The first billion pound player?
- Thread starter antsmithmk
- Start date
The first billion pound player hasn't been born yet. Just because fees have doubled over the past year doesn't mean they won't stabilize in next 12 months.
Benjamin Aguero
American short-form billion, I assume you mean.
£1,000,000,000
As opposed to £1,000,000,000,000
Either way, no.
£1,000,000,000
As opposed to £1,000,000,000,000
Either way, no.
Lasted 8 years. Not bad!
I am not an economist by any means but it is (correct me if I am wrong) connected to how much money clubs earn. Granted when a club is state owned that means they have loads of money and thus can splash the cash extravagantly. But clubs like us or Liverpool or Madrid or Barcelona rely on their income. So once the income hits a certain mark, say 2 billion per calendar season, then the prices will inflate to match that.
Exactly. The key is figuring how much more the commercial market can expand. Considering Africa's middle class will probably grow a lot in the 20-30 years, Asia is still on an upward trajectory, and interest in North America can still grow by a lot (Canada's and the US' demographic make-up will ensure that anyway), I'd say there still a LOT of money to be made.
The fact that the record has more than doubled overnight does not mean much. Pogba cost £89m, previous record was Bale three years earlier for £85m and prior to that the record belonged to Ronaldo, mere £5m less 4 years earlier. So basically between 2008 and 2016 the record grew by £9m and before Ronaldo the previous record (not counting Kaka who was same Summer) was Zidane 7 years earlier.
I don't think it's likely Neymar fee will be broken in the next decade. This as an extra-ordinary case, the obscene release clause was met and the market has become very inflated in the last 2-3 years. It will stabilize.
I don't think it's likely Neymar fee will be broken in the next decade. This as an extra-ordinary case, the obscene release clause was met and the market has become very inflated in the last 2-3 years. It will stabilize.
not gonna happen
We are unlikely to breach even half that in the next decade. Most clubs just don't generate enough revenues to reject a 200 pound bid for a player. Those revenues aren't suddenly going to double or triple.
Never I think Neymar's transfer is the ceiling.
You're going to blow my mind if Billion is an arbitrary number.
It's an absolute number. A thousand million. The first number you wrote.
The second number you wrote is a Trillion.
I'll say he's been born. If he moves at 23 years old that's enough time for the record to go from 220 to 1000.
Messi didn't move. If he had been developed at any club but Madrid, Barca or Bayern he probably would have already moved for an insane figure at this point, like Neymar just did. So I think 500 gets crossed in the 2020s and 1 billion in the 2030s.
Messi didn't move. If he had been developed at any club but Madrid, Barca or Bayern he probably would have already moved for an insane figure at this point, like Neymar just did. So I think 500 gets crossed in the 2020s and 1 billion in the 2030s.
Coutinho to Barcelona next summer because he's at least 10 times better than than Ney-laa.
How about Euro?
CR7 has a buyout of 1 billion euro
CR7 has a buyout of 1 billion euro
Long and Short scales way of saying how large a number is. But we're speaking English here, so 1,000,000,000 is a billion.
Anyway, on topic. No I don't think we'll ever see a billion transfer fee, not for a VERY long time. As in, it will take some seriously drastic changes to allow this to happen. Like pounds or euro going down in value dramatically. But none of that matters, because I believe we'll see some sort of wage and transfer cap in the future anyway.
Not born yet.
Neymar isn't a normal transfer. Qatar paid that much because of the political situation in the Gulf and the upcoming World Cup. It wasn't a footballing purchase, it was a government flexing their muscle, and that probably wont happen again.
Neymar isn't a normal transfer. Qatar paid that much because of the political situation in the Gulf and the upcoming World Cup. It wasn't a footballing purchase, it was a government flexing their muscle, and that probably wont happen again.
Id prefer if someone or some governing organisations stepped in and put a stop to this crap.
There is no way any player is worth that money.
There is no way any player is worth that money.
Surprised there are some who don't think it will be in our lifetimes.
It most likely won't be somebody already playing (although I wouldn't rule it out completely) - I'd say it'll probably be within the next 20-30 years though.
