almost a million since Covid. Whoever is in power will need to sort that situation out and quickly.
What do you think are the primary reasons people are getting sick notes?
 
They'll have no choice. The economy can't sustain the increasingly large numbers of young people getting signed off work. Almost a million since Covid. Whoever is in power will need to sort that situation out and quickly.
When people can’t work and don’t have any from benefits, what do you think will happen to the crime statistics?
 
They'll have no choice. The economy can't sustain the increasingly large numbers of young people getting signed off work. Almost a million since Covid. Whoever is in power will need to sort that situation out and quickly.
It's almost like not investing in adequate national health service has economic consequences.
 
No choice but to continue a manufactured bit of Tory outrage and move responsibility of signing people off sick from GPs to the DWP?

Although suppose it’s a cheaper solution to change the definition of “sick” rather than invest in the structures that improves health.

I haven’t actually seen Labour’s response… they’ve been too busy ensuring they’re draped in the George Cross I think.

Just saying people hoping Labour get in and reverse policies like this are going to be sorely disappointed. They don't have that option.
 
Just saying people hoping Labour get in and reverse policies like this are going to be sorely disappointed. They don't have that option.

I don't expect them to reverse this policy, but not because "they don't have the option". This policy isn't unavoidable.
 
I can really see why - if there isn't a genuine health crisis fuelling this - so many young people are not working, and it's because the balance has shifted too far away from work providing a clear path to personal freedom and security.

They want you to work in an environment where you start your career often having amassed tens of thousands in debt already, and compete against an aging workforce with in-work experience. So, you need to work your way towards a shrinking number of opportunities by cobbling together a living from zero-hour contracts or low-wage jobs for mega-corps with limited workers rights and zero benefits. And all so you can pay off some boomer's mortgage while never having enough to put into savings at the end of the month in order to break the chain and buy a place of your own, and as each day goes by the goal posts get moved further and further away.

That is the sad state of affairs young people in this country are dealing with, and it's inevitable that those circumstances will be enough to ruin lives and cause some to drop out of the whole charade. Successive governments have done absolutely nothing for the youth of the country other than to make things more and more difficult for them.
 
How is there so many stupid people who buy into this rubbish?

They're literally destroying the country, but a significant portion of thick cnuts in the UK are like, 'look, coloured people'
 
Getting into government with a huge majority because the country is protesting against the Tories, rather than getting into government on the merit of your own popularity and because the country believes in your policies and have granted you a mandate accordingly.

If Starmer does get in with a huge majority but ultimately Starmer and Labour are deeply unpopular, it will be completely unsustainable.

Currently they are the opposition and are being compared to a deeply unpopular government. As soon as they’re in government they’re held to their own standards and they begin to get polls on their own performance as a government and if they’re polling badly things will get ugly quickly.

This is the bit that counts getting into Government.

With a large majority
is the next bit, because it widens the options, popularity only comes into it when Starmer (or whoever) begins to roll out the policies. When the majority is small the range of policy options open is limited and the inherited condition from the previous government will weigh heavy.

I would expect to see Labour (realistically) canvasing on a two-term timetable, to make the headway required, this will be emphasised during the run up to the GE. It is imperative Starmer only promises what is possible for the first term, but can layout what will follow in a second term.

The wish for the country to rid itself of this present government is becoming increasingly palpable by the day, it therefore requires the Labour party to be circumspect in its approach, not trying to be popular with policies it knows it cannot achieve in one term, this is where the danger lies.
 
This is the bit that counts getting into Government.

With a large majority
is the next bit, because it widens the options, popularity only comes into it when Starmer (or whoever) begins to roll out the policies. When the majority is small the range of policy options open is limited and the inherited condition from the previous government will weigh heavy.

I would expect to see Labour (realistically) canvasing on a two-term timetable, to make the headway required, this will be emphasised during the run up to the GE. It is imperative Starmer only promises what is possible for the first term, but can layout what will follow in a second term.

The wish for the country to rid itself of this present government is becoming increasingly palpable by the day, it therefore requires the Labour party to be circumspect in its approach, not trying to be popular with policies it knows it cannot achieve in one term, this is where the danger lies.
Right but that’s where the problem lies and the entire point. You can’t achieve anything in one term let alone turn this country around from the disaster path the Tories have put it on.

