Yeah those three really need to go, but we've now got to consider adding to that list:
1. Case (A stop gap as you've said, but we need someone younger for the long term)
2. Varane (Injuries)
3. Shaw (Injuries)
4. Rashford (Doesn't fit how we want to play)
So that's 4 starters right there. Then we've got to get rid of/replace Maguire, Mctominay, Erikson, Antony, Amrabat, Sancho, Martial, Wan Bissaka. So that's 8 fringe players. I think maybe players like Alvaro Carreras, Amad, Hannibal, Kambwala and Collyer can fill those gaps along with a couple from the U-18s as squad players, but we'd need a few readymade squad options who will do a job defence in especially.
You look at a recipe for success (City) vs us -
- In defence (Ake, Stones, Akanji, Walker, Gvardiol, Lewis, Gomez) - 5 high quality players and 2 very good young players for 4 positions. We have 9 players (Lisandro, Varane, Dalot, Shaw, Maguire, Lindelof, AWB, Malacia, Evans). Martinez and Malacia could be a temporary blip with injuries and Dalot is good enough let's say but the remaining 6 are just too injury prone/old/not good enough. So that for me is problem number 1 that we really need to sort out.
- In central midfield (Rodri, Bernardo, KDB, Nunes, Kovacic) - 5 high quality players for 3 spots. Here we have 6 players (Bruno, Mount, Case, Mainoo, Mctom, Amrabat, Erikson) - for a start we need to replace Case for a defensive midfielder with legs and we need talented squad options in place of McTom, Amrabat and Erikson.
- In attack (Haaland, Grealish, Foden, Alvarez, Doku, Bobb) - at least 4 high quality players and 2 more very promising players for 3 spots. We've got Hojlund, Rashford, Garna, Martial, Sancho, Antony here - the 3 squad players (and Rashy to an extent) of course is the problem here.
If we stick to the same number of players that City have for each third (We seem to have quantity while City seem to have quality) - we need at least 3 more starting quality defenders (to add to Licha and Dalot), we need 2 more quality midfielders (To add to Bruno, Kobbie, and Mount), and we need 4 more quality attackers (1 starter and 3 squad options to add to to Garna and Hojlund).
This summer ('24):
If we sell off Rashford (60M as rumoured - PSG), Mctominay (25M - Newcastle maybe), Maguire (25M - West Ham or even Chelsea), Casemiro (40 M - Saudi), Varane (30M - PSG maybe?) and Greenwood (20M to Barca), Lindelof (20M to a club like Inter), Wan Bissaka (20M) that is a good 340M raised (together with our 100M rumoured budget this summer) to get us:
- 2 CDMs - I quite like Varela at Porto and I think we could broker a little deal for Christensen at Barca if Greenwood goes the other way (+ we have agent Rasmus)
- A starting LW/RW
- 2 CBs - No idea who'd be the starter in place of Varane, I also like Van Hecke over Branthwaite as a backup.
- and backup ST.
- We can also promote Alvaro Carreras to the first team, he looks solid at Benfica.
- We could potentially sell off Hannibal if he's not going to be playing tbh, Amad's future needs to be discussed as well - if he's not playing sell him too and get at least a couple of loanees.
A team of Shaw, Licha, 2 new CBs, Dalot along with the youth options of Carreras, Kambwala and Malacia + Varela, Christensen, Kobbie, Mount, Bruno + Garna, new RW, Rasmus, new ST, Antony, Amad - That's an OK enough team on reasonable wages.
Summer of '25:
- We can hopefully offload Sancho after another season at Dortmund to a club like Bayern/PSG.
- We could look at swapping out Bruno Fernandes for someone like Wirtz,
- We could swap out Shaw (He would work for Bayern in a slower league) for someone younger (or stick with Carreras if he has a breakout season).
- We can hopefully sell Antony + Amad (if he's not already gone) as well.
- We can look at bringing in a couple of youth players for centre midfield and wings - That U18 team looks special and I can see a couple of those players coming through in the next two years or so.
- We can look at swapping out 1 or 2 other players in the squad for better options.
If we can get those 8 players out this summer and bring 6 in to address our critical areas (I don't see why we can't) we're well on our way to where we want to be imo. The key is to sell well this Summer, which is something City/Pool have been doing that we haven't.