Can't say it was a success, but at least the bankroll increased a bit.
Football & Sports Betting Thread 2019/2020
- Thread starter Levo
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Can't say it was a success, but at least the bankroll increased a bit.
The robbery was more due to the fact that they didn’t batter a terrible Wigan side. Could have used that £1,800 now. I’m still comfortably up month to date though, but I want another big win before Xmas ideally.
| Bet | Reasoning | Odd |
|---|---|---|
| El Haddadi to score | He might not even play, so beware | 2.90 |
| Cluj to win | Both teams qualified and Cluj plays at home | 1.98 |
| FC Copenhagen to win | Good odd at home and Malmo might be in off-season mode | 2.40 |
| DC Vitória (risky) | Frankfurt form has taken a severe dip | 3.90 |
| DC Sporting (a bit risky) | Both teams qualified | 2.04 |
| DC Wolfsberger HT | Roma seems to score more at 2nd half | 2.10 |
| BTS Porto - Feyenoord | Porto's defence is really shaky this season | 2.00 |
| Greenwood to score | Trusting my gut  | 2.30 |
| Cutrone to score | 2.35 | |
| Anadolu to win | Fenerbahce is playing poorly this season | 2.10 |
| CSKA to win (for trading) | I know Maccabi is doing well this season, but CSKA is always a powerhouse | 2.06 |
| Latina - Genoa over 6.5 (futsal) | Both teams are poor defensively | 1.82 |
| Yekaterinburg -2 | They are a very solid futsal team and their opposition is not the best | 1.85 |
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Europa League:
Betting them on the handicap is okay but they have to win to progress so it makes sense to back them in the 1x2 market. Young Boys are the better side for me and shouldn't be higher than 3.50.
| Rangers v Young Boys, Young Boys @ 4.40 |
Betting them on the handicap is okay but they have to win to progress so it makes sense to back them in the 1x2 market. Young Boys are the better side for me and shouldn't be higher than 3.50.
So Gilport Lions, one of the ones I was really doubtful over ended up being my only win! Not too damaging seeing as it was 3.30. -1.70 units on the day.
Nothing for me today, although I'm going to start a little bit of paper trading on overs/unders.
Seems like the kind of bet I'd enjoy and easy to comprehend/visualise. It's yes/no so it's binary and if sticking to odds greater than 2.00 you can ask yourself "is this more likely to happen than not?". If yes, there's perceived value. A fair bit of my 1X2 thinking has been the same so far, picking teams who are shade odds against who I think I should be odds on. They're binary too in the sense that the team I've picked either wins or they don't, but there's the 3 possible results of win, lose or draw instead of just the 2 with over/under 2.5.
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This is usually better achievable at basketball or volleyball on live betting. On football the over/under lines vary much less.
Rangers seem pretty solid at home, but hey, they're a Scottish team
I'm going on Young Boys + 1 @2.05 which seems niceRangers seem pretty solid at home, but hey, they're a Scottish team
Cheers. Looks like a nice tip. Rangers can go through with X, so might not be so attacking.
Any team news / important players missing or back?
I'll try and remember that one day for the future, thanks. As things stand I literally no nothing about these sports so I'll give football a go first.
It intuitively makes sense though, they're higher scoring sports for a start. I just watched the market for a few minutes in a basketball game and the over/under total was changing. The low was 116.5, the highest 121.5. Plenty of opportunities to maybe jump in if you see something you like. Then if you had different bookmaker accounts, different ones will be reacting slightly differently to each other which means even more chances I guess.
Things started smoothly today. Yekaterinburg 8-3 Novaya. I should had went for overs too.
Rangers seem pretty solid at home, but hey, they're a Scottish team
Won in 89th minute. Didnt watch it though. Young Boys Fortunate?
A bit to be honest, but Rangers committed the mistake of conceding way too much possession on the 2nd half, and when a team does that with the minimal margin it's a matter of time until an individual mistake happens.
