@Ødegaard
It's not like I wouldn't want an elite left back. Don't get me wrong. And I'm of the opinion that we need a much more significant transfer budget if we are to seriously compete, not just for the Prem, but in Europe. But, if we are restricted to an annual budget of 150m (for whatever reason) that would mean Jose has about 70-80m for January and another 150m for next season. Of course, this is a hypothetical at this stage, but if we've got 220m all in all to spend, I'd rather pick up Tierney who looks much more promising than Shaw did IMO, bearing in mind that we're a top class midfielder and right sided attacker short. And we might need to sign a right back for next season too, unless Jose deems TFM to be ready for that position competing with Tony (who probably doesn't have more than 1 more season as first choice).
So, I wouldn't be unhappy with him, I'd just worry that would mean we'd compromise on getting up to speed for next season.
I can see why you'd want to put that 70 million (or most of it) into the summer pot as more players are available then. I can also understand that you'd want Tierney if you see him as more talented than Shaw (and more ready to play right here and now), I have no idea about Tierney. All I know is that Sandro is top class right now and I worry that we'll end up in a circle of not getting top players in if we continue to opt out of a chance of buying a world class player due to a hunt for another potentially world class player.
I think we have 4-5 (depending on if a CB cement their place as a Bailly partner that isn't injured 365 days a year) problem areas:
Left back fairly immediately as we have Darmian (not good), Young (old and in form, but not starting 11 material) & Shaw (talented but injury-plagued).
I think that due to Shaw's talent, we should shaft Darmian & Young if that helps us land Alex Sandro or another top class left-back. it sorts that area.
CB I think Bailly is and will be class for us, but I've lost faith in Jones ever going a season without serious injuries, so while I'm not against keeping him in the squad I don't want us to rely on him to have a performing central defense. Lindelöf if he puts on muscle and gets his head straight would be good as he seems good on the ball. Smalling is good enough for a squad-role for sure, but with Tuanzebe on his way in (and TFM for those that think of him as a CB) we're better off reducing numbers by 1-2 and upping the quality. Luckily that means we get some money from the area to spend on the area, like with LB.
Right back from 1-3 year forward as Valencia will need replacement at some point, but he's still going strong and is a machine that isn't breaking down right away. I have faith in him as a first choice for now so I wouldn't be against a Tierney/Shaw like signing to be his understudy until he loses it. Don't see it as stressing but would prefer to not have 2-3 changes in our main back-line at the same time, which is why I think solving LB now is a grea thing to do while we can still have Valencia going.
Second CM with high-quality passing-abilities and the ability to withstand pressure in order to not leave us crippled when Pogba is out injured or tired. I think Herrera, Lingard & Fellaini are good options to have, but I'd hope for us to either drop Fellaini or Herrera if there is a CM out there that can play at a high level together with Pogba & Matic or just with Matic.
I'd like to see TFM as a DM/DLP like Matic myself, so I don't have big worries at that spot (especially as I think Pogba can play DLP, despite being best at b2b, if we have enough quality around and in front of him).
The last is our right-wing/general creativity in attack needing a bit higher quality. Again, Lingard is playing well, Rashford & Martial are very talented and Mkhitaryan should be producing better if he manages to settle in, but I don't think we should leave the right-wing at least up to chance. I'd like to see us have some quality to throw off the bench. If that means we go back to benching one of Martial/Rashford then I'm all for it, but it either means we need a good right-winger to be on the bench or one to make the position his own.
Once these things are sorted, I think our first XI will be up there with most of the top clubs. Of course all of this won't happen within one year. I'd expect it to take 2-3 years and at the end of that we'd need to have changed out Valencia & Matic or at least made them secondary-choices instead of first-choices.
That's exactly it. Ozil is the only bit of true quality we can hope to persuade on a free, which means, for proven top level players, we are looking at a minimum of 70m type of figure, if not much more than that. If, again, this is academic, our total budget for the next 2-3 transfer windows (including the January ones) is 200-220m (+ whatever we can make up in sales) that's maybe two elite players and the rest being promising youngsters or players that aren't really great, but still good. Whether we are after Ozil, and whether we can get him, makes a lot of difference in terms of what other deals we can get done in the market.
Yeah, I think Özil on a free (but not Sanchez) would move us more towards needing a right-winger of high-quality that would cost a lot. But I still think Özil alone on a free and additions to LB and central-midfield would be enough to take us up a level even if we didn't get a proper right-winger that same year. Of course we could also go for Özil, Sandro & a right-winger and hope that Pogba won't be injured or tired for crucial parts of the season, or that Martial & Rashford develops enough to keep us able to break teams down when Pogba is out. Özil can play out wide and drift in after all. Which is why I wouldn't really see it as a huge issue if we didn't get Sanchez (though It'd fit perfect with the assumed budget).
Put simple, I just think we need a LB and a new creative outlet, either from out wide, alternative & partner for Pogba or a more central playmaker like Özil. The rest can wait to some extent and quality comes before quantity for me at this point, as we seem to have tons of players to just put on somewhere.