US Presidential Election: Tuesday November 6th, 2012

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Reality does have a liberal bias, after all.

I mean, it really does.

I think being a liberal definitely helps for a journalist; although the word liberal has negative connotations in the US.

Liberal ~ one who is open-minded or not strict in the observance of orthodox, traditional, or established forms or ways.
 
From what I've heard of it, I don't think NPR is any less prone to "Republicans, Democrats disagree on shape of planet"-style balance fetishism than any other 'impartial' network.

Loving the fact that Nate Silver is now giving Obama odds of 72%.
 
From what I've heard of it, I don't think NPR is any less prone to "Republicans, Democrats disagree on shape of planet"-style balance fetishism than any other 'impartial' network.

Loving the fact that Nate Silver is now giving Obama odds of 72%.

If anything, it's got more of it, because NPR is partially-funded by the government, and the current management of PBS/NPR go out of their way not to piss off the GOP, who already want to defund it.
 
Unfazed Harry Reid Keeps Hammering Romney On Taxes

http://2012.talkingpointsmemo.com/2012/08/harry-reid-mitt-romney-taxes-10-years.php?ref=fpnewsfeed

The fierce pushback from Republicans against Sen. Harry Reid (D-NV) appears to only be fueling his quest to tear down Mitt Romney over his finances. The Senate majority leader is telegraphing that he has no interest in letting up.

The latest salvo in the intensifying spat comes from Reid’s chief of staff David Krone, who upped the taunts by calling Republicans “a bunch of cowards” and “henchmen for Romney” in an interview with Politico late Sunday night.

“To turn it around, all their childish rants this weekend about calling Reid a ‘liar’ and all that, it just shows you how scared they are that Harry Reid was telling the truth,” Krone told the paper.

Top Republicans on Sunday flatly accused the Senate majority leader of lying when he claimed Romney didn’t pay taxes for a decade, something he says he learned of from an as-yet-unnamed investor to Bain Capital. Reflecting the frustrations of his party, an incensed Republican National Committee Chairman Reince Priebus called Reid a “dirty liar,” and has since repeated the epithet.

Reid wasn’t fazed. His spokesman Adam Jentleson responded in the afternoon by vouching for the credibility of the source and inviting Romney to disprove the claim by releasing a series of tax returns. Calling him the “most secretive candidate since Richard Nixon,” Jentleson told TPM: “It’s clear Mitt Romney is hiding something, and the only way for him to clear this up is to be straight with the American people and release his tax returns.”

The allegation irritated the conservative Wall Street Journal editorial board, which called it “a smear from the fever swamps that say more about Mr. Reid’s ethics than they do about Mr. Romney’s taxes.” But Reid isn’t on the ballot this year; Romney is. And as the Journal argued, “Mr. Romney’s problem is that he can only disprove the charge by releasing his tax returns.”

For Romney, it’s a lose-lose proposition because doing so comes with its own risk. The Republican nominee has amassed a fortune, mostly via investment income that allows him to pay a lower tax rate than many working Americans, and Democrats are eager to turn that into a liability with middle class voters.

The Romney camp is feeling the pinch, which might explain why the Obama campaign and top Democrats are standing by him, if not latching on to his narrative.

“Harry Reid made a statement that is true,” House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) told the Huffington Post. “Somebody told him. It is a fact.”

The tactics mirror a brand of vicious, no-holds-barred campaigning that Republicans have in recent decades bested Democrats at using.

“It’s a boxer’s instinct,” Reid’s spokesman Jentleson told the New York Times. “You find your opponent’s weak spot, and until he finds a defense, you keep pounding it.”



Reid for 2016.. loving this :lol:
 
Veterans: Romney Lying About Obama Suit’s Effect On Military Voters

http://tpmmuckraker.talkingpointsme...a_suits_effect_on_military_voters.php?ref=fpa

Several veterans slammed Mitt Romney on Monday for opposing and mischaracterizing an Obama campaign lawsuit which would expand early voting rights to veterans, cops, firefighters and all Ohio voters.

Romney had claimed — falsely — that the Obama campaign opposed allowing members of the military and their families to vote in-person in the three days before the election. Actually, the Obama campaign wants all people in Ohio — including, for example, veterans, cops and firefighters — to be able to vote during that period.

The Romney campaign has not responded to TPM’s multiple requests for comment on whether they believe Ohio firefighters and cops are worthy of early voting rights.

“When it comes to Mitt Romney, I feel like he lives in bizarro world,” Iraq veteran and former Rep. Patrick Murphy (D-PA) told reporters in a conference call organized by the Center for American Progress on Monday. “He’s suppressing millions of votes across our country in this election, and then he lies and says that President Obama is trying to do the same thing, when it couldn’t be further from the truth.”

Murphy said Romney’s opposition to the lawsuit was part of a coordinated effort to suppress the vote.

“President Obama is trying to restore voting rights for all people in Ohio and all across the country. They just want to give them a fair shake and let their voices be heard,” Murphy said. “I was absolutely dumbfounded when I found out over the weekend what Mitt Romney is trying to pull. He’s trying to pull the wool over people’s eyes and trying to use our veterans as props to further his lies.”

Jon Soltz, a veteran who now works with VoteVets.org, said that he was “appalled” by the narrative coming out of Ohio.

“Obviously with the narrative the Romney campaign is pushing, they probably don’t have a lot of people around them who have actually served,” Soltz said. “We also agree, like the president does, that someone who served in World World II in the Battle of the Bulge or someone who lost their legs in Vietnam has just as much of a right to vote as today’s veteran.”

Romney’s campaign claimed Sunday that Obama opposed special treatment for service members, though Obama’s suit explicitly said that Ohio “appropriately” granted voting rights to members of the military in the three days before the election.

desperate Willard lies again.
 
