I'll be pleasantly surprised if we make any significant signings before the beginning of August.
Bear in mind there is a world cup. Not saying there's any excuse this summer - there isn't... just saying that players will not want to be doing deals. Late July I assume talks will start but nothing will be wrapped up until august, big deals take time, Bale took 3 months
With Rooney, RvP, Mata, Januzaj, Welbeck as our core Moyes has no excuses if we can't score regulary. That's 3 world class players, one world class talent, and *** guy. With a good, not needed to be world class addition like Cerci that should be good enough. We can't sell all our wingers, one hopefully not more than 2 of Nani/Young/Valencia will stay. With Zaha and hopefully Lingard in the mix that should really be good enough. The CM situation with those signings would be sorted for years. 2 new starters in rotation with Fellaini, Carrick, Cleverley and Fletcher sounds good. Maybe with a kick up his ass Cleverley will try to improve. Jones/Smalling/Evans/Garay isn't world class but a very balanced CB group. Rafael and Coentrao as our starters.
Forgetting about them being away playing in the World Cup?We'd be absolutely stupid to leave it that late. We should (if we can) get the majority of players we're after wrapped up by June/early July to give them time to settle in and us the time to accommodate them within the squad and team. If we left it late, we'd be in for another disaster of a summer IMO.
I fear we're kidding ourselves if we think the world cup won't be used as the next window's excuse as to why it's been "difficult to conclude any business" as we head into the final 48 hours of the window
There is no way you are getting 50m+ for Nani, Hernandez and Kagawa. They'll sell for around 10-12m a pop.
Exactly. Can't do transfers during the World Cup. Can't do transfers immediately after as players go on holiday. By the time they come back there won't be much time to conclude the transfers we require considering we need at least 3 quality players.
I think Hernandez could fetch close to 20, but the rest, you're right, will fetch for 10m.
Yeah, a big reason I think pre-deals will be popular ahead of the WC
Has pre-deals happened before in a World Cup summer? Can't think of any to be honest but my memory is quite fuzzy.
Ridiculous, its not because kagawa isn't played by Moyes that he is suddenly worth no more than 10m.....
He was the best player at Dortmund when we bought him and he won the Bundesliga player of the year award. We got him for €23m because he only had one year left on his contract, at that time a fair value for him would have been €35m to €40m easily. Ofcourse we can't get that out of him anymore but there are still plenty of teams that will remeber the class of Kagawa, he is 23 years old and because of the situation at United an absolute super deal for a team that needs a quality nr 10 and doesn't have alot of money to spend for it. I could easily see him go for €20m to a team like Dortmund or some Serie A team.
Nani has been linked to the likes of Inter, Juventus etc and he can easily fetch €15m aswell. He may need some more gametime (like Kagawa) to really show his quality again to the world, I believe the worldcup could be and excellent opportunity for that.
In terms of value Kagawa is definetely worth €20m and Nani €15m, the teams that would get them for those prices would be doing excellent business.
Hernandez, think he was confirmed around March.Has pre-deals happened before in a World Cup summer? Can't think of any to be honest but my memory is quite fuzzy.
Some people are really getting their hopes up and it's only going to end badly. I doubt we'll see a window of Fellainiesque proportions, it should certainly be better than that. But we simply aren't going to see elite names like Kroos, Gundogan or Vidal join unfortunately. I'm sure the fact it's a 'World Cup year' will be the latest excuse when we are fast approaching Deadline Day with not much to show. The outgoings are more than likely going to be a lot worse than last Summer, so that will probably negate more positive incomings this Summer.
I would say we are likely to see a young prospect in midfield like Carvalho and a more established one, a left back, centre back and possibly a versatile fullback join, but none will be top names.
As far as outgoings go, I would say Ferdinand, Vidic, Evra, Anderson and Giggs are nailed onto leave. While, Buttner, Cleverley, Nani, Young, Kagawa and Hernandez could all feasibly leave.
Our squad will realistically look something like this:
GK: De Gea, Lindegaard, Johnstone
DF: Centre back, Smalling, Jones, Evans, Rafael, Varela, Left back, Versatile fullback
MF: Carrick, Central midfielder, Fellaini, Fletcher, Young central midfielder, Mata, Januzaj, Valencia, Zaha, Young
FW: van Persie, Rooney, Welbeck, Hernandez, Powell
I don't want to sound like a killjoy in this thread, but if we do miss out on top four then you can wave your muppet signings goodbye.
