1.80 now
Football & Sports Betting Thread 2023/2024
- Thread starter RedPed
- Start date
1. Lump on Spain
2. Profit
2. Profit
If anyone fancies making some guaranteed money, go bet on Trump to win the presidency. Odds are going to come crashing down in the morning so you'll have to be quick.
Think they've already crashed? Down to 1.40.
It moved it from 1.64 to 1.52 on the exchanges.... debatable whether really worth it.
If Spain and Argentina both win their trophy’s I’ve won my double. Put it on while Spain was 4/1 before they played Germany.
1 down 1 to go. Argentina to lift the trophy for 240.
Tip: Johan Hove (FC Groningen) o0.5 shots on target @ 3.00 on 365.
He had 3 last game, 5 shots in total. Loves a shot that guy and the value is there for those who feel lucky tonight.
He had 3 last game, 5 shots in total. Loves a shot that guy and the value is there for those who feel lucky tonight.
Been an awfully quiet game thus far for him
hopefully some action in the second half.Been an awfully quiet game thus far for him
It's always worth a shot, seems like he's a 90 min player anyway so still well in with a shout.
Vardy and Romero to be booked, 13/1.
Vardy will want to make a quick shithousing impact being back in PL and Romero is easy to wind up.
Vardy will want to make a quick shithousing impact being back in PL and Romero is easy to wind up.
Surely the United odds for the weekend are ridiculous. We are at home ffs and I can see 27/10 to win and 10/11 double chance
Yeah I think that's a decent price.
I'd rather lay Liverpool at the prices
I'm with you on that. 3 times we've played them at Old Trafford under Ten Hag and we've always turned up. We also have a stronger squad to pick from compared to any of the previous 3 occasions.
6/1 to keep a clean sheet in a home game. I'm still not used to us being rubbish.
Got a decent lil’ cash out tonight. Didn’t trust Fulham away from home not to concede, and my risk adversity cost me about £170 as the bet came in anyway. Bet was worth £648 in total but took the £472 and kept it moving.
Nice work, sometimes just safer to cash when the games are close.
Yes, I’ve taken the decision to cash out more often this season. I chase big wins typically (thousands), so I’ve lost thousands in cash outs mot taken over the years. £250 here, £350 there. £475 guaranteed out of a maximum of £648 was common sense, not worth losing it all, I already had about 70% of the winnings guaranteed. Greed has screwed me so often!
Had a Bournemouth moneyline at 2.90... 
Napoli to score @ 1.80.
15 mins left, Parma are down to 10 men and have an outfielder in goal
15 mins left, Parma are down to 10 men and have an outfielder in goal
No pen but lukaku scores anyway.
Never in doubt, just needed one shot on target.Yeah I went the other way , no more goals
Wild that it took them nearly 15 minutes to get one
Was a Kuhn SOT away from landing a nice bet.
Should maybe have got it too as this lad on twitter shows
Should maybe have got it too as this lad on twitter shows
Got a £416 cash out on the table (£12 stake) but a potential £6.4k return so I’m sitting tight!
Just seen the Aston Villa v Wycombe result ... did you manage to cash out?
Hey, yea I cashed out before the games kicked off. It got up to £516, I took that and did a new bet for half of that amount and banked the rest. I didn’t like the cancellation of the Newcastle game which reduced the returns by nearly £2k so I made a new bet instead (which lost!).
What do them handicap bets even mean? I’ve never done them as I’m unsure what it is.
Basically a match result bet, but with your chosen team starting with a disadvantage (or a handicap). So if you back City to win on a -1, then they would need to win at least 2-0 (or 3-1 or 4-2 etc) for the bet to come in. 1-0 would effectively be a draw as they started 1-0 down in the first place. It’s one of the most obvious and sensible type of bets to make in my opinion.
