The strategy here makes little to no sense
1) Fire rockets at US base - 99% of the time intercepted or missed.
2) Rocket lands, minor damage
3) Rocket lands - someone dies
4) US retaliates by blowing up 100 militia assets in a series of airstrikes and missile launches.
5) ?????
6) Iran profits?
This is what has been happening throughout much of the latter half of the Iraq war and occasionally in the present. Iranian proxies like Asa'ib al-Haq or Kata'ib Hezbollah (or similar) would pop off rockets, mortars when ever they can (or EFPs when troops were still driving around outside). Its the easiest and way for the Iranians to hit US targets whilst maintaining plausible deniability.
Depends on the context. Right now? They're obliged to retaliate following Israel's assassination of Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran, so this is their flaccid response to show face. In the grand scheme of things they want the US locked into a perpetual insurgency campaign in countries like Iraq. Better their neighbours than inviting a direct confrontation within their borders. They know they can't win a conventional war against the US or Israel, since inevitably the Gulf Arab states would also work on squeezing them. So proxy insurgencies are their means to destabilise the US and its regional allies.To what end, though? What does Iran hope to achieve?
To what end, though? What does Iran hope to achieve?
Depends on the context. Right now? They're obliged to retaliate following Israel's assassination of Ismail Haniyeh, so this is their flaccid response to show face. In the grand scheme of things they want the US locked into a perpetual insurgency campaign in countries like Iraq. Better their neighbours than inviting a direct confrontation within their borders.
Then they're using these groups as cannon fodder because they have little to no chance of inflicting meaningful damage on the US military
We're talking about a regime that sent boys as young as 12 to fight during the Iran/Iraq war. So naturally, they're not going to care how many foreign paramilitary guys die on their behalf.
Apparently he was playing Call Of Houthi at the time.
But at some point don't the groups themselves care? Don't you think Hamas is regretting Oct 7th?
A lot of these groups benefit from the infusion of money, weapons, and other resources in their respective countries, which in turn makes them alternative centers of power alongside the government running their respective countries. That's certainly been the case for Hezbollah and the Houthis, as well as a lot of Iraqi militia groups who have for the past 20 years been funded by Iran.
So in the end these groups are putting Iran's money, and the power they derive from it, ahead of their people's needs and safety?
Beelzebub Smotrichhttps://www.timesofisrael.com/liveb...azans-to-die-of-hunger-but-world-wont-let-us/
Israelis must be proud of their minister. Feck me what a world we live in that someone is allowed to say this, but people get in jail for minor things in comparision with this.
Top post.It's quite incredible that ten months in and after one of the most brutal military campaigns since WWII, alongside the most documented genocide in human history which only resulted in the utter failure in defeating Hamas and completely isolating Israel on the international scene, you're still banging that drum.
Iran is a 3,000 years old major player in the region that will never go away. 46 years of sanctions, murders, and proxy-wars achieved the square root of feck all. Your view of the actors and dynamics in the region is a Disney one, watched through neo-con specs. What you advocated from day one after 10/7 will never never happen since Hamas is an idea. You defeat an idea with a better one, not with 2,000 pounds bombs or extra-judicial assassinations. Constantly poking at Iran will only lead to a major war in which there's no winner.
Hamas is a by-product of Israel's policies in the occupied territories, just like Hezbollah is a direct result of Israel's invasion of Lebanon in 1982. They're not going anywhere no matter how many of their leaders you kill, unless you go for the root cause which is the Israeli Occupation of Palestine. Hamas will also be integrated one way or another into any serious peace talk, just like Arafat became a dialogue partner once Rabin understood that the hammer/nail policy lead to nowhere. A true shame that he was killed for seeing the light.
Terrorism is a very old, and highly subjective, political brand used to disqualify anyone the dominant side doesn't like. Hamas are terrorists, but so was Menachem Begin, a leader of Irgun before becoming Israel's PM. His organization was responsible for multiple acts of terrorism including attacks on civilians and the bombing of the King David Hotel. Or Yitzhak Shamir, terrorist, leader of the Lehi which carried out multiple massacres including Deir Yasin in 1948 and also future PM of Israel.
