Russian invasion of Ukraine | Fewer tweets, more discussion
- Thread starter Wednesday at Stoke
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Watching all these trench videos only reinforces that Ukrainian gains are likely to come much slower than many might expect. I would imagine half of southern Kherson oblast is mined to the gills, especially as one nears Crimea.
That's interesting. The US intelligence breach recently showed that US intelligence services are concerned about the coming offensive and doubt whether Ukraine can regain significant territory. I believe after the leak there was a lot of pushback from Ukrainian officials on that line of thinking, but now they seem to be demonstrating those same concerns. There is a lot of interesting messaging going on right now on both sides. I can't tell what are truths and what are attempts at 4-D chess
Logically, it will be slow for UA to gain territories. RA troops have kind of stopped being bad, basically, and they have time to prepare for defense in many places. If UA tried to attack and cut them off in the middle of the map, I think it would be bad for them as they would get attacked by multiple sides. IMO, they should start clearing from the north-east side. Going to Crimea now sounds like a pipe dream.
What happened to the guy, he went completely mental?
1984 vibes this one.
Because Ukraine hits their military targets, Russia answers as always with civilian terror.
Long time ago. He adores Putin, I think he even got the Russian citizenship at some point.
Let's hope more people like him start to talk like that. That's the only way by propaganda irradiated people start realizing no one will win or even benefit from this war. Especially Russia, so the sooner they leave, the better for everyone.
Surprised such a unit like him is not being already deployed on the front.
Wouldn't be surprised if he well through the window soon sadly.
It's a step forward but only because they're losing so badly and it's likely effecting his monies.
If they were winning, he'd be happily cheering along while they commit genocide.
He's a full on Putin fanboy, much like Oliver Stone.
He was always a stupid piece of shit, this honestly isn't that big of a change.
The good old days when there seemed to be a bit of balance on the issues. No wonder Putin got rid of him.
The latest in a long line of wishful thinking that presumes Putin will tolerate a loss in Ukraine, replete with hundreds of thousands of dead and wounded Russians, a decimation to his own economy through sanctions, the cutting off of European markets for Russian energy, and the spectacle of presiding over a once great empire being humiliated by a "non country".
I don't think there can be any negotiations at this point or in the near future. Just look at the people who are in charge in Russia. Negotiating with them would be a complete waste of time.
It looks hard but Ukraine has 2 advantages on their side. They have satellite and drone footage of all field fortifications to find the weak spots and above all, they still profit from low russian morale. In those defensive positions isn't wagner waiting, but untrained, low morale and badly equipped russian conscripts. I'm pretty sure they will run again, if Ukraine breaks through even in one place.
I don't think it would be that easy. A case in point is how UA did poorly for months against meat grinders (with not much equipment in winter) on the Kreminna and Svatove fronts, which were fortified. I have not heard much about the offensive in those areas for awhile.
The success of UA would not depend much on RA's low morale as long as they had numbers. It would heavily depend on whether the UA has enough artillery, tanks, and mortars to make RA troops casualties as high as possible to trim their number. Small arms won't do much at all.
Supply of heavy ammunition will be very important but for me the key factor will be Ukraines ability to tactically maneuver it's troops on the battlefield. The front is 1500km long so there is a lot of room for movement and I think their best chance will be to out maneuver the Russians who we know from the early days of the war is not very good at maneuver warfare.
Outmaneuvering is good for a short-term gain, but as I said, the RA will most likely come back again with their meat grinders and superior artillery fires after the initial shock. So battles like Bakhmut and a few others will still happen somewhere else and it won't change much overall as none of us expects the UA to gain much of territories. It sounds really bad, but inflicting high(er) casualties is the only way to put Putin in a difficult position. Capturing a few hundred miles of land won't change anything for Putin in short and medium term.
Maybe Greece would like to contribute a few.
Escalating etc.
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Greece needs them against Turkey. But USA has a lot of F16s sitting around doing nothing!
Greece and Turkey really are an embarassment to NATO.... Just settle your differences and start acting responsibly and support the right things.
And yes I know about the background etc, it doesn't change the fact that it's an absolutely shameful situation and both countries really should focus on how to resove this instead of using it as a convenient excuse to not act (enough) to support Ukraine.
Turkey at least is providing quite a lot of stuff, but what does Greece actually do at the moment?
Greece is busy bringing down the numbers of malnourished children after the troika fecked their economy. Buying more war planes is probably not the priority right now.