The first billion pound player?
- Thread starter antsmithmk
- Start date
Just read the wiki page for billion, quite interesting...
+ Martial
If in 2020, the world got someone who is 23 yrs old, who plays like Ronaldo, shoot like Ronaldo, run like Ronaldo and looks like Rooney, I am pretty sure he will be worth 300 mln pound.
Agree with this sentiment.
Football will have to survive through rapid periods of technological development in the next few decades, I imagine interest in it will eventually begin to fade.
Either way, FIFA are completely off their heads if they dont do something to regulate spending by clubs like PSG. I think they are the only team that would be able to afford it as they are funded by Qatar...
More likely however is, that nothing happens. AFAIK and can see, theres not even been a bit of an intention to move the Qatar world cup or at least place sanctions.
I wouldnt be shocked if that will be one of the worst world cups in terms of atmosphere. And personally, I hope people do boycott it, but then again, most wont give a shit. Just as most dont give a shit staying in 5 star hotels built by slaves in Dubai.
The opposite of this is true.
For example, you will be able to put on a virtual reality headset and it will be like you are sitting in the front row at Old Trafford. They pretty much have this technology now.
Online streaming is also still in its infancy. There's people all over the world that want to watch football but can't. As internet speeds get faster and available in more regions more people will watch.
As for a 1b player, we are probably half way there already.
Inter met Messi's release clause in 2006 of 150m, but he didn't want to leave.
Someone would pay 500m now for a 19 year old Messi possibly more.
So by 2030 why couldn't this double?
I would say we won't see 1b because we won't see another player that good for a while, not that a club wouldn't be willing to pay it.
If he was Chinese or Indian you would get 1b.
Ordinarily I'd have laughed off the thought of a Billion pound player ever happening, but I can still quite clearly remember Shearer being the world record transfer at £15m like it was yesterday which only gets you a second choice bench wing back now so it's not beyond the realm of possibility.
However, I think the arse is gonna drop out of football before it ever happens. What we're seeing now is unsustainable in my opinion, probably at the very peak of money pumped into the game before people start to get wise.
There'll come a day in the not so distant future people stop going to matches, cancel sky subs etc etc. Only so much you can milk from people before they've had enough. Even within my relatively small social circle a large percentage have stopped paying for Sky sports in the past few years, realising its cheaper and infinitely more enjoyable to go to the pub for a few pints to watch select games rather than a monthly sub.
Neymar could quite possibly end up staying as the most expensive player ever bought. Unless PSG ever catch wind that Jordan Henderson is for sale, he's worth at least £700m easily just for his complexion.
However, I think the arse is gonna drop out of football before it ever happens. What we're seeing now is unsustainable in my opinion, probably at the very peak of money pumped into the game before people start to get wise.
There'll come a day in the not so distant future people stop going to matches, cancel sky subs etc etc. Only so much you can milk from people before they've had enough. Even within my relatively small social circle a large percentage have stopped paying for Sky sports in the past few years, realising its cheaper and infinitely more enjoyable to go to the pub for a few pints to watch select games rather than a monthly sub.
Neymar could quite possibly end up staying as the most expensive player ever bought. Unless PSG ever catch wind that Jordan Henderson is for sale, he's worth at least £700m easily just for his complexion.
Bebe's son.. Ralph Milne's nephew...
Not in our lifetime.
Nor will he ever be
Well that's not strictly true, inflation will always make a billion pound player a possibility! I bet if you went back in time to the 80's and went down the local and said there's been a player to move clubs for £200m in 2017 they'd laugh at you.
If a player costs more than £500million in my life time I'll get RAWK tattood on my forehead.
30, and confidentHow old are you?
Denilson moved from Sao Paulo to to Betis for 21.5 million pounds twenty years ago. 2 decades later, that amount has increased almost tenfold.
So barring colossal economic crisis and meltdowns , I reckon it will take 15 to 20 years before we see a billion pound player.
So barring colossal economic crisis and meltdowns , I reckon it will take 15 to 20 years before we see a billion pound player.
