United winning tonight and on Sunday
UK General Election - 12th December 2019 | Con 365, Lab 203, LD 11, SNP 48, Other 23 - Tory Majority of 80
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Shame.
I wish that was possible, and that I could explore, but alas I was destined to remain in the safety of the Vault.
...If you were an MP I'd vote for you on that reference alone
I accept your nomination....wait, this isn't Vault 11 is it?
No but we can't ever give up. That's what they want and we must resist until the end.
Yep. Even if Tories win & Brexit happens tomorrow is the beginning of getting the Tories out again and Bre entry back in to the EU - which will happen again.
While I wish this proves accurate, I believe the likelihood is this account will be set to private and username changed tomorrow morning.
111, my good man.
can anyone explain to me what brexit is?
Well now, Betfair odds on Conservative majority were 1/3 on before I nipped out to vote and buy beer. They are now 4/9. That's a bigger swing against the Tories than the overnight one was for them. Does it matter? Who knows.
You get a pile of cash, put fuel on it, set fire to it and then have an argument about why its happening.
The beginning of a new British Empire.
No idea. But just get it done....
A maggot pizza. But that was sold as a meat feast.
Shop to are big a collection of dicks they wont accept they lied. People who ordered maggot pizza are too stubborn or simple to accept that there never was a decent pizza and they were lied to.
Everyone suffers.
Pizza.
We lived in Canada when we applied to postal vote and were worried it would arrive after we had left. Plus our plan was to drive down around this time anyway as we’ve just spent 5 days in Nottingham.
They are posting a load of nonsense and haven't got a clue what they are talking about. In one of their tweets they are saying Tories only have a 10% chance of getting a majority.
From Sporting Index just now.
Voting turnout spikes as Tory support tumbles
Voting turnout spikes as Tory support tumbles
Conservatives hugely unpopular with 67% of the nation expected to vote
Conservatives hugely unpopular with 67% of the nation expected to vote
Thursday 12th December 2019 – Sporting Indexare reporting heavy early support against the Conservatives this morning, with nearly all customers betting on the election deciding to sell Tory seats.
The spread betting firm, who had previously quoted 351 for the number of seats set to turn blue, have had to drastically revise that down to a mark of 338 and further pressure could see that number slide further.
Labour have been the beneficiaries of the early Tory selling spree, gaining 16 seats to sit on a predicted mark of 224 as things stand.
Sporting Index are also betting on voter turnout and punters have been keen to buy the firm’s quote of 67%, suggesting this election could yet produce the highest turnout since 1997 when 71% of the country had their say.
With so many buyers, anything north of 67.5% is already being touted as a “disaster” for the firm, who are now “praying for rain and wind” to prevent a higher turnout than first forecasted.
Ryan Halliwell, trading spokesperson for Sporting Index, said: “All the money has been against the Tories this morning, it’s been an absolute selling frenzy. Nearly every call that comes into the trading floor is requesting to sell Conservative seats, meaning we’ve had to sharply revise down our quote to just 338.
Nottingham isn’t in the north!
Understood. Thank you.
Just been to vote for Labour.
I'm 26 today so hopefully I get a late birthday present!
I'm feeling pretty optimistic after seeing stuff today. #VoteLabour is trending worldwide.
I'm 26 today so hopefully I get a late birthday present!
I'm feeling pretty optimistic after seeing stuff today. #VoteLabour is trending worldwide.
I've said before in this thread. I'd give everybody a basic tax free threshold, say 15k, then a flat rate of 25% ish above that. Remove tiers and rich v poor, we all pay the same.
Still the most likely outcome I think, though there will certainly be nerves in Johnson’s camp I’m sure.
They have A Tory majority at 10% probability which is not backed up by any data that I can see. Hope they're right but it seems very spurious indeed.
If you're going on a party of Government trying to win an increased seat count at 4th GE, yes, hasn't happened since the 19th century.
If you're going on polls and the bookies it's 1/3 ish.
The polls have been consistent and they do point towards a Tory majority.
Cheers all. I just realised i'm being stupid. I read that as minority.
Sorry - blame my 2 vomiting children and subsequent lack of sleep.
On that point - would any of the pther parties jump in bed with the Tories in a coalition government?
No, it's a definite favourite if the gambling odds are to be believed. The odds are moving though.
Imagine if Amy Klobuchar and Ted Cruz had a lovechild.
Lib Dems (notably without the condition of the party changing leader), Brexit (if they get any seats), God's own DUP (if they find forgiveness in their hearts after a hefty bribe).
It is to me!
This right here. This is the post. Same!
I can see why Southport is one of those seats that could easily be Tory as it could be Labour. My interpretation of the place is that there is a bit of old money knocking around but it's close enough to Liverpool to swing. Finger crossed there!
I'm down the road from you and it's similar here. Pretty much a safe con seat when it really shouldn't be.
I'm not a leftie by any means, but how the hell do these people still vote Tory?
Think there was something like 100 votes in it last time between Labour and the Cons in my constituency.
Actual rat bastard Alun Cairns is currently my MP so I'll be off to vote for Belinda Loveluck-Edwards (Labour) straight after work in hope that the weasel gets hoofed off Barry Island and into the sea.
The times of India today had a world news big story about hindus voting for labour. The print edition story vaguely mentioned "labour's anti-India policies". The web edition extended story specifically referred to Kashmir. Also to the number of PIO candidates, stating that the Tories had more. In a Freudian slip, the web story said that "Muslims and sikhs may not vote like Indians".
In the story, the source for90% of the quotes was the head of Overseas Friends Of BJP. All over the world, nationalist parties have international links.
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Wife and I both first time Labour voters today. Boris and his mob can feck off.
Amber likes it.
...
This page should stop being so optimistic I killed all my optimism many hours back.
Bravo to all the Labour / tactical voters today, and those still out canvassing. Good luck everyone.
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