So you have a deeply unpopular Prime Minister that is only in power because the public is sick to death of the current Tories. He’s in power with no positive policies and only promises to do the same thing that the Tories have been doing for the last decade and a half. So while he spends the next 5 years or so laying the ground work but getting nothing actually done, the Tories are regrouping, the right wing media machine is going in hard on the Labour government and the public have the memories of goldfish have forgotten and forgiven the Tories and have once again been convinced that they are the ones to lead the county again with their tax cuts funded entirely by the groundwork Labour have laid over the last 5 years.

Rinse and repeat. The county is beyond saving.
 
So while he spends the next 5 years or so laying the ground work but getting nothing actually done

"Laying the groundwork" is what gets done.

Part of that 'laying the groundwork' will be the emergency measures he can take, to ease problems, but it will be limited.
However, fourteen years of misrule ; including major unplanned economic changes (because they didn't expect a 'leave' result) like @Paul the Wolf will tell you about Brexit; dealing with pandemics, spending billions on 'stop gap' measures that made some rich but the majority poorer, panicking actions over 'small boats', failure to tackle housing issues that have dragged on for more than 14 years, all this is groundwork that has to be done-over.

Headway will not be made until, the second term, telling us anything else is telling the country lies.
 
"Laying the groundwork" is what gets done.

Part of that 'laying the groundwork' will be the emergency measures he can take, to ease problems, but it will be limited.
However, fourteen years of misrule ; including major unplanned economic changes (because they didn't expect a 'leave' result) like @Paul the Wolf will tell you about Brexit; dealing with pandemics, spending billions on 'stop gap' measures that made some rich but the majority poorer, panicking actions over 'small boats', failure to tackle housing issues that have dragged on for more than 14 years, all this is groundwork that has to be done-over.

Headway will not be made until, the second term, telling us anything else is telling the country lies.

Apart from all the other internal issues, the Rwanda bill get's passed he'll have some more work to do with legal challenges from the worldwide community , possible annulment of trade deals if the UK pull out of the ECHR and re-solving the Northern Ireland issue. One huge mess pounding the Uk from all sides and all self-inflicted. Starmer is not strong enough.
 
One huge mess pounding the Uk from all sides and all self-inflicted. Starmer is not strong enough.

Thanks Paul can rely on you, but it's not all self inflicted, some were 'events' over which we had no control; however some Tory reaction to these events could be described as self inflicted... give you that! ;)

I think Starmer just might be made of stronger stuff, he has turned the public face of Labour around in double-quick time, you might be under estimating him, he just might turn out to be the man who speaks softly but carries a big stick :lol:
 
Right but that’s where the problem lies and the entire point. You can’t achieve anything in one term let alone turn this country around from the disaster path the Tories have put it on.

So you have a deeply unpopular Prime Minister that is only in power because the public is sick to death of the current Tories. He’s in power with no positive policies and only promises to do the same thing that the Tories have been doing for the last decade and a half. So while he spends the next 5 years or so laying the ground work but getting nothing actually done, the Tories are regrouping, the right wing media machine is going in hard on the Labour government and the public have the memories of goldfish have forgotten and forgiven the Tories and have once again been convinced that they are the ones to lead the county again with their tax cuts funded entirely by the groundwork Labour have laid over the last 5 years.

Rinse and repeat. The county is beyond saving.

Taking out whether this iteration of Labour actually want to do anything, I think the overhaul that's needed in most sectors is not insignificant so rushing into policies probably isn't the way to go. We've had over a decade of a party looking at things at a level no deeper than headline stats (hence blaming young people for not working, and blaming immigration for lack of jobs) rather than looking at underlying causes. Investing the money in the right places rather than just blaming people needs to be done, but it also needs doing carefully into the right areas otherwise we'll end up no better off.

I agree about the public, and Labour will need more than one term to turn things around to any decent degree. Whether they get that, and whether they're interested in doing the right things with Starmer is up in the air wat the moment.
 
