Russian invasion of Ukraine | Fewer tweets, more discussion

Israel is growingly concerned by the “dangerous closeness” between Russia and Iran over the supply of drones manufactured in the Islamic Republic to attack Ukraine, and is, as a result, holding daily assessments to review its position on the conflict, Prime Minister Yair Lapid told The Jerusalem Post.

“Part of the work we’re doing has to do with the very dangerous closeness that is being created between Russia and Iran,” Lapid told the Post in an interview on Sunday. “It’s not something we are going to ignore or do nothing about… so what we need to do is reassess on a daily basis and react.”
https://www.jpost.com/israel-news/politics-and-diplomacy/article-720456
 
"In a letter led by Rep. Pramila Jayapal, the 30 Democrats call on Biden to pair the unprecedented economic and military support the U.S. is providing Ukraine with a “diplomatic push, redoubling efforts to seek a realistic framework for a ceasefire.”


 
"In a letter led by Rep. Pramila Jayapal, the 30 Democrats call on Biden to pair the unprecedented economic and military support the U.S. is providing Ukraine with a “diplomatic push, redoubling efforts to seek a realistic framework for a ceasefire.”



Unless Ukraine asks us to mediate, they can feck right off with that proposal.
 
"In a letter led by Rep. Pramila Jayapal, the 30 Democrats call on Biden to pair the unprecedented economic and military support the U.S. is providing Ukraine with a “diplomatic push, redoubling efforts to seek a realistic framework for a ceasefire.”




How much kompromat do they have on US politicians anyway?
 
I started reading a book about the evolution of US nuclear strategy (The Bomb: Presidents, Generals, and the Secret History of Nuclear War), still in the earlier parts. But one thing so far that seemed a parallel to this situation is when the Nixon administration tried to play up the "madman theory", that Nixon might nuke North Vietnam in a fit of anger, to try and persuade the North Vietnamese to agree to a more favorable (for the US) peace agreement. The North Vietnamese were pretty unmoved by the threat. They then tried to sort of play the same card again on the Soviets, going as far as putting Strategic Air Command on one of their most active alerts in their history (more bombers in the air at all times) for about a week. The angle was also that they wanted the Soviets to pressure North Vietnam into a more favorable peace deal, and again that Nixon was so mad and angry that he might actually use the nukes. The Soviets also didn't seem to give a shit.

There's a parallel here where Ukraine is like North Vietnam, and the US and USSR/Russia are essentially inverted. Back in the late 60s/early 70s the thinking in the US was already that any sort of nuclear exchange was unlikely to be limited in any way, and would likely escalate rather quickly into an all-out exchange with casualties in the hundreds of millions for both sides, with neither of the countries ending up intact in any recognizable way (early US plans also roped China into the targets, whether they had initiated anything or not).

It's the only way to treat the nuclear threat really, given how utterly irrational it would be for any of the major countries to use one.
 
"In a letter led by Rep. Pramila Jayapal, the 30 Democrats call on Biden to pair the unprecedented economic and military support the U.S. is providing Ukraine with a “diplomatic push, redoubling efforts to seek a realistic framework for a ceasefire.”



Now, Republicans can say the opposite of it since some Democrats took that route?
 
"In a letter led by Rep. Pramila Jayapal, the 30 Democrats call on Biden to pair the unprecedented economic and military support the U.S. is providing Ukraine with a “diplomatic push, redoubling efforts to seek a realistic framework for a ceasefire.”




Maybe the US and Russia can meet in Munich to discuss the future of Ukraine. Would that make these guys happy?

Any chance for a diplomatic solution ended when Russia annexed more Ukrainian territory and ensured that it would never return the territory to Ukraine.
 
I’m not saying his comments are pre-planned, but don’t mistake RT’s stance and the very loud, faux outrage of high profile Russian figures as anything other than the obvious attempt to court positive attention from pro-Russian westerners. We’ve literally watched Simonyan et al say just as horrific things on a weekly basis.
 
Maybe the US and Russia can meet in Munich to discuss the future of Ukraine. Would that make these guys happy?

Any chance for a diplomatic solution ended when Russia annexed more Ukrainian territory and ensured that it would never return the territory to Ukraine.

Very much this. The only ceasefire will come after Crimea falls back into Ukrainian hands after almost 9 years.

Not often I say this, but those (30) Democrats can feck right off. Idiots.
 
"Yevgeniy Prigozhin, the Russian tycoon behind the mercenary group Wagner, personally told Putin that his military chiefs are mismanaging the war, U.S. officials said."

 
There's been some talk in here about alleged spying in Norway, with some arrests made. Drones and the like. I don't think much is known about those cases yet, but one person arrested in Svalbard is Andrey Yakunin, son of Vladimir Yakunin who has pretty close ties to Putin (Wiki link). https://www.vg.no/nyheter/utenriks/...-er-en-del-av-putins-absolutt-naermeste-krets

What the cases involving drones mean is hard to say, because with the sanctions it's illegal no matter how benign the filming is so it can be anything. In this specific instance it's also a bit more unclear about the legalities with Svalbard having some laws about discrimination based on nationality that may or may not be relevant here. More on that: https://www.nrk.no/tromsogfinnmark/angriper-droneforbudet_-_-bryter-mot-svalbardtraktaten-1.16145691

Both articles in Norwegian, so you'll have to use a translator if you're interested in details.

Two more arrested Saturday, charged with illegal photography. https://www.nrk.no/nordland/to-russere-pagrepet-i-nordland-1.16150870

Cops wanted them to be held in custody for 2 weeks, but the courts rejected that on Monday and said they'll have to be released. The picture is of a harbor, taken from a moving car, and the court argues it doesn't show anything you can't see on Google Maps. Further they say it's not visible that the harbor is military. The cops have appealed, so they're still being held.
 
Some people were also arrested for photographing the coast guard base in Sortland, I believe. The problem is that the coast guard base is right there in the harbour, with nothing at all protecting it from casual view. It's on Google Earth, you can find pictures of it on their official site, and there's a major bridge offering a perfect view of it.

The law is the law, but I think a lot of people have violated it in some of these areas. I might have taken a picture of a coast guard ship in Sortland myself for all I know, I can't remember.
 
Ukraine needs more modern air defense systems...

According to a statement from Ukraine government IRIS-T has a 90% success rate. That's much higher than what S-300 manages so far.
 
Ukraine needs more modern air defense systems...

According to a statement from Ukraine government IRIS-T has a 90% success rate. That's much higher than what S-300 manages so far.
Shocking, modern missile works better than vacuum tube 70s rust bucket. Although for the times it was a really capable system and range wise it still kind of is. But everything Russian made suffers from significant reliability issues.
 


Send in the 10th Mountain Div as relief pitching -- in their winter kit, who would know the diff?!
 
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