UK General Election - 12th December 2019 | Con 365, Lab 203, LD 11, SNP 48, Other 23 - Tory Majority of 80

How do you intend to vote in the 2019 General Election if eligible?

  • Brexit Party

    Votes: 30 4.3%
  • Conservatives

    Votes: 73 10.6%
  • DUP

    Votes: 5 0.7%
  • Green

    Votes: 23 3.3%
  • Labour

    Votes: 355 51.4%
  • Liberal Democrats

    Votes: 58 8.4%
  • Plaid Cymru

    Votes: 3 0.4%
  • Sinn Fein

    Votes: 9 1.3%
  • SNP

    Votes: 19 2.8%
  • UKIP

    Votes: 6 0.9%
  • Independent

    Votes: 1 0.1%
  • Other (BNP, Change UK, UUP and anyone else that I have forgotten)

    Votes: 10 1.4%
  • Not voting

    Votes: 57 8.3%
  • Undecided

    Votes: 41 5.9%

  • Total voters
    690
  • Poll closed .
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What would happen with a Tory majority and no Boris?

Yet another leadership election?
 
What happens in this case in a majority Tory government? Who is PM?
PM is simply whoever wins a vote saying so in the Commons, doesn't have to be the leader of a party.

But I'm skeptical of a 5 point swing from an already high watermark in 2017, though his increased profile as PM could have raised turnout.
 
Imagine your own constituents not rating you and still being PM.
 
My biggest fear is that the Tories gain more seats in Scotland. If you're not s nationalist then you'd be shouted at so the silent Tory is probably more prominent here than anywhere else.
Tories scoring strong in Scotland and the likes of Hull, Grimsby etc...would be a landslide.
Johnson might as well have spent the whole campaign in the fridge given Brexit.
 
They are taking bets in the millions. If they have odds of ~20:1, they'll be losing a shit ton of money if they are wrong..

They probably have a much better idea than the average person.

No one knows anything definitively... but with money like that at stake, they must have access to more data/polls than you and me.

They must put a lot of effort into analysis but at the end of the day it’s the same as any prediction/opinion poll for them. Hard to know how accurate the odds are without having their methods.
 
PM is simply whoever wins a vote saying so in the Commons, doesn't have to be the leader of a party.

But I'm skeptical of a 5 point swing from an already high watermark in 2017, though his increased profile as PM could have raised turnout.

Generally you'd expect that to benefit the PM given their higher profile, but Boris seems to be quite unpopular in Uxbridge since he was largely parachuted in. Would be fecking hilarious, but still very sceptical Labour will actually pull through.
 
More I think about this the more this is what I’m expecting to be the defining feature of the election.

Youth vote will be huge and concentrated in the Uni towns and cities. Labour will slip in working class northern towns and it’s going to be a first past the post shit show with seats being stolen all over the place.

43% Tory = 345
37% Labour = 225
I think get massacred more than slip. These bigots would vote for fecking Hitler to get their precious Brexit.
 
I think get massacred more than slip. These bigots would vote for fecking Hitler to get their precious Brexit.

Funnily (well, not so funnily), the conservatives brought Hitler to power because they thought they could control him, and thought that the socialists and communists were worse.

Not that there's any comparison... hopefully.
 
Oh my god that would be amazing
It's great until you realise that another Tory will ultimately take his position, push Brexit through, and Boris gets his paycheck and doesn't need to disclose where all his money is. And then he's free right away to go and work for one of his backers.
 
Convinced the Uxbridge stuff is mischief. Only reason the Tories would be saying that is if they want to drag Labour activists away from other winnable seats.
 
Gammon will decide this election unfortunately.
 
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