This is spot on. Our recruitment has taken a nosedive in recent years. Haaland, Gvardiol and Savinho is good young players that you can see become world-class (Haaland obviously is already) or atleast good enough to maintain the level the club has been at but other than that we have gone straight into the trap of replacing players that leave with worse players while giving too much leeway to the players that are there. Most of the players that performed at their highest level did so under pressure to keep their spot, now when they are aging they suddenly are nailed on to start because of the squad management and the aimless recruitment. The first sign was Walker. It became crystal clear that we were a better team without him during the treble season, and he gave us every chance in the world to let him go on a high, but instead begged him to stay. Now after two more years in his legs he is one of many that needs to be upgraded on. Gündogan left straight after the CL final because we only wanted to offer him a 1-year contract, which currently looks like a genius decision. But we managed to undo the initial right decision by resigning him after he gave Barcelona what looks like his last good year of top level football, and now he is probably the player we most urgently have to replace with some fresh legs. Add an aging De Bruyne, aging Bernardo and injury-struck Stones to the mix, while we get an unlucky but entirely predictable long-term injury to our best player who we have outside a punt on Kalvin Phillips refused to look at cover for, and you have a squad that doesn't have the balance or athleticism to sustain the level of the last few years. And lets not talk about how we have replaced the goals from our widemen.
It isn't a million miles away from where we were in Peps first season, so it isn't like we are talking about writing off seasons just yet. But changes has to be made, hopefully tactically at first.
But I agree completely that the lack of transfer activity does seem to come from a place of arrogance. We certainly have relied on Pep to figure it out a bit too much recent years, which he of course has done brilliantly. This season I'm not sure if there is enough tools there to go from this to a team that can overcome huge point differentials to win the league or be competive enough in Europe. But it is also important to remember that both last season and the treble season were complete write-offs at this stage. We didn't have a patch of games like this but we looked tumescent and devoid of ideas for most of the pre-christmas games in both those seasons. The title in 20/21 is much the same story. It has become a pattern at this point. But it is realistic to think that if the squad get gradually worse while the players gets gradually older the pattern will fail at some point.