3 early kick offs:
Al Akhdoud 2.50
Hapoel Ramat Gan 2.62
Cape Umoya UTD 2.20
Al Akhdoud 2.50
Hapoel Ramat Gan 2.62
Cape Umoya UTD 2.20
Bet Reasoning Odd Profit El Haddadi to score He might not even play, so beware 2.90 0.00€ (didn't play) Cluj to win Both teams qualified and Cluj plays at home 1.98 9.80€ FC Copenhagen to win Good odd at home and Malmo might be in off-season mode 2.40 -10.00€ DC Vitória (risky) Frankfurt form has taken a severe dip 3.90 13.50€ DC Sporting (a bit risky) Both teams qualified 2.04 -5.00€ DC Wolfsberger HT Roma seems to score more at 2nd half 2.10 -10.00€ BTS Porto - Feyenoord Porto's defence is really shaky this season 2.00 20.00€ Greenwood to score Trusting my gut 2.30 13.00€ Cutrone to score 2.35 -10.00€ Anadolu to win Fenerbahce is playing poorly this season 2.10 10.22€ (arb at 3Q) CSKA to win (for trading) I know Maccabi is doing well this season, but CSKA is always a powerhouse 2.06 2.25€ (arb at 1Q) Latina - Genoa over 6.5 (futsal) Both teams are poor defensively 1.82 8.50€ Yekaterinburg -2 They are a very solid futsal team and their opposition is not the best 1.85 18.00€ Young Boys +1 Many thanks to @Pagh Wraith for this brilliant tip 2.05 45.00€ 105.27€
Very good night last one. My bankroll gave quite a decent leap.
Nymburk is playing home now. Smells like battering time! Small punt on AH -38.5 for fun
Good start today: 114-75 = 39. I reversed the Friday 13th jinx
I know this is probably a silly tip but Under 5.5 goals in Liverpool vs Watford @1.14 seems reasonable to spike up another tip and give value.
New manager for Watford, semi-tight schedule for Liverpool and Watford are shy of scoring.
I highly doubt Liverpool will score 5-6 goals when they can give rest to players being in the lead. They travel to Qatar to play 4+6 days later and will have to save energy for the christmas schedule.
Liverpool's gone over the line once this season in PL (vs Everton). Except for City away (8-0 crazy game), Watford has had games of 3-4 goals max. The new manager effect always ups players efforts too.
New manager for Watford, semi-tight schedule for Liverpool and Watford are shy of scoring.
I highly doubt Liverpool will score 5-6 goals when they can give rest to players being in the lead. They travel to Qatar to play 4+6 days later and will have to save energy for the christmas schedule.
Liverpool's gone over the line once this season in PL (vs Everton). Except for City away (8-0 crazy game), Watford has had games of 3-4 goals max. The new manager effect always ups players efforts too.
Friday:
| Le Mans v Orleans, Orleans 0 @ 2.18 |
| Alaves v Leganes, Alaves -0.25 @ 2.23 |
2 out of 3 ain't bad. Ramat Gan briefly went 2-1 up in the second half but it ended 2-2. +1.70 units
One for tonight:
FC Utrecht II 2.00
FC Utrecht II 2.00
Hull double chance in play @ 2.0 is a decent bet
Meh, 2-2, conceded an own goal on '84. Still slightly ahead on the day so it's not all bad.
I’m 17 out of the last 20 player bets in NBA with nothing to show for this as they all came on very high odds accumulators with one bet losing (Simmons last night). Going for:
Ingram points + rebounds + assists over 32.5
Sabonis over 17.5 points
Randle over 7.5 rebounds
Towns over 2.5 threes
Bogdanovic over 2.5 threes
LaVine over 22.5 points
Capela double double
Adebayo double double
Ingram points + rebounds + assists over 32.5
Sabonis over 17.5 points
Randle over 7.5 rebounds
Towns over 2.5 threes
Bogdanovic over 2.5 threes
LaVine over 22.5 points
Capela double double
Adebayo double double
Beat the market and a bit unfortunate to lose both. Alaves dominated should have won, Orleans seems to have been an even game and conceded two late goals after leading 2-1.