On a side note, it's absolutely amazing to see so many people firmly anchored in the democratic camp, including many posters here, cheering when Israel assassinates someone on foreign soil and continuously makes a mockery of every single international law. The cognitive dissonance, double standards and complete disintegration of any kind of moral compass taking place in this particular matter will be a case study for decades, if not centuries.
Antisemite!Beelzebub Smotrich
That's a beautiful fairytale you're talking about there.Israel will stop when it gets its hostages back and when Hamas is defeated. That's a legitimate war aim given what happened. Hamas knew all this would happen when they started the conflict. They literally use the Gazan population as human shields. If they handed them back and left Gaza the war would end tomorrow.
If this was 1945 he would be at Nuremberg.https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveb...azans-to-die-of-hunger-but-world-wont-let-us/
Israelis must be proud of their minister. Feck me what a world we live in that someone is allowed to say this, but people get in jail for minor things in comparision with this.
I'm well aware of that and know that my posts can be perceived as such, but the truth is that I'm simply exasperated and appalled by the overall reigning duplicity, the abject hypocrisy, the willful ignorance and the abandonment of any kind of human decency.Just wanted to say after first finding your appearance on here in the beginning a tad arrogant, I now look forward to your well-written, educational and insightful posts. Please continue on this arc.
As usual, the criminal fascist regime in Tehran takes revenge of public global humiliation by killing Iranians. In aftermath of Suleimani murder, they killed 176 civilians on the airliner, and now today they've executed a political prisoner from the 2022 protests. Eternal damn and shame for anyone here on this forum or anywhere that whitewashes this regime, makes any excuse for them or see them for anything but pure evil.
We are the largest occupied nation on earth. Foreign language on our "flag", resources all spent on Ummah, and a small religious minority ruling 90 million people, 75% of the population weren't even born when these monsters came to power. But our plight doesn't matter, because of MWAH ANTI-IMPERIALISM ! SHUT UP AND GIVE ALL YOUR MONEY TO RESISTENCE AXIS !!!!
The tweet below is exactly why we also get absolutely zero support from anyone. You see, Arabs have each other (Back in 2001, Bahrain players danced with Saudi flags after beating Iran in the last game, helping Saudis qualify to WC instead of Iran) , The Muslim ummah have each other (see the Palestine cause just as one example), Despite the regime's nearly half-century try to market us as the home of Islam and Ummah, nearly all our neighbours (from Arabs, to Turks, to Pakistani and Afghans) know majority of us aren't part of their religious cause and see us as a disgrace to Islam, hence secretly enjoying our misery and plight under the regime, no matter what they claim publicly.
@Spoony , Sounds like a nice girl. We all had great lives back then before BBC, France and UK promoted and sent Khomeini to destroy the nation. But in history, what goes around, comes around...so we'll see what history has next in store for UK and Iran )
Dear Sir, you missed out the bit in the middle when all the arab states declared war and tried to wipe out the Israelis. And they lost. Just like they always do and then complain about the outcome.Dear Sir, you may want to bone up on your history. This war did not start on October 7th. It started in 1948 with the Nakba when 750,000 Palestinians were forced from their homes to make way for an Israeli state.
That's a beautiful fairytale you're talking about there.
We are talking about cause and effect here. You are implying that the war was started by the events of October 7th, when in fact it goes back decades. The Arab-Israeli war wasn’t the start either. It was the theft of Palestinian land by the Zionists through political leverage and terrorist groups like the Irgun.Dear Sir, you missed out the bit in the middle when all the arab states declared war and tried to wipe out the Israelis. And they lost. Just like they always do and then complain about the outcome.
Dear Sir, my point was that expecting Hamas to leave Gaza which would result in peace there is indeed a fairy tale. And that kind of fairy tales will be ignored in the real world, as you say.The folk around here would do well to remember there are two points of view on Gaza, and dismissing one as madness and fairy tales is the very essence of echo chamber thinking. It might make you feel good but out in the real world you will remain ignored.
If Israel feel they have a legitimate war aim, then the Palestinians definitely do!Israel will stop when it gets its hostages back and when Hamas is defeated. That's a legitimate war aim given what happened. Hamas knew all this would happen when they started the conflict. They literally use the Gazan population as human shields. If they handed them back and left Gaza the war would end tomorrow.