Thanks Paul can rely on you, but it's not all self inflicted, some were 'events' over which we had no control; however some Tory reaction to these events could be described as self inflicted... give you that! ;)

I think Starmer just might be made of stronger stuff, he has turned the public face of Labour around in double-quick time, you might be under estimating him, he just might turn out to be the man who speaks softly but carries a big stick :lol:

Brexit was self-inflicted, the boats situation is self-inflicted by refusing legal routes. The handling of Covid was one of the worst in Europe. The Northern Ireland situation is self inflicted because of Brexit. The policies of the government are self-inflicted. Higher inflation than elsewhere is self-inflicted .
Starmer may use a big stick within his own party but on a national stage and certainly the international stage I just don't see him lasting very long.
 
https://www.theguardian.com/politic...08c73410851b30#block-662795818f08c73410851b30

Civil servants must obey ministers if ordered to ignore ECHR injunctions blocking Rwanda flights, Sunak says
The FDA, the union which represents senior civil servants, is threatening the Home Office with legal action over new guidance for civil servants which says that, if a minister decides to ignore an injunction from the European court of human rights (ECHR) saying a deportation flight to Rwanda must not go ahead, officials have to do what the minister says and facilitate the flight – even though ignoring an ECHR injunction is in breach of international law.

North Korea-on-Thames?
 
Starmer may use a big stick within his own party but on a national stage and certainly the international stage I just don't see him lasting very long.

We will have to wait and see, I don't see how he can do much worse that the present lot.

Britain may not carry the weight it once did, but the world is changing and Starmer will need to recognise the place we fit in the new order.
Which will take another turn if Trump gets back in the US and the EU continues to have trouble with the governments of certain countries like Hungary. I can see other leaders facing problems of their own especially in terms of Nationalistic parties (mainly on the right).

I suspect the test will be the GE outcome, if the polls are right and the Tories are facing melt-down, and Starmer has a large majority, he has a chance. However, with a small majority he will undoubtedly have any number of problems, those that currently exist, multiplied by internal wranglings within the Labour party with what remains of the far left.
 
We will have to wait and see, I don't see how he can do much worse that the present lot.

Britain may not carry the weight it once did, but the world is changing and Starmer will need to recognise the place we fit in the new order.
Which will take another turn if Trump gets back in the US and the EU continues to have trouble with the governments of certain countries like Hungary. I can see other leaders facing problems of their own especially in terms of Nationalistic parties (mainly on the right).

I suspect the test will be the GE outcome, if the polls are right and the Tories are facing melt-down, and Starmer has a large majority, he has a chance. However, with a small majority he will undoubtedly have any number of problems, those that currently exist, multiplied by internal wranglings within the Labour party with what remains of the far left.
It’s funny reading your posts admitting what a terrible job the Tories have done this last decade after you’ve just spent the last decade on here arguing all their points.
 
It’s funny reading your posts admitting what a terrible job the Tories have done this last decade after you’ve just spent the last decade on here arguing all their points.

With respect I think you ought to read my posts again.
I have pointed towards how the Tories operate, of which the strong point is they have managed to retain power even after all the mis-steps etc. They know generally how to obtain and retain power. Everything from the way they choose their leader, to their ability to the clearly focus on specific policies they pursue, policies that reinforces the position and represents the already privileged in our society. They are, or have been up to the last year or so, clear about what they are doing, at least in their own minds and can seemingly ride out internal battles that would sink other parties.
Their one weakness has been to continually shoot themselves in the foot, the longer they are in power. This always occurs as they near the end, because discipline goes and what is really going on underneath, surfaces.
Even then they are prepared to do whatever it takes to retain power, toss leaders overboard, one after another, and to continually keep trying to move the goalposts.

My presentation has been about their effectiveness in retaining power, not in what they are doing with it. I hope that Starmer is learning how to obtain power then how to use it. In my lifetime only two Labour leaders standout Harold Wilson and Tony Blair both knew how to lead. Wilson's lasting legacy was despite tremendous US pressure he kept us out of the Vietnam War, Blair despite the changes and improvements he made especially in the NHS, his legacy will be the Iraq War/WMD's. I hope Starmer's legacy is to have significantly 'moved the dial' for the benefit of the majority of the population.
 
