Tennis 2023

I get most of my sporting predictions wrong, but I never thought that Medvedev was winning this.

Since his defeat to Nadal last year, he has never recovered and is just not the same player. The nature of that defeat broke him. He went into that tournament full of swagger and confidence winning the 2021 US Open title comfortably, leading Russia to the Davis Cup title at the end of that year winning all his matches in straight sets, wining the ATP Cup with Russia at the start of 2022, and then coming through a tough draw to set-up that final against Nadal. But he has never been the same player since then. I prefer him to Zverev and Tsitsipas (the prospect of a 'new big 3' of Medvedev, Zverev and Tsitsipas which seemed possible at one stage never excited me), and I hope he can return to his previous level.
 
Predictions are only good until… they stand. :D If you get most predictions right, better you bet on them.
 
I went with Swiatek and Djoko originally, but I think he'll lose tomorrow.

For shits and giggles, now that Medvedev is out if Murray beats Bautista Agut, he wins the whole thing. But the 'if Murray beats' is a fecking huge if...
 
So Felix is the only 1 of the 10 players covered in those 5 first Netflix episodes, that's still around at this tournament.

On the subject of Medvedev, I was thinking that he is probably the only ATP world no. 1 in history that has been strong on just 1 surface. Kuerten, Muster and Moya were all better on hard courts (Kuerten and Muster also won big indoor titles beating the likes of Agassi and Sampras) than he has been on clay or grass. Admittedly modern day tennis is incredibly hard-court centric (overly so IMO), so if you can only be strong on one surface, it's better than to be strong on hard courts than clay and especially grass.

I still find the shift that we've seen in women's tennis to be interesting. In previous eras women's tennis was so top heavy, much more so than men's tennis, with the top players putting up insane numbers and there being basically no depth outside the top 10 (or top 20 until we were into the 21st century). I gather that in the 80s, many tennis followers were simultaneously praising the wonderful Navratilova-Evert rivalry (one of the greatest rivalries in the history of any sport surely), while also mentioning the absence of any depth in women's tennis at the time and the fact that the standard of players outside the top 10 and of early round grand slam matches was atrocious. For a long-time, women's grand slam tournaments only really started from the quarter-final or even semi-final stage. Nowadays the standard of the WTA top 10 is definitely weaker compared to many / most previous eras, but the standard of the WTA top 100 is astronomically better. The quality of early round women's grand slam matches, standard WTA tournaments which do not have top 10 or top 20 players in them etc., is vastly superior compared to previous eras.
 
If not Djokovic I reckon Rune will pick up his first grand slam here.
 
Andy Murray struggling to avoid going 4-0 down in the first set.
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He is shot, of course, hopefully his body is ok and a good, looong rest will make him (and us) enjoy the grass season.
 
He is limping around the place :lol: shouldn't even be out there by looks of it.

Come on Muzza!
 
He is shot, of course, hopefully his body is ok and a good, looong rest will make him (and us) enjoy the grass season.

Yeah, it’s such a shame he couldn’t put Berrettini away in three in R1 (I suspect that was the reason for the slow start in R2). The draw RBA will now have to the final is:

Tommy Paul
JJ Wolff, Popyrin or Shelton
Injured Djokovic
 
Djoko is definitely struggling here. Wouldn't fancy him against a flying Rune if the injury doesn't improve.
 
Djoko is definitely struggling here. Wouldn't fancy him against a flying Rune if the injury doesn't improve.
Yeah no chance he wins the tournament. Still his tennis brain is truly unmatched. Wins the first set after a brutal tie break.
 
Djoko is definitely struggling here. Wouldn't fancy him against a flying Rune if the injury doesn't improve.
Yeah, he’s clearly restricting his movement to avoid aggravating hamstring injury any further, but it limits his game a lot.
 
I respect the hustle that RBA has, but you feel like the court could be a foot narrower on each side and he’d still never hit it wide.

At one point Murray had only won 2 games compared to 8 and the winners were something like 10-13.
 
Hard to believe Murray could come back and win that set… but what a fighter he is.

In the tie break it felt like he barely got a first serve in, but the shot making from him was superb. Let’s go!
 
Just hope he’s not damaging himself for the rest of the season - he looks like a 70 year old man between points - but this fight from Murray is ridiculous. Some of the shots he is making are just on another planet to someone like RBA.
 
Watching the Djoko & Muzza ex-terminators in parallel with the softies in their early and mid 20s now at the top is an embarassment to the new generation (and I’m 30, so with an eye for the ones and the other for the latter).
 
Looks unlikely he’ll make the end of the match. Seems to have lost all movement this game.
 
Dimitrov losing this 3rd set all by himself.

You could put a practice dummy on the other end and he'd still lose it.

Mental headcase.
 
How you watching Murray? Only Djokovic match on TV here.
 
I said this before, but watching Dmitrov's lousy display against Djokovic today further compounded the fact that overall the group of players born in the early 90s (nicknamed in the past as the 'lost gen') were weak (the weakest crop of players I can remember since I started following the sport), and unfortunately pretty much a black-hole at the top of the sport.

While each member of the big 3 has of course been incredible, clearly the collective weakness over those players was beneficial to all of them in terms of continuing to pile on grand slam title wins. It took those players seemingly an eternity to overtake the likes of Ferrer and Berdych. Federer openly admitted that him, Nadal and Djokovic all benefited from that plus the homogenised conditions.

Thiem was clearly by far the best player from the that crop, but of course was plagued by injuries since winning his US Open title in 2020 (the first of still only 2 men's grand slam titles to date won by players born in the 90s) and unfortunately couldn't return to his previous level.
 
Hopefully the about 00s will be more apt, we are seeing a number of such players already (Alcaraz of course, Ruud as well, then Rune, Sinner, Musetti) and a spicy Tsitsipas vs Sinner is being sold in Italy as the revenge from last year’s thrashing of our young gun at QF level. We will see. EDIT: Ruud is Dec ‘98, my bad.. FAA 00 as well .
 
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