The Trump Presidency : Part 2

Seriously? Seriously?

China, the adult in the room?


I would rather have my entire lifetime of MAGA candidates winning every presidential election from here until 2074 than China gaining more geopolitical relevance.
Too late.

China, Korea and Japan are already cooperating and they are not huge fans of each other. Nice job Trump. And Australia will inevitable be pushed closer to China. Scary but China is far more stable and predictable than a trump led US.
 
Some people really are beyond gullible:
https://www.detroitnews.com/story/b...tariff-unveiling-white-house-uaw/82782972007/

Let me take two paragraphs but flip them around to emphasize the irony:

"They really suffered gravely," Trump said of the unionized auto workers on hand. "They watched in anguish as foreign leaders have stolen our jobs, foreign cheaters have ransacked our factories and foreign scavengers have torn apart our once beautiful American dream."

And:

Trump brought his go-to Michigan auto worker up to the podium, shouted out a group of United Auto Workers union members in the audience, and credited his administration's trade policy for spurring billions of dollars of U.S. investment from companies like General Motors Co., Hyundai Motor Co. and Vitale's old employer, Stellantis NV.

Let's start with the only fully American company: GM. Downsized its headquarters, laid off 1,000 salaried employees and had to scale back some of its production. Cut profit sharing for many of its employees under the guise of performance management but clearly designed to push more out, etc. But hey they *said* they want to invest 60 billion. Remember, same GM that had to be bailed out before. Also a company that does much of its production outside of the union heavy environment of Michigan.

Then there is Hyundai- a ...oh wait ...foreign company. A company that stays far away from Michigan including its recent investment announcement that was years in the making regardless of Orange man. Where does Korean money ultimately go after paying Americans down South way less than their brethren up north? Ah right

Then there is the shit show of Stellantis. A company with its corporate headquarters in the Netherlands and ran into the ground by their idiotic decision making since the introduction of Fiat/Alfa Romeo into the fold which.. oh right is Italian. Great American company. A company that has so many QC control issues and so many cars sitting unsold resulting in thousands of layoffs and idling of plants after also completely mismanaged EV investment on top of it. A company that has long been rumored to want to move its entire business out of the state of Michigan after downgrading the Jeep/Chrysler/Dodge/RAM HQ in the US as secondary headquarters. And you know what - this may just be the extra motivation they need. I can however also see it happening that US investors will try to separate the American brands as its own company again.

I can't even ....
The only possible way this even have a minute chance of working out well for those UAW guys in the article is if Trump does exactly what he accuses others of and that is increasing the amount of corporate welfare we already have a history of. Hey let's put all your trust in a guy who doesn't believe in paying fair wages, or paying for anything really - and hates unions. It ll work out great.
 
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Too late.

China, Korea and Japan are already cooperating and they are not huge fans of each other. Nice job Trump. And Australia will inevitable be pushed closer to China. Scary but China is far more stable and predictable than a trump led US.

Exactly that.
 
We can say whatever we want around how much of an idiot he is, but there is someone around him who is incredibly gifted at manipulating reality and presenting it in a completely false yet entitled believable and motivating way. Let’s be straight, it’s disgusting and repulsive and lying and manipulative, but how they seem to do it is pretty unique.

Turned the concept of net trade into a way to make it appear like countries are charging them, and also in a way that pulls on the patriotic strings of ill informed Americans.

Net trade, by the way, which was very much likely driven by American companies. Again, we talk about tariffs at a country level as countries decide tariffs but fundamentally importing and exporting is businesses within those countries. Therefore in reality, it’s American businesses that have consistently chosen to buy or manufacture abroad. Now, you could argue that’s because those countries create policies that make the products and costs cheaper for companies there. And that is true - and that is where a well designed tariff can actually help to protect your economy somewhat. But - there’s many other reasons why things might be cheaper - cost of labour and cost of living being the key which makes those locations inherently cheaper. They can’t be undone.

So the question becomes, what do American companies do? Do they invest huge sums of money in the US to move back lots of processes because, now that tariffs are in place, it becomes more effective to process at home? Or do they simply pass on the cost, knowing that in 4 years there’s a decent chance these tariffs in some part would be withdrawn? Probably somewhere in between.

What this also doesn’t consider is all the jobs that import / export relationship generates. Both locally and abroad. Nor does it consider that globalisation allows economies to flourish at what they do best and bring in what they can’t do so well for whatever reason (be it cost or something else).