Best case scenario, is Moyes recieves his P45, players like Kagawa and Hernandez don't leave and our new manager is capable of attracting Europe's finest even without the allure of Champions League football.
Kroos is hardly playing at Bayern
Forgetting about them being away playing in the World Cup?
I accidentally included Hernandez's name in the predicted squad, but this is of the assumption he leaves and Powell replaces him as a potential forward in the squad who will still play a minor role in cup games and such. Powell has looked comfortably above the level of Championship football. The only way he will be able to prove himself capable of playing in the Premier League is by being given a chance. Maybe he won't stay at the club, but at the same time, it isn't ideal for his development if he isn't progressing at a higher level. Worst case scenario is he will join a Premier League side on loan.No way is Powell going to be a part of the squad next year, he hasn't even had the chance to play on PL level, also he plays in a position in which Mata, Januzaj and Rooney all can play so no way would Moyes take him up, not a chance in hell.
Why would he take up Zaha if he didn't think he was good enough this season. Alright maybay Zaha will prove him wrong in those 6 months at Cardiff, but I think its more likely that Moyes will see to extend this loan or try and get him a loan to a bigger team than Cardiff for a season before taking him up in the first team squad.
Varela, same issue, hasn't played a single game in the PL, why would Moyes suddenly take him up ? Its possible ofcourse, wouldn't be against it either (if the lad is ready) but I doubt Moyes will be putting his faith in the hands of unproven players like Varela.
I also hope Moyes will be fired before the summer, but I'am pretty sure he won't. I'am also pretty sure that he probably won't finish in the top 4 and even if he does he will still have to do alot better next year. He has said it himself, Woodward has said it himself (even Mata in his presser said it), the club wants to seriously rebuild in the summer. He didn't do it last summer because he wanted to give all players the opportunity to prove themselves, alot of those players failed him and won't get a second chance in the summer. He'll definitely be looking to bring in atleast 5 to 6 new players and he knows they need to be ready for the first team and he knows he'll need an upgrade on what he had this year if he wants to improve next year.
Those 5 or 6 players won't be all Vidal, Kroos, Gundogan, Reus, that is impossible, but he'll try to bring in as many topclass players as he can I'am sure and Vidal for example will be very difficult, but Kroos is a diffirent issue. Kroos is hardly playing at Bayern and he wants to be among the top earners. Bayern don't want to pay high salaries to squad players, so there is a good chance he might leave. Does that mean he'll come to us, not necessarily, but its not impossible either. Its like with Mata, everybody thought we were chanceless, but if the moment is right and you pay top dollar you can get these kind of players. Personally I think Kroos is the most likely top signing we can make and I also have a feeling the club is already working on it, so its definitely not impossible. Last summer Moyes tried to get top players, but he wasn't desperate for them, he didn't want to overpay for the likes of Thiago and he clearly was unsure over his targets. This summer is different, this time he knows he really needs them and he probably already has a numbre of them linged up and he'll be willing to spend alot more money (in the summer we didn't want to pay £42.5m for Ozil because we already had Rooney and Kagawa, but in the Winter he seizes the opportunity to get Mata for £37.5m, why, because he has seen Kagawa isn't a player for him). Will be the same scenario with alot of other targets.
And there are plenty of good players who definitely are available for a club like United, even if we don't get top 4. Carvalho, Griezmann, Gaitan, Garay they don't play at top clubs and this United would be still be a step up for them, you can definitely get those players if you are willing to increase their salary. Same goes for good players at top clubs who aren't playing and/or are in contract negotation problems, if you apply the right leverage you can get these players, its how we got Mata, for the summer have your eyes open for: Lucas, Kroos who are in the same sitation.
There is no way you are getting 50m+ for Nani, Hernandez and Kagawa. They'll sell for around 10-12m a pop.
Nani's new contract adds a bit of market value on him. He's still a talented and seasoned professional and might excel in Italian football due to the time he will get on the ball, but the absolute maximum we would likely receive for him would be about £15M, but £12M is closer to the mark.I actually agree...juventus were only willing to pay 8m for him...yes he had only year left but I dont see them going above 12m
Kagawa's value has dropped quite a bit since he signed for 17m. Again 12m is probably the max we can expect.