Quality control
Does it matter which Party is in Government? The Country is broke technically. Debt £2.65 Trillion, GDP £2.50 trillion. The Oil revenues squandered. The NHS and Social Services abused. The Wealthy, and here's where it gets heated, escaping paying their way for years by taking advantage of loopholes made by, well, the Wealthy. Wealthy to me is someone that can pay all their bills, have Holidays, savings and don't have to worry about energy costs. It would be nice if whoever was Governing the Country would do just that instead of trying to get each other sacked over some incident or other. At least Labour have an economist as shadow chancellor but then again so was Kwarteng and look what a mess he made. We need someone with the balls to sort things out and upset the establishment and the Wokes and I can't see Starmer or who ever will be leading the failing Tories doing that.
As a Grandparent, I do worry about what work will be available for my Grandchildren in ten plus years time. I wouldn't encourage them to do the University thing and have the debt hanging over them.
 
Does it matter which Party is in Government? The Country is broke technically. Debt £2.65 Trillion, GDP £2.50 trillion. The Oil revenues squandered. The NHS and Social Services abused. The Wealthy, and here's where it gets heated, escaping paying their way for years by taking advantage of loopholes made by, well, the Wealthy. Wealthy to me is someone that can pay all their bills, have Holidays, savings and don't have to worry about energy costs. It would be nice if whoever was Governing the Country would do just that instead of trying to get each other sacked over some incident or other. At least Labour have an economist as shadow chancellor but then again so was Kwarteng and look what a mess he made. We need someone with the balls to sort things out and upset the establishment and the Wokes and I can't see Starmer or who ever will be leading the failing Tories doing that.
As a Grandparent, I do worry about what work will be available for my Grandchildren in ten plus years time. I wouldn't encourage them to do the University thing and have the debt hanging over them.
We are not broke.

This is despite the fact that:

From 1694 to 2010 this country racked up £800 billion in national debt.

This government has racked up over £1.6 trillion in debt in 14 years whilst promising to save money due to austerity.

We have accrued more debt in the past 14 years than we did fighting Napoleon, the War of the Spanish Succession, the American Revolution, World War 1, World War 2, gaining an Empire, losing an Empire, and setting up the welfare state.

This Government has spent all that money on cutting services, Brexit and reducing taxes on wealth, but not on income, and as you said - that has been taken advantage of

We need to desperately spend money to fix things. Climate change. Public services. Training people for AI.

We were in a worse position in 1945 and we created the welfare state. That's the scale of thinking needed now.
 
That's the scale of thinking needed now.

Exactly, if Starmer gets the massive majority it must not be wasted. The scale of thinking has to be on what will change the lives (move the dial) of the majority of the population. The 'Articles of War' on this need to be drawn up in the first term, the ground laid, etc. It won't be delivered in one term, but it can be defined and agreed. At the same time some emergency help will be needed, in supporting the existing welfare state, NHS, Education and where possible a start made on housing, but the big push will come in the second and hopefully third terms of a empowered Labour Government.
 
Does it matter which Party is in Government? The Country is broke technically. Debt £2.65 Trillion, GDP £2.50 trillion. The Oil revenues squandered. The NHS and Social Services abused. The Wealthy, and here's where it gets heated, escaping paying their way for years by taking advantage of loopholes made by, well, the Wealthy. Wealthy to me is someone that can pay all their bills, have Holidays, savings and don't have to worry about energy costs. It would be nice if whoever was Governing the Country would do just that instead of trying to get each other sacked over some incident or other. At least Labour have an economist as shadow chancellor but then again so was Kwarteng and look what a mess he made. We need someone with the balls to sort things out and upset the establishment and the Wokes and I can't see Starmer or who ever will be leading the failing Tories doing that.
As a Grandparent, I do worry about what work will be available for my Grandchildren in ten plus years time. I wouldn't encourage them to do the University thing and have the debt hanging over them.

Who exactly are the establishment and the Wokes? Sounds like a boy band or a group of petty criminals from the East End.
 
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The problem with the Tories the last 15 years is that they’ve been doing everything the woke crowd wanted.
 
