It will affect us, even if we don’t make top five… this could be the difference between playing EL or ECL next season.Spurs and Villa fans on tenterhooks.
It will affect us, even if we don’t make top five… this could be the difference between playing EL or ECL next season.Spurs and Villa fans on tenterhooks.
Dortmund vs Atletico on Tuesday will be the next really interesting match in this regard. Especially as Dortmund should be double motivated to proceed. Obviously you want to reach the semifinal, but also they are the BL team that currently would profit from the additional CL spot. If they manage to stay in they will give Germany a lead that München and Leverkusen maybe can defend.Relying on Arsenal v Bayern to a big extent as well.
I vision a scenario where we pip Spurs to 5th by a point (mainly cos Spurs fall apart and we scrape some lucky wins) and then Sancho helps Dortmund and Germany for that extra placeDortmund vs Atletico on Tuesday will be the next really interesting match in this regard. Especially as Dortmund should be double motivated to proceed. Obviously you want to reach the semifinal, but also they are the BL team that currently would profit from the additional CL spot. If they manage to stay in they will give Germany a lead that München and Leverkusen maybe can defend.
It isn't, as it would then make the difference between EL and ECL for you.I vision a scenario where we pip Spurs to 5th by a point (mainly cos Spurs fall apart and we scrape some lucky wins) and then Sancho helps Dortmund and Germany for that extra place
No, who am I kidding, 6th is as high as we are going to get anyway so it is irrelevant
Thanks. So as clear as mud, we may need to won the Fa Cup or for it to be won by City .It isn't, as it would then make the difference between EL and ECL for you.
Difficult yes, but look at the fixtures. It's not at all ridiculous to suggest that we could win the next four, while Tottenham are losing the next four. That's 12 points already (we are currently 11 points behind Tottenham). Even if we draw one, or Tottenham draw a couple, we would still be right behind them. There is indeed a tiny change that we could challenge Tottenham or Villa for a 5th place.I'm sorry but to suggest there is even a tiny hope is ridiculous. Nothing whatsoever suggests we will win 8 games in a row, no chance at all.
Difficult yes, but look at the fixtures. It's not at all ridiculous to suggest that we could win the next four, while Tottenham are losing the next four. That's 12 points already (we are currently 11 points behind Tottenham). Even if we draw one, or Tottenham draw a couple, we would still be right behind them. There is indeed a tiny change that we could challenge Tottenham or Villa for a 5th place.
If he's kept on for that alone it'd be a bit worrying in regards to the clubs decision making.Besides that, if we squeak by in 5th with CL does that mean we have to suffer ETH next season?
Why so surprised?
Yeah, I like your optimism. But when a team concedes at least 20 shots every match, it's literally impossible to win all these games."All" we need to do is to win all our remaining games, then we will probably make top 5. Our run-in is quite light, so it's not totally undoable. Both Tottenham and Aston Villa (especially Tottenham) have a tough program and I can't see Tottenham getting many more points this season. If they (or Villa) totally bottles it, we might not even need to win them all.
Bournemouth - Man.Utd.
Man.Utd. - Newcastle
Man.Utd. - Sheffield United
Man.Utd. - Burnley
Crystal Palace - Man.Utd.
Man.Utd. - Arsenal
Brighton - Man.Utd.
Winning them all would see us ending on 70 points.
Tottenham's remaining fixtures:
Newcastle - Tottenham (potential loss)
Tottenham - Arsenal (likely loss)
Chelsea - Tottenham (potential loss)
Liverpool - Tottenham (likely loss)
Tottenham - Burnley (win)
Tottenham - Man.City (likely loss)
Sheffield U. - Tottenham (win)
So, let's say then end up collecting only 6 points; that would hand them a total of 66 points. In that case, we can afford losing one game.
And Aston Villa:
Arsenal - Aston Villa (likely loss)
Aston Villa - Bournemouth (win)
Aston Villa - Chelsea (win)
Brighton - Aston Villa (potential loss)
Aston Villa - Liverpool (likely loss)
Crystal Palace - Aston Villa (potential loss)
So let's say they win 2 and draw 2; they would end up on 68 points.
