Probably my own fault for starting this thread but it’s turned into a bit of a trainwreck, full of unbearably bad takes.
FAO the goldfish memories. This isn’t career highlights. Or footage from years ago. This is all from one season. Last season. Just shows what they’re capable of when they hit some form.
I’m not sure why they’re both (actually all three, including Mason) struggling to replicate what we saw in this video but we’ll run away with the league if they manage it.
It's true that the thread has been derailed lately. I would like to add one little thing though because you posted the video with their achievements from last season. I know that many people hate stats and prefer to trust the "eye-test" but it is a fact that both Martial and Greenwood outperformed their xG considerably last season. Martial scored 17 goals with an xG of 11.74 while Mason scored 10 league goals with an xG of 3.58. If there's one thing that xG usually gets right is that particular "regressing to the mean" prediction or the "evening out" of a bad form. For example, when we were dropping points left, right and centre in the first half of last season, the xPts stats were "predicting" that things would eventually become better for us because our points total wasn't reflecting our efforts on the pitch.
Back to our three strikers. Rashford's 7 goals with an xG of 5.69 is no big news really. Whatever his starting position, he's our focal point for finishing our attacking moves. He is given licence to try his luck from distance, he's the main recipient of the balls we play in behind defences and we also try to set him up on the left side to cut inside and shoot. He will get caught offside lots of times because we like to play the early balls in behind and he will miss a lot of chances because no one else, besides Bruno, will have a direct attempt at goal more often. Last season he scored 17 league goals with an xG of 19.93 which was deemed a good season for him.
Martial is a more flair player, he likes to dribble and to finish with a flourish. He may not be a big goalscorer, hence the question marks regarding his ability to lead the line, but more often than not, the goals he scores ooze with quality and this is why he has so many personal fans. Since 2016 he's outperforming his xG by an average rate of +2 (PL stats) but he's not scoring many goals. Last season, he got 17 league goals with an xG of 11.74. Thus far, he's doing worse (2 goals with xG of 4.44), therefore we can expect him to hit form but scoring 15+ league goals will be a bonus.
Greenwood, in his breakthrough season, registered 10 goals with an xG of 3.58. The stats tell us that his current slump in form was to be expected since far more experienced strikers can't keep it up and be so clinical for consecutive seasons. In this sense, the club did a good job in acquiring Cavani's services. He is a seasoned striker who can help us get the necessary goals we need in the bag in order to reach our team goals this season.
Martial and Greenwood's numbers last season seem to be outliers, similar (but not exactly the same) to Kane's 16/17 season, Salah's 17/18 or Mane's 18/19. We should expect improvement but we shouldn't depend on a repetition of what happened last season post-lockdown. It could happen but it probably won't. For example, Lewandowski didn't outperform his xG by more than 3 goals last season (in the Bundesliga) when he was literally on fire and, hands down, the best forward in the world. But when you score 34 goals with an xg of 31, it is an indication that the team worked hard not only to create many but also good chances for its forward.
I believe that our players' numbers will improve but i also believe that is our job to help them. The principal of a rather laissez-faire approach has helped Solskjaer a lot in the early stages of his rebuilding job. The answer from now on lies on what Solskjaer, Phelan and Carrick were shouting at Bruno yesterday: Keep the ball, recycle it and let players from the behind lines join the attack. In other words, work with the ball to create better chances. If we limit the instinctive shots from impossible angles and if we focus on getting players in good positions inside the box, there's a good chance that we won't need Rash, Tony and Mason to outperform their stats. It's no coincidence that our three best chances yesterday came from our ability to create space and time for Shaw and AWB to get in good positions in the final third.
I wouldn't pay 80 million quid for Grealish but by watching us on the pitch, a player of his mould would probably sweeten up our general play in the attacking half.