Does it matter which Party is in Government? The Country is broke technically. Debt £2.65 Trillion, GDP £2.50 trillion. The Oil revenues squandered. The NHS and Social Services abused. The Wealthy, and here's where it gets heated, escaping paying their way for years by taking advantage of loopholes made by, well, the Wealthy. Wealthy to me is someone that can pay all their bills, have Holidays, savings and don't have to worry about energy costs. It would be nice if whoever was Governing the Country would do just that instead of trying to get each other sacked over some incident or other. At least Labour have an economist as shadow chancellor but then again so was Kwarteng and look what a mess he made. We need someone with the balls to sort things out and upset the establishment and the Wokes and I can't see Starmer or who ever will be leading the failing Tories doing that.
As a Grandparent, I do worry about what work will be available for my Grandchildren in ten plus years time. I wouldn't encourage them to do the University thing and have the debt hanging over them.
What do you think the Tory government over the last 15 years has done for the 'wokes'?
 
Does it matter which Party is in Government? The Country is broke technically. Debt £2.65 Trillion, GDP £2.50 trillion. The Oil revenues squandered. The NHS and Social Services abused. The Wealthy, and here's where it gets heated, escaping paying their way for years by taking advantage of loopholes made by, well, the Wealthy. Wealthy to me is someone that can pay all their bills, have Holidays, savings and don't have to worry about energy costs. It would be nice if whoever was Governing the Country would do just that instead of trying to get each other sacked over some incident or other. At least Labour have an economist as shadow chancellor but then again so was Kwarteng and look what a mess he made. We need someone with the balls to sort things out and upset the establishment and the Wokes and I can't see Starmer or who ever will be leading the failing Tories doing that.
As a Grandparent, I do worry about what work will be available for my Grandchildren in ten plus years time. I wouldn't encourage them to do the University thing and have the debt hanging over them.
Ah, yes, 'the wokes'.

It's amazing how many have fallen for this rhetoric. The right wing have done a fantastic job of getting the general public to believe that all the problems they have caused, all the miscarriages of justice and all the corruption and inequality they have overseen aren't as bad as the people who have noticed those problems and are justifiably angry about it all.
 
What do you think the Tory government over the last 15 years has done for the 'wokes'?
No, you misunderstand. He just wants the wokes to stop moaning about stuff.

Granted, people complain more about woke stuff than the actual woke people complain but that's besides the points. The wokes are ruining this empire #backsunak #cuntyhashtags
 
So, they're going to take medical decision-making away from trained medical professionals, whose role and job is to make people better, to people working for the Department of Work & Pensions, whose role and job is to reduce the number of people on benefits. Person X, who started with anxiety, but has been on a mental health waiting list for 9 months is now full-blown depressed and agoraphobic, will meet with the DWP officer who will rescind their 'sick note' so that they're then being forced in to work. They try it, exaccerbate their issue(s) and, because they've 'broken' the rules of their benefits, they lose financial support, and where does that end...

I can see this policy killing lots of people! Thankfully they won't be in government to actually enact something as cruel as this!

That piece of shit Sunak claims he's on a moral crusade - feck HIM! He's never had to claim a benefit in his life and he never will. If you're on such a moral fecking crusade how about:
  • You move to rejoin the EU so that medicine shortages aren't exaccerbated, so people can maintain their medical needs
  • You move to rejoin the EU so that medical staff can freely move to the UK to work and fill the 170,000(ish) vacancies
  • You pay people what they're fecking worth!
  • You work to fund and staff mental / physical health provisions and things like CAMHS so people can be treated before a condition becomes untreatable
  • You work to restart things like Sure Start so people can have social help to ease concerns that can develop into depression or MH conditions
  • You work to regulate things like ultra-processed cheap food so people aren't forced to eat digestible poison that kills cells and clogs arteries
Instead, you punch down on those who are medically vulnerable, trying their best to (literally) make it from day to day.

What a pathetic excuse for a human he is, never mind a politician!

feck him!

Agree.

I lost one of my close friends earlier this year who took his own life after a long period of suffering and badly struggling with his mental health and depression. Seeing something like that up close is heartbreaking. This sort of news just comes as a massive slap in the face to those that are similarly affected & struggling to cope.

Just hope this doesn't happen but when you’ve got a moron like this man as your PM then it’s a worry.