So, still a tiny hope, IMO.
We won't win against BournemouthYeah, I like your optimism. But when a team concedes at least 20 shots every match, it's literally impossible to win all these games.
I'm hoping 5th spot does not get champions league football for epl side to soften the blow of us wasting so many opportunities to clinch the spot, I will be sorely disappointed if ten hag stays on after basically making us finish clos etc the same points tally that we had in the awful season before he joined.
I just looked at the fixtures left and you are right. I would only fancy us beating Sheff U and Burnley.Race for what We will probably win a maximum of 2 more league games.
It’s probably a complete waste of time discussing it as we’re not going to win all our games in a million years, but we could at least make it slightly interesting by beating Burnley and Sheffield United and getting it down to 4 or 5 points with 4 games to play if Spurs fail to win their next two.
I said that on the first page.Move this shit show to the football forum already.
Yeah but trouble is Spurs will beat Burnley and Sheffield United and that's enough for 5th place finish. Can lose rest of their games, none of Newcastle/us/Chelsea will catch them. Only question is whether Villa or Spurs finish 4th, though Villa seem to be favourites given their easier schedule.It’s probably a complete waste of time discussing it as we’re not going to win all our games in a million years, but we could at least make it slightly interesting by beating Burnley and Sheffield United and getting it down to 4 or 5 points with 4 games to play if Spurs fail to win their next two.
I am not sure but I think the rule of having the losing finalist take up the FA Cup EL spot when the winner is already CL qualified has been abandoned in favour of an extra EL spot via the league table. So the 6th (or 7th if indeed the PL got a 5th CL spot which will be a very close call) will qualify for EL while the 7th or 8th for ECL. Someone correct me if I am wrong, but ECL here we come.Am I right in saying we are guaranteed Europa League if we play City in the FA Cup final? Otherwise I can see us qualifying for the Conference, which will be really disappointing.
not looking good.Presumably Dortmund winning last night has reduced the chances of an extra European spot even further.
Both City and Villa are probably both favourites to win their competition, will that not have a significant impact on the rankings if they do?not looking good.
after last night its
will likely be even worse Thursday night as Leverkusen will knock out West Ham and Atlanta will knock out Liverpool. Bayern vs Arsenal might be the deal breaker plus would need City and Villa to win their respective competitions
- Italy - 18.428
- Germany - 17.215
- England - 16.750
you are right indeed… Here is the break it down i did in this thread.I am not sure but I think the rule of having the losing finalist take up the FA Cup EL spot when the winner is already CL qualified has been abandoned in favour of an extra EL spot via the league table. So the 6th (or 7th if indeed the PL got a 5th CL spot which will be a very close call) will qualify for EL while the 7th or 8th for ECL. Someone correct me if I am wrong, but ECL here we come.
if we expect city to win the FA Cup, then, normally 7th or 8th goes to the conference league, depending on whether England gets the extra CL spot or not.
scenario 1: City wins the FA Cup and England makes the UEFA top 2. (7th play Europa league, and 8th play conference league)
scenario 2:City wins the FA Cup and England fails to make the UEFA top 2. (6th play Europa league, and 7th play conference league)
scenario 3:Man United wins the FA Cup, we are guaranteed Europa league, at least, no matter the rest.
scenario 4: Coventry or Chelsea wins the FA Cup and England makes the UEFA top 2. ( FA Cup winner play Europa league, and 7th play conference league)
scenario 5: Coventry or Chelsea wins the FA Cup and England fails to make the UEFA top 2. (FA Cup winner play Europa league, and 6th play conference league)
The last two scenarios are also based on Chelsea, not making top six of the PL.
It will, but it depends how they do and how good Germany performs… if we suppose Italians will do reasonably well enough to stay first(with Atalanta and Fiorentina winning 1 more game each)… Leverkusen can cancel out Villa’s performance, and then we might be in danger if reduced to City vs (Bayern + Dortmund). City might have to beat Bayern twice and then win its final inside the 120 minutes.Both City and Villa are probably both favourites to win their competition, will that not have a significant impact on the rankings if they do?
We are not getting fifth so it is little relevance to us but be interesting to know.