Bastian
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With the progress of several of our youngsters over the last few months, in addition to a few of our other biggest talents - Hannibal, Garner, Elanga, Laird, Shoretire, Diallo, Pellistri, Hugill to name some - realistically, 15-20 players from our current first-team squad could be gone in 18 months. I now assume 6-7 of the youngsters will be so good that they will be moved into the first-team squad. Shoretire, Diallo and Hannibal will be there - and I am convinced that from the start of the 22/23 season -at least 3-4 more players from our ranks will join them.
We have to assume we will sign a minimum of 4-5 key players over the next 2 summers - add to that: Shaw, AWB, Maguire, Rashford, Greenwood, Bruno, Fred, McTominay and Henderson should be safe (Pogba if he signs a new contract) - that in theory could mean that there could as little as 3-4 places available in the first-team squad for the remaining players we have today. Less if we sign more players.
So my guess is, in 18 months - only 3-4 of these are United-players if OGS is still in charge.
Tuanzebe, DDG, Lindelof, Telles, Bailly, James, Chong, Martial, Cavani, Mata, Andreas, v.d Beek, Matic, Lingard, Dalot, Williams, Jones, Romero, Rojo, Grant, Pereira
Out of contract at least by the end of June '22: Romero, Grant, Matic, Mata , Cavani, Lingard.
Out on loan and probably shipped out this summer if there are any takers: Chong, Pereira (whom you count twice) and Dalot.
Already sold: Rojo.
Out of favour and possibly moved on soon: Williams.
I'd be surprised to see Ole move out his own buys (Telles, James, VdB) or Tuanzebe unless his injuries ruin his progression. DdG will hardly accept a more realistic contract elsewhere. And we'd hardly get rid of both Lindelof and Bailly, unless Ole has some serious cash to improve his options with.
Can you see the club moving Martial on? I'd be less surprised to see Woodward give him a new 4-5 year deal.
All in all, I'd expect at least 5-6 of these players to still be here at the start of the '22 season.