Football & Sports Betting Thread 2019/2020
- Thread starter Levo
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Ws Wanderers scored, so.. yeah, it's bottled 
Gonna put a very small punt on the over 1.5. The A-League is one of the leagues with more late goals.
On Always Ready +0.25 @1.8 (0/dnb is fine too) and Strongest 0 1.9 for weekend games.
Tipped vinto in here before but it was away to Altitude sides. At home to Always now, really tough game. Vinto are strong defensively but don’t have much going forward compared to the top sides. It makes them a good side to bet on a big + but not so good on a - at home. Think always should be favourites.
Strongest are a lot better than Nac Potosi this season, Potosi poorer than last years side by a distance. No altitude advantage for either, both very high up in the mountains. Think evens is fair for Stongest win. Only played last night so chance of some rotations/fatigue otherwise I’d be bigger on. They have points to make up so can’t see them resting much.
Tipped vinto in here before but it was away to Altitude sides. At home to Always now, really tough game. Vinto are strong defensively but don’t have much going forward compared to the top sides. It makes them a good side to bet on a big + but not so good on a - at home. Think always should be favourites.
Strongest are a lot better than Nac Potosi this season, Potosi poorer than last years side by a distance. No altitude advantage for either, both very high up in the mountains. Think evens is fair for Stongest win. Only played last night so chance of some rotations/fatigue otherwise I’d be bigger on. They have points to make up so can’t see them resting much.
Will follow as always! Do you (or anyone) have any experience with BetJOE? Market leading on Always Ready AH0/DNB and very generous welcome bonus...
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curacao license, would avoid. Wouldn't touch any bookie with a Curacao license, they can make up the rules as they go along, void any winners and theres nothing you can do about it.
https://www.sportsbookreview.com/fo...ded-my-account-3207-withdrawal-cancelled.html
That link is a good example of what happens with Curacao licensed bookies.
Fascinating but also horrible stuff to read. Absolute cnuts.
Cheers, fingers crossed.
18bet have a Malta license as of 2018, I know cause they took 400€ from me. Couldn't be bothered writing a complaint as it's too much hassle and probably useless anyway. I did however enjoy taking pictures of the owners houses on google earth and emailing them to their personal emails!
Edit; After reading that thread I will file a complaint in support of all the people being scammed by them. Even if it will not help, people like that should be put out of business.
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I had Portsmouth, Real Sociedad, Bragantino, Noca Juniors, Junior, Alianza Lima, Cabinteely FC, Leicester City and Boulogne @44.20 yesterday.
All won apart from fecking Leicester. Would have been a good start to the weekend.
All won apart from fecking Leicester. Would have been a good start to the weekend.
Topped up on Strongest, bit bigger on that one. On that med and small-med for Always.
@Spiersey Do you see any SBO prices quoted on Sportmarket (or any other broker)? I'm getting "requesting.../no prices available". Maybe they're just temporarily down but I know you predicted they'd be out of business soon.
Nah I've got same issue, odds appear on main dashboard but nothing when I click on the game. I've asked broker but he's not got back to me yet. The end is definitely near for them though, barely any point in them existing with the current limits. Brokers have to take 80% of the stake on SBO now too so limits got even lower. 4/5 years back you could get huge money on with them. There's a hilarious video on youtube of my mate losing £15k with SBO on a late unders in Holland u19s v Albania u19 women. He didn't know they fixed at the time so thought he was getting huge value and they conceded 2 injury time goals, I'll try find the link and post later. Would genuinely struggle to get £150 on that with them now.
ISN have been pulled also, not sure if you knew. They started randomly voiding bets (only winners) on every game. My broker spoke to them and they said that they'll void every winning bet that isn't mainstream now as they don't want winning customers so that's been pulled from all Molly skins now (Sportmarket, drinbet etc). Think they're just staying open as a money laundering now.
Games a while away but on Istanbul Basaksehir Win at 1.95 in Europa v Copen. Not a big fan of Europa but looks a misprice at opening lines to me. Celtic were -0.5 away to Copen and it played out as a good bet despite 1-1 FT. They were -1.25 at home when leading the tie on Agg, would have been -1.5 asian if it was the first leg. I tend to underrate Celtic (I'm Scottish so naturally negative bias to our sides I think) but I'd have Istanbul as a slightly better team, so accounting for Bias Celtic are maybe slightly better but it's not 1 full goal better. I'd have them around 1.5 to win. I'm struggling to see any way that +0.5 can be value.
I'd be interested to see that video haha
I saw the notification Sportmarket put out with regards to ISN. Will be interesting to see how this develops in the future. For my main betting which is early mainstream lines it's basically down to Pinnacle now with no one else even trading the EPL matches next weekend yet for example.
Early markets are getting ridiculous now. Brokers have stopped staking 'early' games for 90% of the time due to so much voids. Singbet keep opening the stuff I bet on with £100 limits, brokers will refuse to stake and if I stake manually they'll just void any winners. Will be interesting to see how it develops over the next year or two, I imagine I'll need to keep adjusting my methods.
Would 365 limit you for beating them on early prem? I've 0 experience in betting Prem properly on books, so genuinely no idea. I'm guessing they would but not sure if their traders/software are clever enough to work out someone beating mainstream as I'm guessing limits are pretty solid even a week early. On obscure stuff their limits can be £250 so any reasonable sized bet will flag up on trader tickers.
I've gone through a few 365's and don't have any immediate options to get more so I'm trying to protect this one. All my bets with them are <100€ and mostly on side markets. I don't exactly remember what got me restricted in the past and 365 are definitely way more lenient than others but any decent stake on Asian lines will eventually get you flagged.