Everything will get more expensive though, that much is for certain. And likely globally. And so, you can be sure that when this all crumbles, Trump and his cronies will be ready to blame everyone else.

This is all obviously an over simplification too. The reality s global trade is complex and there will be lots of other knock on effects.
 
This is incredibly simple. Trump is an economic idiot. He bankrupted casinos. He had to shift schools because he couldn't pass undergrad. At some point decades ago he started liking tariffs, but it didn't matter. Now it does matter, and he has so securely surrounded himself by yes men that no one can stop this illiterate fool from doing whatever he wants.

What percentage of Trump voters would have told you before the election - of course he won't do tariffs, he's not an idiot, it's just Trump? 5%? 10%? Certainly enough to lose the election.

But this is where we are. How long til someone stands up?
 
Can someone ELI5 this tariff shit?
Imagine we’re both sex shop owners in different counties. You sell dildos and I sell vibrators. Over time we have realised our customers like to purchase both and are unhappy to have to go to two different shops for their carnal needs. We decide to come to an agreement by where I sell you vibrators, and you sell me dildos, which we can then sell in our shops.

You start to get upset that your customers prefer my technologically advanced love aides. This means I only buy 10 dildos a week from you at a cost of £25, yet you buy 20 vibrators from me at a cost of £60. Every week you lose £35 from your books into mine. For some reason, this makes your land baron of landlord angry.

To redress this balance, the landlord of your shop tells me to go feck myself with my vibrators and charges you a premium of £10 on your rent for every time you buy £30 worth of vibrators from me. So it now costs you £80 to buy the same amount of vibrators. You now have to put the price up of both your dildos and vibrators to offset this cost, and potentially buy fewer.

Your landlord somehow thinks all our customers and ourselves getting fecked with our own products at an increased cost is somehow good.
 
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Surely they're just playing the stock market or some such. I'm sure Trump himself is this much of an idiot, but the leeches around him surely aren't?
 
20% seems much less than I was expecting. Not nothing, for the EU, of course, but only really hitting hard on goods like cars and so on? I look at agriculture and the high prestige commodities do not seem like they'll suffer to me.

Obviously none of this is needed at all but it seems to me designed, stupidly, to punish the Asiatic risers (it won't work). Cost of living in the US will just rise.
 
Imagine we’re both sex shop owners in different counties. You sell dildos and I sell vibrators. Over time we have realised our customers like to purchase both and are unhappy to have to go to two different shops for their carnal needs. We decide to come to an agreement by where I sell you vibrators, and you sell me dildos, which we can then sell in our shops.

You start to get upset that your customers prefer my technologically advanced love aides. This means I only buy 10 dildos a week from you at a cost of £25, yet you buy 20 vibrators from me at a cost of £60. Every week you lose £40 from your books into mine. For some reason, this makes your land baron of landlord angry.

To redress this balance, the landlord of your shop tells me to go feck myself with my vibrators and charges you a premium of £10 on your rent for every time you buy £25 worth of vibrators from me. So it now costs you £35 to buy vibrators. You now have to put the price up of both your dildos and vibrators to offset this cost.

Your landlord somehow thinks all our customers and ourselves getting fecked with our own products at an increased cost is somehow good.

That, my good sir, is a thing of fecking beauty. Bravo :lol:
 
Hopefully he tanks the American economy to such an extent that even the idiots start to realize he's an idiot.
We can only dream. Alas, I think the MAGA cult will guzzle down anything he tells them. He'll probably blame the EU and China when they retaliate and say it's all their fault. Or Mexico and Canada when they work out the exact tariffs on them.
 
Imagine we’re both sex shop owners in different counties. You sell dildos and I sell vibrators. Over time we have realised our customers like to purchase both and are unhappy to have to go to two different shops for their carnal needs. We decide to come to an agreement by where I sell you vibrators, and you sell me dildos, which we can then sell in our shops.

You start to get upset that your customers prefer my technologically advanced love aides. This means I only buy 10 dildos a week from you at a cost of £25, yet you buy 20 vibrators from me at a cost of £60. Every week you lose £35 from your books into mine. For some reason, this makes your land baron of landlord angry.