The allegation irritated the conservative Wall Street Journal editorial board, which called it “a smear from the fever swamps."

I love it, that's poetry that is.
 
Nate Silver has upgraded Obama's chances of winning. He's taken it up to 72.4% and its 3 or so percentage points up from when I last looked a week or so ago. It does look like the momentum's headed Obama's way.
 
TPM Poll Tracker forecasts 46.3 % and 45.7% respectively for Romney and Obama. But fprecasts Obama beating Romney 310 to 206 on Electoral College votes.

Wait for the righties to start pushing for popular votes to be the decider for Presidential elections.

Personally I cannot see how Romeny beats Obama in popular votes...but.....there you go.
 
bet they wont be closing the roads to the strip clubs...they are expecting to triple the business from the conservative family values folks.

In all fairness if they closed the roads to all the Strip Clubs everyone would have to walk all week. We have a LOT of strip clubs.
 
One even has a webcam in the dressing room......google Mons Venus Tampa.
 
Interestingly. North Carolina, Indiana, Arizona and Missouri looks solid GOP now. Which will be a relief to some republicans, at least the leaking has stopped.

Romney needs to make headway in swing states.
 
Logic and common sense dictates Romney doesn't have a shot in hell. It would take something really major with the economy to open the door for a GOP win.
 
Rachel Maddow is ripping some guy named Ralph Reed, and a handful of others. I don't know much about this clown but apparently he's been caught lying multiple times and yet he's still around, and better yet still conning people.

Here's a snippet of the clown, http://www.newsmax.com/Newsfront/Reed-evangelical-vote-religion/2012/06/15/id/442510.

Maddow said this clown convinced thousands to vote to keep the 'Made in the USA' tag on some products produced in some foreign island that is an American territory. He did this by sending out mail to targeted christians stating that a christian company was in said nation helping turn people to god (christians love this shit because they think they're the only correct religion). However, Reed left out the slave labor and sex trade part.
 
Rachel Maddow is ripping some guy named Ralph Reed, and a handful of others. I don't know much about this clown but apparently he's been caught lying multiple times and yet he's still around, and better yet still conning people.

Here's a snippet of the clown, http://www.newsmax.com/Newsfront/Reed-evangelical-vote-religion/2012/06/15/id/442510.

Maddow said this clown convinced thousands to vote to keep the 'Made in the USA' tag on some products produced in some foreign island that is an American territory. He did this by sending out mail to targeted christians stating that a christian company was in said nation helping turn people to god (christians love this shit because they think they're the only correct religion). However, Reed left out the slave labor and sex trade part.

Ralph Reed is the best friend of Jack Abramoff. He's a dishonest little turd and a religious fanatic. I remember Hitch nailed him for it on Hannity once.
 
Jennifer Rubin has outdone herself. It's hard to tell whether it's outrageous cynicism or outrageous stupidity when it comes from someone both cynical and stupid.

Logic and common sense dictates Romney doesn't have a shot in hell. It would take something really major with the economy to open the door for a GOP win.

This still isn't true, just as it wasn't last week, despite it being a good week for President Obama.

People who model this for a living, who certainly have logic and common sense, have Obama on average at just over 60%, as do the betting markets.
 
I'm going to shock Plech and say I agree with him.

Obama is still the favourite but he will be facing all the big money Willard and his Super-pacs have accumalated in the next 3 months.

The thing is, you can blast all the negative ads you want, but the later it goes in the campaign, the more limited the return is, especially in swing states where the voters will get barraged. It just becomes noise to tune out.

Pew's last favorability rating had Obama at 50/45. The important thing to note is that only 5% don't have an opinion on Obama. You can spend all the money you want trying to convince that 5%, but you're just going to break even there. Meanwhile, Romney's favorability ratings were 37/52. Even not having been President, that's still only 11% undecided, and the majority of the country already has a negative opinion of him.
 
Looking at the numbers is seems almost certain to me that Obama will win. The only chance Romney has is some bit of dirt or getting one of his straw man arguments against Obama to stick. I'd put the likelihood of that happening at around 10%, no higher than 20% at most. So I'd happily lay a large bet on Obama to win if he's only being viewed as a 60% favorite.

Though my fear at the possibility of Romney being president makes me less confident than the numbers indicate.
 
Looking at the numbers is seems almost certain to me that Obama will win. The only chance Romney has is some bit of dirt or getting one of his straw man arguments against Obama to stick. I'd put the likelihood of that happening at around 10%, no higher than 20% at most. So I'd happily lay a large bet on Obama to win if he's only being viewed as a 60% favorite.

So normally a 4-1 chance isn't regarded as almost certain

The way most forecasters are seeing it, if this election was held ten times, Romney would win about 4 of them. Nate Silver has it at a bit less - just under 3.
 
Fair enough, almost certain is pretty strong language. My thinking is based on the electoral map, there just seems to be very few states where Romney is trailing by less than around 10%, which is a relatively large gap to make up. Sure, he might win one or two of these states where Obama has a smaller lead, but that's not going to get it done, even if he we assume he wins Florida and Virginia.
 
So normally a 4-1 chance isn't regarded as almost certain

The way most forecasters are seeing it, if this election was held ten times, Romney would win about 4 of them. Nate Silver has it at a bit less - just under 3.
Have you got a cold in the head high up? He's calling Obama 1/4 (possibly as low as 1/9), The bookies have him at 4/9 ie a value bet
 
Republicans have a huge advantages when it comes to fund raising. Romney should be able to sweep up in Iowa too.

I just don't see the electorate forgiving Obama for the preceding years of bitter financial strife. Normally, the incumbent is the favourite, but, there are a lot things that work in favour of Romney.
 
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