Hernandez is one who could fetch 15-16m
Evra and vidic will proobably leave on a free along with ferdinand.
I accidentally included Hernandez's name in the predicted squad, but this is of the assumption he leaves and Powell replaces him as a potential forward in the squad who will still play a minor role in cup games and such. Powell has looked comfortably above the level of Championship football. The only way he will be able to prove himself capable of playing in the Premier League is by being given a chance. Maybe he won't stay at the club, but at the same time, it isn't ideal for his development if he isn't progressing at a higher level. Worst case scenario is he will join a Premier League side on loan.
Why would he retain Zaha? Pretty obvious really, it is very likely that at least one of Nani, Young and Valencia will not be here beyond the Summer and seeing as wide players aren't a essential need - unless we persist with this outdated wingplay - Moyes may not feel the need to sign a high calibre winger in the Summer, it will be extremely unlikely either way. Zaha is already starting to send out a statement with an excellent debut for Cardiff - probably a better performance than any of Valencia, Nani and Young have conjured up this season. If Zaha maintains that level of performance, he could be very difficult to ignore. It was ridiculous loaning him out in the first place.
Varela was admittedly a stab in the dark, but the fullback scenario I have predicted is far more likely than us retaining Evra as a backup option for Coentrao, while still having Buttner at the club and also having two players worthy of first team football in Rafael and Coleman fighting it out for a first team position at the club.
I admire your optimism, but I really expect another disappointing Summer transfer window. I alluded to it in my initial post, but it's very unlikely this window will be as unsuccessful as Fellaini being our sole signing, but I really don't expect United fans will be too happy come September.
I'm not suggesting we will sign six elite players, but it will be very difficult to sign two or possible even one. Mata was an exceptional circumstance, but I don't expect many deals like that will come to fruition. We will possibly sign four or five players and I expect a centre back, central midfielder and left back will be established/very good players.
I don't know where you are getting Kroos isn't a regular fixture in the Bayern side from. I'm sure Balu will be able to offer more insight, but he's been a vital figure in their team and epitomises Guardiola's style and what he expects from the team. His contract situation is merely a ruse to receive a bigger pay contract and United's name is being used to speed up a deal. The only positive I can see is the fact Guardiola is very much zero-tolerance, so he might be ruthless with Kroos is he can see his true intentions. Still a very unlikely and difficult signing.
Believe me, I want major signings just as much as you and they are needed more than ever. But I've naively got my hopes up the past two/three seasons and we've missed out on a shitload of quality players be it due to agent fees, taking a hard stance with transfer fees or simply neglecting our deficiencies.
It's completely different now with a new CEO and new manager and the clubs new approach to signings has generally been more open and honest - probably stupidly so - but even in spite of signing Juan Mata, I'm not expecting these deals to become the norm.
I also think Hernandez will be gone, but I don't think he needs to be replaced. He hardly features, we have 3 strikers with Rooney, RVP and Welbeck and with Mata as a secure option to play behind the striker we have 4 good players for 2 positions, so I really don't see why Powell would be necessary in the team. He is very talented and he deserves a chance on the higher level. However a Manchester United team that needs to claw its way up big time will hardly be ideal to give him the necessary playing time. I don't see why a loan to a PL would be worst case scenario, I think its ideal for a Powell next season that he would get a loan to a team like Cardiff or Sunderland where he could get first team football in the PL.
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I hope that's not black you wanted to put in there...
and RVPs fitness record is hardly amazing is it... which would put is to two strikers and that seems a bit thin
It could be henriquez and or keane could come back from loan and fill the 4th striker role but they are on loan to get games and develop as players so a short term fix may be worse in the long term.
Plus there is a lot of talk of Rooney possibly playing deeper in midfield which if it does happen would further impact striking options - possibly having games on Thursday nights wont help keeping strikers fresh as well so I would expect hernandez to be replaced if he goes (which I hope he does not but I wouldn't blame him if he did) - I dont expect some mega signing though - either an older player for a season or so whilst the players on loan develop or some over-hyped flavor of the month from the world cup (or an asian striker to sell shirts for the glazers).