It's not even to do with this stats returns which were genuinely abysmal last season. People say we should be patient, don't write him off etc, and then make false comparisons to players that have come good.
That would be fine if one of the major reasons he's been a questionable player for us hadn't been his sloppy work rate and movement. Is the penny going to drop all of a sudden? The best predictor of what he's going to be like is every other season he's played for us. There have been some good moments, a good season, but not enough for a highly paid Man Utd forward. We need to see a complete shift in him not just a few extra goals.
This is a misconception. His work rate is actually pretty pretty good, he presses a lot more than what he's given credit for. Just because he "looks" nonchalant doesn't mean he is, I am pretty sure he makes tons of runs but nobody finds him, especially when Pogba doesn't see it, or Bruno. With the addition of Sancho, I expect way more ball to Martial and he should be thriving in the LFW or CF role, depending on if Cavani plays or not. Especially now that Rashford is out for 2 months at least in the season.
I have high expectations for Martial this season. I think his misses don't show that he's actually a top scorer overall.
Martial has had 6 seasons with us. Even with his crappy last season, he has 55 goals for 310 shots and 143 shots on target.
That's a
17.7% chance to score when he shoots, with a
46.1% chance to shoot on target and
38.5% chance to score when he shoots on target.
As far as I understand, Harry Kane has 166 goals for 916 shots and 405 shots on target.
That's a
18.1% chance to score when he shoots, with a
44.2% chance to shoot on target and
41% chance to score when he shoots on target.
Mohamed Salah has 97 goals for 562 shots and 249 shots on target.
That's a
17.3% chance to score when he shoots, with a
44.3% chance to shoot on target and
38.9% chance to score when he shoots on target.
Son Heung-Min has 70 goals for 416 shots and 182 shots on target.
That's a
16.8% chance to score when he shoots, with a
43.3% chance to shoot on target and
38.4% chance to score when he shoots on target.
Dominique Calvert-Lewin has 40 goals for 270 shots and 118 shots on target.
That's a
14.8% chance to score when he shoots, with a
43.7% chance to shoot on target and
33.9% chance to score when he shoots on target.
James Vardy has 118 goals for 537 shots and 239 shots on target.
That's a
22% chance to score when he shoots, with a
44.5% chance to shoot on target and
49.3% chance to score when he shoots on target.
I think you got my point. Those are the top scorers last season, excluding Bruno and Bamford (because I think Bamford only has one season).
My point is that I think Martial's numbers are more than respectable and very comparable, even to Salah who is considered a top scorer in that league.
We just need to give him opportunities to shoot more. And that includes last year's catastrophic stats.
Martial before last season has 51 goals for 267 shots and 122 shots on target.
That's a
19.1% chance to score when he shoots, with a
45.7% chance to shoot on target and
41.8% chance to score when he shoots on target.
That's even better than Harry Kane stat wise. Given that, I don't see us giving up on Martial that easily.
We have now decided that we want to be a team that can create more shooting opportunities in general, that's why Sancho was brought in, and we will secure more the back if we can get Varane to partner with Maguire. That means that a player like Martial will have more chances to shoot. With the numbers above, he can score more. If his confidence issue is solved, I think we will see a very different Martial. And I trust Ole for that part.