This simply isn’t true. The war will not stop simply by handing back hostages, Netanyahu and his extremist ministers have stated that already. The Zionist aim here is annex Gaza and the West Bank and to engineer a wider conflict whereby they can land grab from Syria, Jordan and Lebanon as well.Israel will stop when it gets its hostages back and when Hamas is defeated. That's a legitimate war aim given what happened. Hamas knew all this would happen when they started the conflict. They literally use the Gazan population as human shields. If they handed them back and left Gaza the war would end tomorrow.
We are talking about cause and effect here. You are implying that the war was started by the events of October 7th, when in fact it goes back decades. The Arab-Israeli war wasn’t the start either. It was the theft of Palestinian land by the Zionists through political leverage and terrorist groups like the Irgun.
You can go back as far as you like. Was the land stolen by the Romans? Are the Philistines of the Old Testament the Palestinians of today (it's the same word in Arabic and Hebrew.) I would suggest people pick their start point based on their politics, not the other way around. But let's take yours.
Palestine was part of the Ottoman Empire for hundreds of years, where Jews were second class citizens. That ended when the Ottomans decided to join World War I on the side of the Germans, and of course and as usual, lost. After that Jews were able to purchase land, the political leverage you refer to. The xenophobic arabs of Palestine, used to thinking in Ottoman terms, responded with massacres such as Hebron, and the Grand Mufti of Jerusalem aligned himself with Hitler, once again choosing the losing side (you see the pattern.)
In 1948 the United Nations agreed a partition that created a Jewish state with indefensible borders, the intention being that the two ethnicities would live together in peace. The Arabs immediately rejected it, declared war and lost. Modern Israel prioritises defensible borders.
Now Hamas are aligning themselves with Iran. Guess what will happen?
I love the Ottomans as usual lost part. Its not that they conquered vast amounts of territory in the past. I guess they did that by losing as usual.Yeah uh, way to reduce "Britain seized all of Ottomans most valuable naval assets for no given cause" as "The Ottomans just arbitarily decided to ally themselves with the central powers"
This is ignorance at best, wilful purposeful misinformation at worst.
I despise people like you who talk so callously of war having never experienced it and never will.
Ahh yes, the notoriously inept Ottoman empire who's reign only lasted a measly 600 years.I love the Ottomans as usual lost part. Its not that they conquered vast amount of territory in the past. I guess they did that by losing as usual.
But but they picked sides and guess what happened.Ahh yes, the notoriously inept Ottoman empire who's reign only lasted a measly 600 years.
I do not understand the need of engaging with him. He truly is by any metric an awful poster. A paranoid, pathological liar with no regards for historical facts or any shred of human decency.Ah yes, Jews just wanted to live in peace in 1948.
As I said gaping holes in knowledge.
I do not understand the need of engaging with him. He truly is by any metric an awful poster with no regards to either historical facts or any shred of human decency.
Do not feed the troll.
I will put him on the ignore list. Its really awful.I do not understand the need of engaging with him. He truly is by any metric an awful poster with no regards to historical facts or showing any shred of human decency.
Do not feed the troll.
It's just the mirror image of every post in the Palestine echo chamber thread. It doesn't promote any kind of reasoned discussion. Of course if you think everything Israel does is evil you will come to the absurd conclusions that they secretly want to conquer the Middle East and that October 7 was their own fault. But reasonable onlookers will judge accordingly.Israel - goood
Arabs - baaad.
I feel you, I truly do.It's the armchair general shite that really irks - describing war so callously as if he knows exactly how it works and just says, "yeah massacres, well it happens that's just war," so offhand and without any shred of decency and empathy.
reasoned discussion with someone who doesnt have a problem with genocide (because from up there on that zionist moral high ground, the lives of palestenians have no worth), and talks about world politics like its a game of football.It's just the mirror image of every post in the Palestine echo chamber thread. It doesn't promote any kind of reasoned discussion. Of course if you think everything Israel does is evil you will come to the absurd conclusions that they secretly want to conquer the Middle East and that October 7 was their own fault. But reasonable onlookers will judge accordingly.
Your echo chamber cannot cope with a different point of view which is why you hide in this corner of the internet where everyone agrees with you and disagreement is stifled. If your opinions were grounded in reason and fact it would not be threatened in such a way.Best ignore them.