I bagsy 2039.
It most likely won't be somebody already playing (although I wouldn't rule it out completely) - I'd say it'll probably be within the next 20-30 years though.
I bagsy 2039.
All these people saying "not gonna happen", what is the logic behind that? We've gone from 30 million to 200 million in about 15 years. I'm willing to bet that 500 million will be broken in the next 20 years. 1 billion will also be shattered.
I don't think 1 billion will happen. We are already starting to see some of the tv companies have a hard time keeping up with the rise in tv rights so there are less and less competitors. With the rise of cord cutters the cable companies will eventually top out at what they can offer.
Karamoko Dembele.
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The world now seems to conform to the short-form billion, which is a thousand-million, but it is all fairly abitrary. As long as both parties are regarding a billion as 10e9 then it's fine.
Traditionally, a billion is a million-million though.
Kai Rooney.
Steady on, old boy!
I respect that we all probably thought a £200m transfer was impossible some years ago, but £/$/€ 1 billion is just not going to happen. Assuming you mean the actual transfer fee and not player wages included over the course of their contract.
Financial Fair Play (FFP) will get tougher by then. It has to.
I respect that we all probably thought a £200m transfer was impossible some years ago, but £/$/€ 1 billion is just not going to happen. Assuming you mean the actual transfer fee and not player wages included over the course of their contract.
Financial Fair Play (FFP) will get tougher by then. It has to.
The idea that it will never happen is slightly myopic in terms of long term thinking. I would not expect to see it within my lifetime or the lifetime of anybody on this forum, however the likelihood of it ever happening depend on how football and technology develops which is getting more advanced everyday.
The whole reason why football transfer fees are still rising after initially cooling around the time of the credit crunch beginning to bite is simply down to supply and demand and the fact that a lot like the stock market (with footballers representing stocks in this analogy) if there is capital flowing into the system then the prices of everything rise, and there has never been more money flowing into football than there is now.
The more money football clubs can make (and were just seeing our own club coming up with a sleeve sponsor) the higher transfer fees will get, at some point you think there has to be a bust period but whilst we're in a boom period as we currently are anything is possible if that continues for long enough.
The whole reason why football transfer fees are still rising after initially cooling around the time of the credit crunch beginning to bite is simply down to supply and demand and the fact that a lot like the stock market (with footballers representing stocks in this analogy) if there is capital flowing into the system then the prices of everything rise, and there has never been more money flowing into football than there is now.
The more money football clubs can make (and were just seeing our own club coming up with a sleeve sponsor) the higher transfer fees will get, at some point you think there has to be a bust period but whilst we're in a boom period as we currently are anything is possible if that continues for long enough.
one billion (in English) = un milliard (in French) = un milliardo (in Italian) = mil millones (in Spanish) = один миллиард (in Russian)
one trillion (in English) = un billion (in French)
Edit: Even so, it should not be a big problem for PSG.
one trillion (in English) = un billion (in French)
Edit: Even so, it should not be a big problem for PSG.
Let's see how much more Brexit devalues the Pound!
Wait till China hosts a world cup
If you count wages and bonuses within the 5 year contract length, I don't think it will take many years until we see the first billion £ player. But 1 billion for the transfer only I can't see happening soon. Unless the pound loses alot of value that is.
I don't think you'll see a billion pound player for at least 15 years tbh. I do think we'll see a £500m player within next 5 years though
Saddest post I've ever read on tbe caf
Mateo Ronaldo or Mateo Messi
2000s - 80m
2010s - 200m
2020s - 500m
So 2030s, just in time for either of the Mateos...
2000s - 80m
2010s - 200m
2020s - 500m
So 2030s, just in time for either of the Mateos...
Rashford
Cumulatively it will be either Tevez or Anelka.
There probably already has been a billion pound player in the Zimbabwean league. I heard he's not very good.
Hazard maybe? Neymar again (to Real)?
Other names are not providable yet, as they have to turn up first. There will be massive talents again.
Surely he would be on a diet before reaching that mark?
Chelsea, City, PSG and the likes really ruined the game, didn't they?