Seriously? As the great Hitchens once said, "The best way to answer some points is just to underline them".
No, for the last time, YOU ARE defending Ole.
One needs an underlying framework to actually understand what people are trying to tell you.
1. Suitability
The onus is in the applicant to make a case NOT on those who are asking for a case to be made to justify their request. That is pretty standard fare in industry leading corporations. You acknowledged as much when talking about Moyes' appointment but take umbrage when the same is asked of Ole.
2. Risk and Probability
You fail to understand the concepts of probability and likelihood. Whether something worked out in an individual instance or not has no bearing on the probability distribution at the moment when the initial choice was made. You keep pointing to the examples of Klopp and Pep as justification for any such similar appointment and that unfortunately is invalid.
3. Consistency
You contradict yourself and reprimand posters for imagined contraventions which you yourself have committed. You say avoid conjecture yet that is what you routinely do. For example.
4. Invective
"Confused poster"
"Stubborn poster"
"Moralistic poster"
"Nationalistic/Myopic posters"
"Stupid poster"
At some point people just look at the jumbled mess and check-out.
I’m not sure why you are making this personal. It’s all about viewpoints and knowledge about concrete issues. Since you have spent the effort of going through my posts, I’ll try to adress your points one by one.
1) What you felt sufficient to underline, was in response to your post arranging a sarcastic fantasy as means of an answer in stead of answering plainly. You had criticized me for criticizing those who criticize the appointment of Solskjær based on the lack of information available to us. My attempted point regarding your role play is that it misses the point. Woodward is the one who should be able to defend the appointment - he made it, based on a lot of things we don’t know, but hopefully talking to people in or around the club who worked with Solskjær or saw him closely. There are many of them, and they’re not hard to find, and you and I don’t really know much of what they would have said about Solskjær’s suitability for the role. Why should I make a case for Solskjær’s appointment? He’s already appointed, and I’m not trying to convince you to appoint him. I’m just as a fan trying to make sense of what meager accessible knowledge there is about it after the fact. I’m not saying it’s going to work or not, but I feel free to criticize unreasonable statements made by others to the effect that he will or won’t, for example in:
2. In the case that someone writes that the appointments of Guardiola or Zidane is evidence Solskjær will succeed, I would say ‘no, it isn’t’. There are many examples of managers/coaches hired that way who succeeded, there are even more examples of those who didn’t.
However, I haven’t noticed too many posters in this discussion claiming this. In the case someone writes that ‘appointing someone without a long CV of trophies or other impressive managerial feats in the CL/Top 5 leagues, is bound to be very bad idea’, I will say ‘no, it isn’t bound to be that’. There are several examples of such appointments with great success, and Guardiola/Zidane are among the most clearcut evidence of that.
3. When you write that I fail to understand the concepts of probability and likelihood, I do think it borders on what you accuse me of (both regarding invective and self-contradiction). If ‘conjecture’ means ‘drawing conclusions based on insufficient evidence’, I don’t think your two examples are the worst, but I’ll admit to it: I try to reduce my own conjecture, but I often fall short. If I can, though, I’ll try to lean towards getting facts and reducing straight up guesswork. If a Frankfurt poster tells me there is a deeper story about Jovic’s goal rate that I should know about, I tend to listen up and acknowledge that, or at least I hopefully try. Consistency is not a goal for me, though, it would make it hard for me to change my mind.
4. I’ll lay myself flat on this one. Sometimes I do get irritated, frustrated or even angry in a discussion, and use harsher or sharper formulations or a tone that I feel shameful or guilty about afterwards. I appologise for that to the ones who have been recipients of that. I did get irritated with you for dismissing my knowlege about Norwegian football so out of hand, for instance, and it probably showed in my writing. Apologies fot that.
I do want to point out the difference between between ‘abuse’ or labeling people on one hand, and cricizing actions (perhaps in a rude tone) on the other. You’re quoted examples were I think almost all criticizing something someone said, and it is you who generalize them into labels of ‘stupid or moralistic people or posters’. But it is a grey line, not black and white, I’ll admit. Where on that line do you put ‘you fail to understand probability and likelihood’ yourself?
To summarize: I accept some of what you say about my posting in general, I still don’t get the impression you have understood my most recent specific points in this thread, I think probably if you scrutized some of your own posts here you could find signs of some bad form, arrogance or contradiction yourself, and lastly, to return to the topic of this thread:
I really don’t know if Solskjær will turn out to be a good, medium or bad appointment, but I do think he should be assessed on what he actually produces here, and in relation to what he is tasked with. I think it his a rebuild of both club culture and team/squad he should be tasked with, and in that case, it will take at least a couple of seasons before we as fans really unequivocally can see if things are moving in the right direction or not.
I think it’s fair to disagree with this, though I think it’s dragging the forum down disagreeing with it ten times a day, every day, for months on end, for those who chose to do that. I am not saying you are doing that.