Russian invasion of Ukraine | Fewer tweets, more discussion

Some Ukrainian troops already operating inside the city of Kherson it seems:

 
Germany to stop Russian oil imports by end of this year:

"... We will halve oil by the summer and will be at zero by the end of the year, and then gas will follow," said German foreign minister Annalena Baerbock ..."

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-61164894

Where are they getting their supplies from then? You don't build such O&G capacity overnight. Takes years.
 
Where are they getting their supplies from then? You don't build such O&G capacity overnight. Takes years.
Oil is pretty simple, as this is usually transported by oil tankers and not via pipelines, so can be bought everywhere where oil is exported. Therefore the timeline is plausible, you just need to secure the deals for that and that's about it. Gas is a bit more difficult as it relies heavily on pipelines and therefore will take more time, but the emphasis is on increasing LNG transport capacity (ships and terminals), to also become more flexible here.

The claims by Baerbock seem in contrast with statements from the finance minister in the article.
Not really. You can read it as Baerbock stating the intented timeline and Lindner just reinforcing the point that a shutdown of the German economy without a replacement shouldn't happen. And Lindner's role is quite limited in this whole story as he is responsible for finances, more important are the Green ministers Baerbock (foreign affairs) and Habeck (economy). These two are travelling and trying to get Germany deals around the world.

Therefore I don't think the article is quite right in it's interpretation that a rift between FDP and Greens exist because of this topic. The far bigger rift is between Greens/FDP and SPD, as they differ on fundamental questions (do we deliver heavy weapons?). Greens and FDP have the same target here, just one is more cautious (the one who has to deal with the bills), which is quite natural I think.
 

This is so evil I’m lost for words but sadly not surprised one bit. I don’t understand how west can just sit there and watch and only do some half-hearted measures.

Been happening in the DNR and LNR for years. The world has watched by, and even begun to accept the Russian narrative there.
 
Not gonna lie, Solovyov is quite the funny guy.



I guess the point of this stuff is bolster the image - for the Russian people - of Russia as some mighty power, rather than a nation with a smaller economy than that of Italy and a military that won't be able to even conquer Ukraine.

But really, it's a kind of whistling in the dark to keep up spirits.
 
Not sure if the Russians are laughing though.

I don't think they'd laugh at this either:

Biden calls Putin to discuss the latest situation. He shares with Putin: “I had an interesting dream – I saw Moscow, full of light, joy, dancing and laughter, with people driving luxury cars – just like it was before all these war sanctions. There were neon lights and billboards all over the city!”

At this point, Putin asks: “And what did these billboards say?”

Biden responds: “How the hell would I know… I don’t speak Ukrainian.”
 
Oil is pretty simple, as this is usually transported by oil tankers and not via pipelines, so can be bought everywhere where oil is exported. Therefore the timeline is plausible, you just need to secure the deals for that and that's about it. Gas is a bit more difficult as it relies heavily on pipelines and therefore will take more time, but the emphasis is on increasing LNG transport capacity (ships and terminals), to also become more flexible here.


Not really. You can read it as Baerbock stating the intented timeline and Lindner just reinforcing the point that a shutdown of the German economy without a replacement shouldn't happen. And Lindner's role is quite limited in this whole story as he is responsible for finances, more important are the Green ministers Baerbock (foreign affairs) and Habeck (economy). These two are travelling and trying to get Germany deals around the world.

Therefore I don't think the article is quite right in it's interpretation that a rift between FDP and Greens exist because of this topic. The far bigger rift is between Greens/FDP and SPD, as they differ on fundamental questions (do we deliver heavy weapons?). Greens and FDP have the same target here, just one is more cautious (the one who has to deal with the bills), which is quite natural I think.

Its just not about transportation -- the plants need to increase their capacity esp LNG gassification plants. They take years to build. I know -- the GF is up in China at the moment building one of the LNG gassification plants for Novatech (Russia) for the Siberia fields. They are about to complete 2 'trains' and were going to start another 'train' next year.
But they due to political pressure back home, are pulling out of the $30B project.
 
We got divided and occupied by both. Treating only West Germany as the real Germany and ignoring what happened to the East is a bit arrogant, but it happens in Germany too and it might be a reason why the divide still exists in most minds, so no worries if that's your view as well, it's a view you can get when dealing with most Germans.

While formal occupation ended in 1954 it took until the 2+4 treaty in 1990 to get full souvereignity again.

It was pretty clear that Germany would stop to exist if there would ever be a war between the US and the SU and their allies, no matter what we did. So it made a lot of sense to take part in creating the MAD to prevent WW3 from happening. But the thing is, Germany had also no choice because until 1990 the Allies were allowed to station troops in Germany, and they all did. NATO membership meant that the Bundeswehr could work together with the US and other troops, but had no influence on the existence of their bases in Germany.

Only since the 2+4 treaty they lost (or rather gave up) that right, and only since then Germany could ask the US to leave. But we likely won't do, as their presence puts a lot of money into the local economy around their bases.

I didn't deny that Germany was occupied by both. I assumed you grew up in West Germany supporting Hannover but this may of course have been an incorrect assumption. I'm saying that the options were not occupation by the USA or Germany remains independent. The options were occupation by USA or occupation by the USSR. And I'm saying I assume you would have preferred (assuming you are in Hannover) to have come under American occupation, as opposed to the whole country come under the Soviet Union?