Saturday:
| Braunschweig v Meppen, Meppen 0.25 @ 2.17 |
| Scunthorpe v Colchester, Colchester 0 @ 2.13 |
| Wimbledon v Doncaster, Doncaster -0.5 @ 2.09 |
| Harrogate v Hartlepool, Hartlepool 0.5 @ 1.93 |
| Dorking v Bromley, Bromley -0.5 @ 2.23 |
| Halifax v Wrexham, Wrexham 0 @ 2.29 |
Going to have lots today:
Caykur Risespor 2.15
NAPSA Stars 2.37
Lecce 3.50
Biggleswade Town 1.72
Bonnyrigg Rose 1.83
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 2.50
Lewes 2.40
Oxford United 1.95
Worthing 2.10
Edit for a few more:
Marbella FC 1.85
CD Badajoz 2.30
Athletic Bilbao 1.66
Reims 2.20
Caykur Risespor 2.15
NAPSA Stars 2.37
Lecce 3.50
Biggleswade Town 1.72
Bonnyrigg Rose 1.83
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 2.50
Lewes 2.40
Oxford United 1.95
Worthing 2.10
Edit for a few more:
Marbella FC 1.85
CD Badajoz 2.30
Athletic Bilbao 1.66
Reims 2.20
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Any good tips for a "safe" single-bet about odds 1.5 or over? Need one to go through to claim a bonus
Is there such a thing as a safe bet?
Servette @1.55
Atthletic Bilbao @1.61
Real Zaragoza @1.57
Reims @2.20
Vitoria Setubal @2.00 is also worth a look
Barcelona, Leeds Utd, Leicester City, Chelsea, Bayer Leverkusen, RB Salzburg, Maccabi Tel Aviv, making the bookies very happy today.
Probably not. Cheers - Any of those with a very good reasoning behind?
Hartlepool conceding three in the final 15 minutes (incl. a 93rd-minute winner) capped off a miserable weekend so far. Wrexham was a poor bet as they played their reserves, the others played out fine. Not reflected in the score lines unfortunately.
No worries. I don't bother with all the reasoning rationale. I could have said for example, go with Maccabi Tel Aviv who are unbeaten all season in the Israeli league and have not even conceded a goal in the first 13 games playing at home against bottom side Nes Tziona who have only won one game all season. So what happens? Maccabi Tel Aviv concede a goal and end up drawing ruining my 12-fold at the first hurdle.
Servette and Bilbao are currently playing well and at home to Thun and Eibar respectively who are conversely pretty poor.
Managed to scrape out the tiniest amount in front.
Outlay = 13 units
- 6 losing bets - Risespor, Lecce, Inverness, Oxford, Marbella, Bilbao = 0 return
-2 postponed - Biggleswade and Worthing = 2.00 return
-5 winning bets - NAPSA (2.37), Bonnyrigg (1.83), Lewes (2.40), Badajoz (2.30), Reims 2.20 = 11.10 return
Total 13.10
+0.10
Napoli, Salzburg, Marseille and Galatasaray continue the being crap theme yesterday. Did anybody have a good day yesterday?
NFL ACCA for today
Seahawks, Patriots,Raiders,Vikings and 49ers money line at 4.78/1
Seahawks, Patriots,Raiders,Vikings and 49ers money line at 4.78/1
Mine for today:
Vfl Osnabruck -0.5 2.025
ASD Montegiorgio 2.10
Sivasspor 0.0 2.050
AC Feralpisalo 2.10
Bordeaux 2.30
URSL Vise 1.83
Real Betis 0.0 2.020
Balmaseda FC 2.70
Carpi -0.5 1.850
Monopoli 1.90
Vfl Osnabruck -0.5 2.025
ASD Montegiorgio 2.10
Sivasspor 0.0 2.050
AC Feralpisalo 2.10
Bordeaux 2.30
URSL Vise 1.83
Real Betis 0.0 2.020
Balmaseda FC 2.70
Carpi -0.5 1.850
Monopoli 1.90
For my 1.5 bets today I've gone with Lacazette and Alli to have a shot on target. A bit unsure whether headers count
They do mate, at least with billy hill.
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