To redress this balance, the landlord of your shop tells me to go feck myself with my vibrators and charges you a premium of £10 on your rent for every time you buy £30 worth of vibrators from me. So it now costs you £80 to buy the same amount of vibrators. You now have to put the price up of both your dildos and vibrators to offset this cost, and potentially buy fewer.

Your landlord somehow thinks all our customers and ourselves getting fecked with our own products at an increased cost is somehow good.
:lol:
 
Imagine we’re both sex shop owners in different counties. You sell dildos and I sell vibrators. Over time we have realised our customers like to purchase both and are unhappy to have to go to two different shops for their carnal needs. We decide to come to an agreement by where I sell you vibrators, and you sell me dildos, which we can then sell in our shops.

You start to get upset that your customers prefer my technologically advanced love aides. This means I only buy 10 dildos a week from you at a cost of £25, yet you buy 20 vibrators from me at a cost of £60. Every week you lose £35 from your books into mine. For some reason, this makes your land baron of landlord angry.

To redress this balance, the landlord of your shop tells me to go feck myself with my vibrators and charges you a premium of £10 on your rent for every time you buy £30 worth of vibrators from me. So it now costs you £80 to buy the same amount of vibrators. You now have to put the price up of both your dildos and vibrators to offset this cost, and potentially buy fewer.

Your landlord somehow thinks all our customers and ourselves getting fecked with our own products at an increased cost is somehow good.

Threadmark this beauty.
 
This is incredibly simple. Trump is an economic idiot. He bankrupted casinos. He had to shift schools because he couldn't pass undergrad. At some point decades ago he started liking tariffs, but it didn't matter. Now it does matter, and he has so securely surrounded himself by yes men that no one can stop this illiterate fool from doing whatever he wants.

What percentage of Trump voters would have told you before the election - of course he won't do tariffs, he's not an idiot, it's just Trump? 5%? 10%? Certainly enough to lose the election.

But this is where we are. How long til someone stands up?
Trump doesnt care about bankrupting companies, or his country, in fact I believe he's fully intent on weakening the dollar and believes in doing so will burn the rest of the world economies. The main thing for Trump is as it is with all grifters, is how can he line his own pockets. Short term personal gain at the expense of others has and always will be his goal. He has no fear of fraud or bankruptcy and now the rule of law, because the stupid laws that protects the rich and powerful means debt, illegal actions and bankruptcy can be profitable.

Hating him, loving him, it's all the same to him. We are all marks to him as long as he is getting an emotional reaction out of us is all that he needs.

It's the stupidity of all of us that angers me more, that allows for the elite to rule over us, play their games for their own profit while it literally leads to death and suffering of the majority. The adage of there's 2 classes, those who rule and those who are ruled is in full power. The fact we've let this idiotic wankstain become the zenith of it all angers me even further.

Were well on our way to the worst financial crisis ever and it will only empower these pricks more.
 
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Googling stuff about Trump (and his team of incompetents) sometimes takes you off on a tangent…

Just read that RFK Jr (Secretary for Health and Human Services) recently said farmers should let the highly pathogenic bird flu spread through flocks, because they could then “identify the birds, and preserve the birds, that are immune to it.”

Until experts pointed out that it kills 90%-100% of chickens in 3-4 days, so they don’t have the chance to create antibodies and if you don’t quickly separate them, you’d destroy almost the entire US chicken population (*knock on impact on eggs).

These are the type of geniuses Trump surrounds himself with.
“Only the best people”, indeed.
 
Too late.

China, Korea and Japan are already cooperating and they are not huge fans of each other. Nice job Trump. And Australia will inevitable be pushed closer to China. Scary but China is far more stable and predictable than a trump led US.
Turns out this was fake news with Japanese embassy in full denial
 
We can say whatever we want around how much of an idiot he is, but there is someone around him who is incredibly gifted at manipulating reality and presenting it in a completely false yet entitled believable and motivating way. Let’s be straight, it’s disgusting and repulsive and lying and manipulative, but how they seem to do it is pretty unique.

Turned the concept of net trade into a way to make it appear like countries are charging them, and also in a way that pulls on the patriotic strings of ill informed Americans.