There is also the (not so) small matter of the 5% betting tax here in Germany (so any 2.00 bet is 1.90 in reality) which makes any soft book a lot less attractive before you even have to worry about being limited. I do stake the occasional early lines double or treble with them as the 5% only apply to the final price and not each individual selection. So a double of two bets at evens pays out 3.80 and not 3.61 giving you a little bit more leeway. And bookies love acca punters.
Had no idea you were German, always just assumed English. That tax is a nightmare, would eat into a lot of profit. Is Germany still planning on introducing a limit across all bookies of something like 1k euro deposit per month? Could see a decent shift to asian bookies if it happens. Mollybet are in the process of adding a bookie to their software that will take accumulators to appeal to normal punters.
On Judd Trump -2.5 @1.5 in the snooker . Think Trump will win for sure but if he gets a good start then it could be a big win
These proposed new gambling regulations are madness and way beyond market reality. Not sure about a deposit limit but I heard about a 1k wagering limit as well as a ban on certain bet types such as over/under or any form of in-play betting. Apparently they want to ban simultaneous logins to more than one bookie as well. How any of this is going to be enforced, I have no idea. It's set to be introduced in 2021 but there is growing opposition to it so let's wait and see.
How many times have Atalanta hit 7 this season now? Ridiculous. Was on them -1 and over 3.25 at early prices (closed -1.5 and 3.75). Later CL stages will be interesting with them.
Trump wins 10-4 . Had big money on win and -2.5 but I am disappointed now that I didn't go -3.5 because I was certain that he would win big
Strongest lost, went 1.5 in play and were 2.5 when tipped, completely dominant all game and should have been 3-0 up at ht but conceded only Potosi chance. Error for the 2nd, were dominant side even with 10 men for final 25 too. Very annoying beat. i doubt Always will play out near as well as that did but hopefully they win. Bolivia been very random this season so far, some very odd results.
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Sta Clara - Porto Under 2.5 @1.88
Large stake on an acca Benfica + Porto + Buducnost to win @2.56
Large stake on an acca Benfica + Porto + Buducnost to win @2.56
jumped on the bottom on.. buduc were up by 23 near the half. Now they are up by1 with 6 minutes left.
phew. Held on just about.
Portmouth - ArSenal 2
St Clara - Porto 2
double @ 2,51 (20€bet) WIN
Nottingham DnB
Arsenal
Porto
triple @ 4,45 - (10€bet) WIN
St Clara - Porto 2
double @ 2,51 (20€bet) WIN
Nottingham DnB
Arsenal
Porto
triple @ 4,45 - (10€bet) WIN
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Some Nhl picks for tonight
Detroit Redwings - Colorado Avalanche
Colorado (-1) @ 1,95 (1-2) Loss
The Avalanche are blazing right now. They have five straight Head-to-Head wins against Detroit and a six game winning streak at the moment. Detroit has lost two of the last three meetings by at least two goals. That includes the last time these teams faced-off as Colorado won 6-3.
Nashville Predators - Edmonton Oilers
Under 6,5 @ 1.60 (2-8) Loss
The Predators have lacked offensive firepower for most of the season. Avaraging 2,8 goals/game. As for the Oilers, they continue to consistently find the net three or more times per game. But with that said, its likely to be 5-6 goals but i still feel it wont be a 7 goal game. Its gonna be tight with both Good defences. I go for the under here.
Detroit Redwings - Colorado Avalanche
Colorado (-1) @ 1,95 (1-2) Loss
The Avalanche are blazing right now. They have five straight Head-to-Head wins against Detroit and a six game winning streak at the moment. Detroit has lost two of the last three meetings by at least two goals. That includes the last time these teams faced-off as Colorado won 6-3.
Nashville Predators - Edmonton Oilers
Under 6,5 @ 1.60 (2-8) Loss
The Predators have lacked offensive firepower for most of the season. Avaraging 2,8 goals/game. As for the Oilers, they continue to consistently find the net three or more times per game. But with that said, its likely to be 5-6 goals but i still feel it wont be a 7 goal game. Its gonna be tight with both Good defences. I go for the under here.
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Ergh, should have cashed out at half time, would have still made 90% of the profit. Bad night.Irony: the most unbalanced game of those picks is bottling, ffs
Benfica could had easilly won by 3 or 4 - 1. Missed many chances and Moreirense was effective with their 2 shots on target
Oh yeah I was watching. Good tip, but you can’t score for them!
Won the regular stake (Sta Clara 0 - 2 Porto) but lost the large stake acca with Benfica missing 2 penalty kicks. Hard to deal with it.
bad luck with that one. Not much to do. The odds on benfica win was like 1,20? Hardly worth it even if favourites
bad luck with that one. Not much to do. The odds on benfica win was like 1,20? Hardly worth it even if favourites
It was an acca with three small odds. The "harder" games went well though. Better times will come.
Liverpool look a massive price tonight at 17/10 no? They have won at Stamford Bridge already this season and Chelsea haven't looked at all impressive in the last week or two and look low on confidence
I reckon If Liverpool decide to play their first team tonight they will be at odds on of 10/11 / 4/6 straight after it.
I reckon If Liverpool decide to play their first team tonight they will be at odds on of 10/11 / 4/6 straight after it.
Nah, if they go full strength then 11/10- 6/5 is fair price full v full. From what I'm told VVD, Trent, Firmino and Robertson are being rested, can't get confirmed team yet. Was told that prior to the Watford game though, unsure if its changed anything.
Both lost, apologies. Always game played out even, were poor first half but good 2nd. Didn't deserve to lose, a draw was probably fair result.
Had hoped to post a nice bet for tomorrow but loads of stuff I cover is being hit by corona virus. UEFA Youth league has 3 games postponed this week due to it, could be a grim time for betting over the next few weeks.
No need to apologize, mate. Your hit rate is amazing. There will always be bumps in the road.
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