Not going to happen anytime soon unless inflation generally goes through the roof. No club is going to spend much more than 10% of their market cap on 1 player without it starting to fall apart. So you would need a club with a market cap of about 10bil before it would even be feasible. To put that into perspective, our market cap is £2.15bil. If we for example were to try that now, we'd be spending nearly half of what the entire club is roughly valued at on a player, no chance.
Quoted
I hope you're not suffering some kind of terminal illness.30, and confident
You're confident transfer fees won't go up 150% or so in half a century? Normal inflation should exceed that, never mind football inflation.
Of course we will see it in our lifetimes. The $100m+ transfer is the norm now. Look at Dembele and Coutinho. In 10 years max I think we'll see 500m and in 15/20 years we'll have the full billion.
There'll be cap in place before that ever happens
This short form has been adopted internationally and including the in the UK. The long form no longer exists as a use of the word billion
5 years when the want to buy Martial and we say no so the buy Manchester United FC for 3 billion which if so fact so would make Martial the first Billion pound player.
For all intensive purposes, you've got that wrong
Sorry am American so if it's sounds right in our country it's becomes a fact.
Really?
Look at floyd mayweather in boxing
3million buys at $99 ppv and he earnt
more money in 4mins than ronaldo and messi together in an entire season.
Football is far more popular than
Boxing. Neymar is more famous than floyd mayweather.
Having neymar Here at united at the same price would have been a commercial dream come true even long after he's gone he's associated with the history of the club.
Basically the deal floyd had with showtime and HBO in the past..he nogotiatied that himself and they paid...they make a lot off him.
Tv channels make the real
Money from football but how much do you think it equates to globally? Especially with the growing middle class in India and China..who Love football.
Now imagine down the line with improved technology what type of interactive ppv experience will be possible?
if you cold sign up a few million wealthy subscribers at £100 for a major game for example.
imagine for that money you get a realistic interactive experience of not only being there but sitting alongside the players..being in the changing room at half time/post match and even with them when they lift a trophy...that's all possible and I would happily pay £100 for that experience.
althougg it would become a novelty but even so you could easily change the figures ie £10 and 10million buys worldwide.
I think it will take around 20 years.
Effectively clubs need to make 5-10 times the current revenue to be able to afford 1bn transfer fee, especially with FFP.
Reckon it'll take at least 20 years to get there barring some ridiculous inflation.
Effectively clubs need to make 5-10 times the current revenue to be able to afford 1bn transfer fee, especially with FFP.
Reckon it'll take at least 20 years to get there barring some ridiculous inflation.
Except he doesn't get all the money and normally he pays all the "expenses "
Really depends the world's economy if oil prices goes up then I can see the billion mark to be beaten.
You won't have to pay £100 per game, this will be part of the normal broadcast for most games.
The broadcaster gets about 30-40% of the cut..the rest is then split between fighters with floyd getting the lions share.
So he gets close to what the broadcaster gets.
However this is just an example of how one guy is able to negotiate deals like that because of his own popularity.
People pay to see him exclusively, so he gets that speecial treatment.
now to put this into a football context..
forget even regular tv broadcasting
a club can find ways to monetise the fame of a player on a whole other level
so for example if there's eventually a very interactive live experience in a vr simulation setting...someone could experience the game as if they're not just a fan but part of the team..they could experience even running on the pitch during a game.
imagine watching a game with VR goggles and you're sat besides the manager.
i can't imagine such technology not existing down the line.
to take advantage of that alone would bring in obscene amount of money.
would you pay £50 for a one match experience of following around your fav footballer(s)...doesn't even need to be limited to games, could be regular training, hanging out with other players etc.
eventually maybe but that'l take a while
think about it, the moment there's an opportunity to share an interactive experience of this sort before it becomes a norm..ithe clubs that take advantage can make huge money.
In addition to that it's the clubs with the biggest fanbase and most popular players who'll get the buys anyway.
If United had only 1 match televised a year they would get hundreds of million as well but they play a ton of games a year and all of them are televised, completely different but can you imagine how much would they make if was Trump vs Putin in a fight
The bubble will burst long before we get to a billion pound player.