Net trade, by the way, which was very much likely driven by American companies. Again, we talk about tariffs at a country level as countries decide tariffs but fundamentally importing and exporting is businesses within those countries. Therefore in reality, it’s American businesses that have consistently chosen to buy or manufacture abroad. Now, you could argue that’s because those countries create policies that make the products and costs cheaper for companies there. And that is true - and that is where a well designed tariff can actually help to protect your economy somewhat. But - there’s many other reasons why things might be cheaper - cost of labour and cost of living being the key which makes those locations inherently cheaper. They can’t be undone.

So the question becomes, what do American companies do? Do they invest huge sums of money in the US to move back lots of processes because, now that tariffs are in place, it becomes more effective to process at home? Or do they simply pass on the cost, knowing that in 4 years there’s a decent chance these tariffs in some part would be withdrawn? Probably somewhere in between.

What this also doesn’t consider is all the jobs that import / export relationship generates. Both locally and abroad. Nor does it consider that globalisation allows economies to flourish at what they do best and bring in what they can’t do so well for whatever reason (be it cost or something else).

Everything will get more expensive though, that much is for certain. And likely globally. And so, you can be sure that when this all crumbles, Trump and his cronies will be ready to blame everyone else.

This is all obviously an over simplification too. The reality s global trade is complex and there will be lots of other knock on effects.

And the worse part is even if the tariffs are withdrawn in the future the prices will not fall back to where they were. We know this from what happened during and after Covid.
 
Part of me is intrigued by how this will play out. Americans can't say they didn't know what they were buying.
 
Hopefully the majority of Americans who voted these clowns in are starting to realise what idiots they are. If they haven't, they will soon when inflation hits them hard.
They will just blame Hunter Hilary Biden, or Pelossi Schemer or whoever.
 
We can say whatever we want around how much of an idiot he is, but there is someone around him who is incredibly gifted at manipulating reality and presenting it in a completely false yet entitled believable and motivating way. Let’s be straight, it’s disgusting and repulsive and lying and manipulative, but how they seem to do it is pretty unique.

Turned the concept of net trade into a way to make it appear like countries are charging them, and also in a way that pulls on the patriotic strings of ill informed Americans.

Net trade, by the way, which was very much likely driven by American companies. Again, we talk about tariffs at a country level as countries decide tariffs but fundamentally importing and exporting is businesses within those countries. Therefore in reality, it’s American businesses that have consistently chosen to buy or manufacture abroad. Now, you could argue that’s because those countries create policies that make the products and costs cheaper for companies there. And that is true - and that is where a well designed tariff can actually help to protect your economy somewhat. But - there’s many other reasons why things might be cheaper - cost of labour and cost of living being the key which makes those locations inherently cheaper. They can’t be undone.

So the question becomes, what do American companies do? Do they invest huge sums of money in the US to move back lots of processes because, now that tariffs are in place, it becomes more effective to process at home? Or do they simply pass on the cost, knowing that in 4 years there’s a decent chance these tariffs in some part would be withdrawn? Probably somewhere in between.

What this also doesn’t consider is all the jobs that import / export relationship generates. Both locally and abroad. Nor does it consider that globalisation allows economies to flourish at what they do best and bring in what they can’t do so well for whatever reason (be it cost or something else).

Everything will get more expensive though, that much is for certain. And likely globally. And so, you can be sure that when this all crumbles, Trump and his cronies will be ready to blame everyone else.

This is all obviously an over simplification too. The reality s global trade is complex and there will be lots of other knock on effects.

Economies also have a pretty large turning circle while prices have not. Companies can't just snap their fingers and double their production facilities. Workers need to be trained and even before that, you need to find people who want to do the jobs you bring back into the country. So even if it works, you have a significant transition period in which everything will be more expensive but the jobs won't be there yet.

With a bit of luck, this has the potential to break Trump's neck. Not everybody who voted him is a MAGA idiot, many are just idiots who thought he'd improve their financial situation and now he's going to do the exact opposite.
 
The next president after Trump will have a lot of damage control to do, not just within America but to mend their relationships with many countries.
There is a 50-50 chance of the republicans winning every 4 years.. Not sure which country (other than Israel and Russia) is trusting US as a long term ally anytime soon..
 
They will just blame Hunter Hilary Biden, or Pelossi Schemer or whoever.

He made the chain of events that lead to this so painfully obvious that I hope he finally could have underestimated the intellect of his voters.
 
How are they actually going to administer these confusing as feck tariffs after gutting the federal government?
It kind of went under the radar but on his first day he announced the creation of the External Revenue Service.