Just a few musings from someone a little baffled by the apparent crazy confidence of this appointment.
Look I was pissed when Pep was announced for City, not because I was so excited about what he can do for clubs but because I thought he should be the natural progression after LVG BUT after the waters have settled I have to be honest I don't see why any fan should consider him as anything higher than Conte, LVG or any other previously successful manager coming to the premier league for the first time.
Lets be very very clear here, there is no league in the world like the Premier League, many many top top managers have come and failed, many with lofty careers like Pep for example our very own LVG, Carlo Ancelotti and Scolari. To think that Guardiola will be able to come into THIS league and implement his style from Barca/Bayern is bordering on madness. There was a coach that tried it, his name again, was LVG this league is way way too competitive to be sat on the halfway line dictating play with possession and intricate passing. For example, how often did you see Leicester last year sat back playing pretty passes. When was the last time any team won the league like that? City in their first win certainly didn't they were strong, physical and clinical. The Jose Chelsea teams? exactly the same- the United teams even most recently in 2013 were strong, clinical and hit on the counter.
Pep will have to completely change his philosophy and rework his thinking for the Premier League, now if you didn't have other top teams also adapting and improving you could argue that maybe, MAYBE the Pep approach could do serious damage with some serious investment. But the reality is you have Conte coming to Chelsea, he will strive to play a defensive and organised approach, they will be incredibly difficult to break down and also will spend BIG. Klopp has already dismantled Peps Bayern and Barca sides before with his brand of high intensity holistic approach to the game. Then you have Jose who will invest heavily, have a team versed in possession and most importantly the experience of winning four titles in England. This is all without mentioning Ranieri at Leicester, Pochettino at Spurs (Pochettinos Espanyol side were incredibly difficult to beat, Peps Barca amongst his scalps.> May have made that up.
Anyway my point is, yes he has a fantastic track record, but in this crazy world of football there are literally no guarantees, he is just as likely to scrape them into the top 4 as he is to get them winning the title.