OK then, even assuming that its the case that allied troops were there without proper consent until 1990, what exactly has happened since 1990? Thats 32 years now. British troops are basically gone, but thats a decision from the British. The Americans are still there. Are they there without consent?

Its a bit strange to make it sound like there wasn't (and remains) at least some acquiescence from the (West) Germans and then Germans, considering the alternatives at the time and what's happened since then.
 
My dad did his national service in Germany in 1954. He hated every minute of it, they were very strange times but I'm not sure what the alternative would have been.
 
I didn't deny that Germany was occupied by both. I assumed you grew up in West Germany supporting Hannover but this may of course have been an incorrect assumption. I'm saying that the options were not occupation by the USA or Germany remains independent. The options were occupation by USA or occupation by the USSR. And I'm saying I assume you would have preferred (assuming you are in Hannover) to have come under American occupation, as opposed to the whole country come under the Soviet Union?

OK then, even assuming that its the case that allied troops were there without proper consent until 1990, what exactly has happened since 1990? Thats 32 years now. British troops are basically gone, but thats a decision from the British. The Americans are still there. Are they there without consent?

Its a bit strange to make it sound like there wasn't (and remains) at least some acquiescence from the (West) Germans and then Germans, considering the alternatives at the time and what's happened since then.
Actually I was born after the reunification, so for me West vs East is just a historical point, although it often is a factor for older people.

And as I said, it was definitely better to become member of the NATO for Germany, but the choice was between cooperating or not cooperating, not whether there would be troops in Germany.

And consent is mostly there today and has been since our integration into EU and NATO, I didn't mean to deny that.
 
Interesting article about gas imports from Russia and Ukraine's opinion on it: https://www.reuters.com/business/en...ssian-nord-stream-1-gas-shipments-2022-04-20/

They don't lobby for a stop of imports, but they want to convince Europe to switch to Ukrainian pipelines, which would mean Russia would have to pay (more) transit fees to Ukraine and also motivate Russia to keep the pipeline infrastructure safe.

The story of smoothly working gas export and transit during this war is really fascinating...

Russia pays Ukraine to be able to get money from Europe while they are fighting a war against each other.
 
Wow. That's Medvedev, Rublev (both top 10 players) and Khachanov out of Wimbledon this year. Not sure if I agree with this one.


Those affiliated with the government or otherwise linked to Putin's power structure, I would agree with. Random athletes getting sanctioned just because Russia happens to be their country of birth wouldn't really accomplish anything imo. Medvedev seems like a very level headed guy from what I've seen.
They have been doing this throughout the whole war. Other Russian athletes have been kicked out. its a case by case basis dependent on the sport and what they choose to do. This is probably more notable as they are some of the top players. Imagine if Sharapova was still good
 
They have been doing this throughout the whole war. Other Russian athletes have been kicked out. its a case by case basis dependent on the sport and what they choose to do. This is probably more notable as they are some of the top players. Imagine if Sharapova was still good
Shes been resident in the USA since 1994 so she would have just taken US citizenship I think...
 
You can't have dual citizenship if you go US so would lose Russian
She would do that if at the height of her career I think

Also I think she can have 2 citizenships under both us and russian law

.
How can a Russian citizen obtain second citizenship?
* The United States, Cyprus, Australia and the United Kingdom are countries that officially allow the second citizenship.
https://www.vorotagoroda.com/en/rus...ion allows a dual,it was obtained before 2015.
 
You can't have dual citizenship if you go US so would lose Russian
You can have dual citizenship with the US but you have to declare it your primary residence and pay taxes on earnings made outside the US.
 
The Russians have given up on the idea of trying to storm the Azovstal steel plant in Mariupol and will now try to surround it so that no Ukrainian fighters can escape. At the same time they claim to have to taken the city and will hold a "victory" parade there on May 9th.

Several things strike me as problematic for the Russians here:

1) Sealing off an 8 mile perimeter around the steel plant (which is 4 square miles in size), 24 hours a day, 7 days a week, is going to tie up a lot of troops.

2) The Ukrainians defenders (more than 2,000 apparently) could strike at the perimeter at almost any point, at any time of their choosing. I would think it'd be impossible to make an 8 mile perimeter strong enough at every point to potentially repel an attack by, say, 1,000 soldiers.

3) It's a hollow claim to say you have taken a city when 2,000+ enemy soldiers remain active inside it.

4) A "victory" parade through a city that's been reduced to rubble does not sound like good optics to me.

5) How many troops will they need to guard their "victory" parade lest it come under attack? I'd suggest to the Russians that they don't broadcast it live on Russian TV.
 
Moans about NATO but has multiple vacation homes within NATO territory.
And due to sanctions he can't go there at the moment. He needs the Russian army to occupy Europe to be able to access his property again :lol:
 
The BBC reports:

"In his update at the White House, US President Joe Biden also says the US is banning Russian-affiliated ships from its ports, in a move to "ratchet up the pressure on Putin".

"No ship that sails under the Russian flag, or that is owned or operated by Russian interests, will be able to dock in a US port or access our shores. None, none," he says."
 
And Azarenka and Sabalenka out from the women's side
I think if they publically denounce the war they should play. They won’t but at least we should give them that option rather than just say you are Russian and therefore evil. We should make it clear this isn’t about being Russian it is about Putin and give all players a choice.