NFL Thread

The Giants have been awful in the redzone all year. I'd trust Rosas to kick a 45yrd FG more than them converting a 2pt attempt.
 
Mnf coverage is absolutely embarrassing . A group of people using old cliches in a clueless manner with no understanding of analytics at all
 
That guy just kept saying that it was the wrong call . Embarrassing that none of them obviously knew about the Eagles doing it against the Vikings anf there being multiple articles on it
 
here's a quick way of looking at it:

in 2018, 2 point conversions are successful 58% of the time and extra points are successful 95% of the time.

go for two and make: .58 - then score when down 6, kick the extra point to win .95= 55% chance to be ahead
go for two and make: .58 - then score when down 6, kick the extra point and miss .05 = 3% chance to tie
go for two and miss: .42 - then score when down 8, go for two and make .58 = 24% chance to tie
go for two and miss: .42 - then when down 8, go for two and miss .42 = 18% chance to be behind

so if you go for it the first time, here are the probabilities

be ahead: 55%
be tied: 27%
be behind: 18%


and here are probabilities if you kick it first:

make make: .95*.95= 90% chance to tie
make miss: .95*.05= 5% chance to be behind
miss go for it and make .05*.58= 3% chance to tie
miss go for it and miss .05*.42= 2% chance to be behind


we can then say that in a tie game, each team has 50% chance of winning or losing (ignoring ties for the moment) and make it even simpler.


go for two: 68% chance to win
kick extra point: 46% chance to win
 
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Raoul said:
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Must be some good weed.

Chad Kelly has been charged with first-degree criminal trespass.

Kelly is the backup quarterback for the Denver Broncos.

Kelly allegedly entered a home uninvited and sat down on a couch while mumbling incoherently, the Englewood Police Department said.

According to an arrest affidavit, one of the homeowners, Nancy Lozano, was sitting on a couch just inside the front door while holding her young child when Kelly entered uninvited and sat down next to her, mumbling incoherently.

Police said the investigation is ongoing. Kelly did not have any alcohol in his system, police said.

Kelly made an appearance in an Arapahoe County courthouse later Tuesday morning and has been released.

"We are disappointed that Chad Kelly was arrested early this morning," the Broncos said in a statement. "Our organization has been in contact with Chad and we are in the process of gathering more information."
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https://kdvr.com/2018/10/23/broncos...-charged-with-first-degree-criminal-trespass/
 
The Giants have traded Damon Snacks Harrison to the Lions for a fecking 5th rounder. As if Mack to the Bears didn’t make tings difficult enough for us. :rolleyes:
 
HTG said:
I guess he didn’t just walk into the NFL, without ever playing football before.
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He played a grand total of 27 college games and QB is a position that's most protected in the sport at every level. I can understand if he was a slot receiver, tight end or running back.
 
I think it's pretty obvious what happened. Keenum sees the reports. He spiked poor Chad's drink at Von's party.
 
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