Russian invasion of Ukraine | Fewer tweets, more discussion

I thought this was a good interview. Nothing really quite new but key points:
  • Milov thinks that Iran didn't willingly got involved but was pressured by Putin because Putin was helping Iran in several ways and threatened to cut that help.
  • Russian security services tightly under Putin's control so a coup is unlikely and you'd be better off betting on the Russian public to rise up rather than the "elites".
  • Sanctions are extremely hurtful to Russian complex industries but patience is needed.
  • Nordstream damage was message to the West that their infrastructure can be hurt.
  • Nuclear threats to be taken seriously but not exaggerate it because Putin knows it'd be the end of him and India/China/other countries would distance themselves even more from Russia.
  • Forcing Ukraine to negotiate for peace would be celebrated with champagne in the Kremlin as they can regroup and strike again later.

 
I thought this was a good interview. Nothing really quite new but key points:
  • Milov thinks that Iran didn't willingly got involved but was pressured by Putin because Putin was helping Iran in several ways and threatened to cut that help.
  • Russian security services tightly under Putin's control so a coup is unlikely and you'd be better off betting on the Russian public to rise up rather than the "elites".
  • Sanctions are extremely hurtful to Russian complex industries but patience is needed.
  • Nordstream damage was message to the West that their infrastructure can be hurt.
  • Nuclear threats to be taken seriously but not exaggerate it because Putin knows it'd be the end of him and India/China/other countries would distance themselves even more from Russia.
  • Forcing Ukraine to negotiate for peace would be celebrated with champagne in the Kremlin as they can regroup and strike again later.


 
The stranger his segments the worse it seems to be going for the Russians. Will be interesting to see his reaction when they lose.
The last one was absolute gold…..it’ll be hard to top, especially as it was full of agonised realisation of how shit they are
 
Ukraine going into the naval drone business now? That's news.
This craft was found on the Crimean shores about a month ago, it has been tought it is a unmanned surface vehicle produced by Ukraine.
Equiped with a Starlink antenna at the back, camera at the middle and what might be a laser rangefinder in front of it. The two things sticking out at the front are believed to be triggers for the explosives it is carrying.
It was probably more crafts like this one that was used in the attack today.
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Russia failed to take down Ukrainian computer systems with a massive cyber-attack when it invaded this year, despite many analysts' predictions. The work of a little-known arm of the US military which hunts for adversaries online may be one reason. The BBC was given exclusive access to the cyber-operators involved in these global missions.
https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-63328398
 
If you're posting a Russian-language source, at least provide a translation.

Three months ago: Putin is waiting for "peace" in exchange for a grain deal and an agreement to freeze his control over the newly occupied territories, as soon as he realizes that this does not work, he will ruin the grain deal. How to look into the water
 
First or 2nd highest RU KIA number since we started getting these reports March (day of the sinking of the Moskova might be first). New recruits really are just being sent into a meat grinder. +52 APCs is also a huge number.

 
First or 2nd highest RU KIA number since we started getting these reports March (day of the sinking of the Moskova might be first). New recruits really are just being sent into a meat grinder. +52 APCs is also a huge number.


950 :eek: Of course there are questions about the accuracy of it but it is a massive jump from a typical ~400.
 


Am I missing something? What was funny about that?

Think people shouldn't share videos such as this because more views will only increase the amount of idiots that watch this shit.
 
First or 2nd highest RU KIA number since we started getting these reports March (day of the sinking of the Moskova might be first). New recruits really are just being sent into a meat grinder. +52 APCs is also a huge number.



Looks like it's 950 in the week rather than in a day no? Just going by the dates in the graphic. Still a disgusting number of course.
 
Looks like it's 950 in the week rather than in a day no? Just going by the dates in the graphic. Still a disgusting number of course.
No, it's daily. Dates in the graphic are February 24th - October 30th.
 
Am I missing something? What was funny about that?

Think people shouldn't share videos such as this because more views will only increase the amount of idiots that watch this shit.

Agreed and agreed. Also comments section made me literally sick. Disgusting.
 
No, it's daily. Dates in the graphic are February 24th - October 30th.

Oh wow, even if they're half correct then those numbers are appalling for the Russians. Even if they mobilise 300,000 more cannon fodder then they wouldn't even last a year...
 
Oh wow, even if they're half correct then those numbers are appalling for the Russians. Even if they mobilise 300,000 more cannon fodder then they wouldn't even last a year...
Their routine daily failed (so far) assaults on Bakhmut for about a month has probably added decent amount of numbers to these tolls as well.
 
950 :eek: Of course there are questions about the accuracy of it but it is a massive jump from a typical ~400.

They're making a mighty push for Bakhmut, using untrained soldiers with terrible weapons. I imagine that's what's causing most of the deaths.
 
Their routine daily failed (so far) assaults on Bakhmut for about a month has probably added decent amount of numbers to these tolls as well.
The way that went (Wagner recruiting prison inmates and then forcing them to attack a well defended city) might give cynical people like me the impression that Russia just wanted a cheap way to empty their prisons and sentencing criminals to death.
 
Ukrainian air force which should have ceased to exist in February is still very much alive.