Punters regularly pass over a random City at home game because they didn’t think 1/7 odds was worth it, but -1 might be 4/7 or -2 might be 2/1 even. That is basically betting on City to win by 2 or 3 clear goals, instead of just winning, which could be by only one goal of course.
So on the slip above, I had United -2 which was 15/8 I think, whereas United to simply beat Barnsley would have been practically worthless. I was fairly confident that United would not only win, but win by at least 3 goals, and that’s where the value is. Some games you might feel two clear goals at a -1 is a better shout, but you will always get better odds on a handicap prediction of course. Teams like PSV, City, Bayern, Celtic etc will almost always win a game by at least a two goal margin, often 3 or 4.
Never, ever cash out. You get worse odds with cash out than what you should get. If you are going to get nervous after hitting first 6, then just bet acca of 6 in the first place. Not 12, if you won't see it through anyway.
Been doing this a long time and I have turned down hundreds of pounds in cash outs on multiple occasions. I don’t flinch, however, the fact is that the bet had changed from what I had originally bet on, so I did a high stakes bet this time.
I will start being more calculated with my cash outs this season though, I’ve lost thousands by holding over the years. Sometimes, take £300 and move on.
Argh I get you mate. Very well explained. Thank you
Gotcha, nice!! 3 Years ago, you posted your 100/1 Podcast Twitter on here, I had a look through your tweets back then and saw you had success using Both Score No Draw as part of your accumulators. At the time, I incorporated it into my betting strategy and made thousands in profit. Stopped doing it years ago, as I wanted to quit while I was ahead, and have continued my safer accumulators of Match Win or Shot on Target ever since. But seeing that latest tweet, although it failed, I see significant potential in handicap bet and will incorporate it in my ML or SOT accumulators.
Below is post from 2021
What did you go with in the end?
Yesterday was great for me. I went with Man Utd ML + Chelsea ML + Bayern over 2.5 + Liverpool ML + Real Madrid ML
Now concerning Both Score No Draw. BerbaClass explained it. I discovered the value of it when I saw Rozay's Twitter page. This is my strategy for Both Score No Draw.
I set aside £100 per month to lose. These will be 25 different attempts in a month where I stake £4 each time. Each bet involves 5 games to be Both Score No Draw meaning the odds would be 100/1 minimum therefore if one bet of the 25 attempts is successful I get £400. If two bets from the 25 attempts are successful I get £800. Each bet is ACCA insurance so if 4/5 are Both Score No Draw and one game is 2-2 or 3-3 as BerbaClass put it I get £4 back from my ACCA insurance. Currently, my max/record is getting 3/25 attempts. Its one of the toughest strategies to succeed in as a 1-1 means £0 but its definitely one of my favourite.
For some reason I'm shocking at singles with around 29% success rate, but when it comes to Accas the success rate is around 56%. I think it might be mental as I tend to £20 Max for accumulators so I can unlock the Acca insurance, but if its single I stake higher. So, I don't really do singles anymore, well not in football. Last night was a good example, if I would've bet a single I would've bet BSND or O2.5 and lost. Fortunately, I had my ACCA fortune. Saying that, I just checked my Stat website and Porto have missed "1 big chance"
Lovely mate, glad to see my tips could help you win some money. This is a lifetime journey and I’m constantly modifying it. As such, similar to you, I don’t really do Both Score No Draw anymore, I’ve replacing it with ‘BTTS + Over 2.5’. You also get good odds for those, but it also covers the 2-2s which have fecked up a few of my bets over the years.
Handicaps are my thing now for sure, I’m about £1600 up so far this season on those, but haven’t landed the really big ones I’m chasing yet (my profits have largely come from cash outs). Another market I’m looking at which is inspired by one of my mates is fouls. 1+ foul in the first half accumulators can give some big money, for example. I’ll post one of those soon too.
Spurs at Evs for -2, there surely winning by more than 3 tonight?
Just need Norwich to beat derby and arsenal-1 for 150. Cash outs only 25 pound.