Feel like Nadal v Thiem Over 35.5 games is good value @ 1.73
Thiem is playing so well and I fancy him to win a set.
Thiem is playing so well and I fancy him to win a set.
Football & Sports Betting Thread 2019/2020
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Yeah gotta love the never say die attitude of Thiem, could easily get him a set. I am on Nadal 3-0 @2,33, fear i was a bit hasty but will not change it now. Also under 9.5 aces @ 1.83.
Edit: Italy won 2-1 vs Aus in WC Women, very lucky Aus a far better side.
EditII: Not my lucky day, Nadal outclasses Thiem but gave away the one set, and the 10th ace came in the last game of the match!
On England -1.5 vs Scotland in the WC Women next...
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Suisse + Thiem = a lot, but small stake, of course
Anyone want to jump on England @2.5 right now? They're creating a lot of chances and surely will score in the second half.
Ronaldo & Memphis to have over two shots on target @ 12.0
Terrible. Both had only 1!
Colombia DNB @ 1.73
Mexico @ 1.85
Done those two in a little double.
On Pakistan -0.25/Win tomorrow v Cambodia. They kicked off below evens in the away game, didn't play well though. This is a neutral venue today, think price will drop before kick off, I've got about 7/10 fair for win. Had some -1.5 also, Pakistan 2-0 down on Agg, I think they'll still go through.
on Japan -1.25 in play from 0-0. They've played awful so far, can only improve second half. Should end 2-0 FT.
I fecking hope so I have Japan over 1.5 goals
Don't think I've watched many games worse than that.
Terrible, big miss early 2nd half and did nothing else. England will hammer Argentina, hopefully market backs Argentina + based off this game.
Johnsen brace for Norway @7.75, Ødegård assist @3.00, Ireland -6.25 vs Gibraltar @8.80
Get in Johnsen! Ødegård should have had an assist though. Ireland only 2-0.
Gone live on Raptors @ 2.17 with 10 mins left and 3 down, been trailing whole game but Durant out injured again and GSW still in it only due to incredible shooting - Don't think it can last.
Went up by 6 and somehow managed to loose it. Small hedge @9.69 in the timeout when 6 up, even if I didn't believe they could loose, so still made a small profit.
Get in Johnsen!
Ødegård should have had an assist though. Ireland only 2-0.Gone live on Raptors @ 2.17 with 10 mins left and 3 down, been trailing whole game but Durant out injured again and GSW still in it only due to incredible shooting - Don't think it can last.
Went up by 6 and somehow managed to loose it. Small hedge @9.69 in the timeout when 6 up, even if I didn't believe they could loose, so still made a small profit.
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Placed an early bet with high stake on Germany VS Spain in the women WC @1.91, think the odds will drop a bit. Medium stake on bet builder Netherlands vs NZ, win, most corners and no goal for NZ @2.43. Also think Thailand and Chile could get pastings today vs USA/Sweden, so will play some HC¨s on those for sure.
Any bets on the U20's today @Spiersey?
Edit: Netherlands won 1-0/8-1 in corners, bet in.
Any bets on the U20's today @Spiersey?
Edit: Netherlands won 1-0/8-1 in corners, bet in.
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Not sure if the odds will drop on Germany, I'm on Spain to win that group from earlier this year at 15s. They played each other in November last year, Germany kicked off 1.5 to win but Spain were much better first half and Germany win was about 2.4 after 20 minutes iirc. Germany much stronger team 2nd half though. Really unsure on how the market will view the game, think Germany 1.7 win is probably fair.
No bets for me yet on u20, liked Ecuador Draw no bet but missed prices on that. Tempted to oppose Italy again as they really do not deserve to be in the semis, very fortunate run so far. Will wait and see how it starts though.
Wasn't aware that Germany and Spain played last year as it didn't show on Sofascore. Norwegian expert saying Germany much stronger side and should be down towards the 1.50 mark... Australia 2.20 against Brazil could also be worth a bet, Aus very unlucky first game and Brazil not all that.
I was looking at the exact same on U20's, Ecuador @2.15 last night, down to 1.95 now so way too low. Ukraine DNB @2.39 looks a lot better, Italy been lucky so far but knowing those b...... it can continue that way!
Edit: Gone early on the Raptors in G6, Durrant out, Looney should be doubtful. Got off the hook in G4, but only due to shooting 48% (20/42)against Raptors 25% from outside. Raptors clear favourites for me, @2.43 atm.
Placed a small bet on Sweden -2.25 vs Chile @2.38 in the women WC.
Edit II: The Ukraine is strong! Two late swedish goals makes it a half loss, should have won more though. Final pass, decision making and shooting were off, and Chile have a terrific goalie. On Hungary and Albania now in the Euro Qualifiers.
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Would definitely disagree with that. Maybe stronger but not much. Spain have improved loads last couple of years and Germany declined compared to a couple years ago. Spain benefit as well from being mainly made of up Barca/Atletico players. Both sides were excellent in CL this year as well. Barcelona were pretty dominant v Bayern home and away. Perhaps I underrate Germany though, I opposed them earlier this year with France Women Draw no bet and lost.
De Ligt to join PSG is still @2.1 after the Di Marzio confirmation.
@John_Dooh Marozsan is out for Germany, she’s best player. Will be a big miss for them. Wouldn’t be surprised to see more a drift tomorrow due to it.
Thanks for the info bud, much appreciated. Odds on Germany up to 2.19 now, so no doubt I should've stayed away from this one. Seems to be a lot of hacks bigging themselves up, working as "betting journos" in the Norwegian media. Normally I just read the tips(SB/Dagbladet), but got tempted as he seemed so assured about this. Womens football has been getting coverage in Norway for 30+ years, so I expected journos here to be well informed on it.
Anyway, great day, got late goals in Hungary and Albania games, and USA 13-0 Thailand, I was only on -5 so went too low!
On three bets in the WTA in Nottingham tomorrow morning, small on Vekic and Moore each 2-0, and medium bet on Swan VS Pera. Vekic line has dropped a lot though. Also looking at Pouille vs Medvedev.
I stuck a tenner on 7/2 yesterday after hearing cockhead Danny Murphy on Talksport adamantly say his source said he’s 100% going to PSG. Said his source was concrete on it. Wish i stuck £20 on now like i almost did.
Small stake on South Melbourne to win in the FFA Cup at @2.60 or double chance is a good shout. Normally one of the strongest team in Melbourne but made a terrible start to the season and struggled to score goals. Started to turn it round recently beating some of the bigger teams in the division and strengthened well in the window which closed last week. Melb Knights on the other hand sacked their manager when they were well placed and haven't done well since, also lost their best CB in the window.
Cashed out my Swan vs Pera bet at small loss, moved in to the hardcourt it seems. Beware all that have tennis bets in Nottingham....
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Tennis is on fire. Today Raonic and Pouille won as expected. Why did the bookies put them as underdogs?
Can't really complain since I've made profit from it.
Can't really complain since I've made profit from it.
Berrettini M. (Ita) - Khachanov K. (Rus)
This game has potential for live arbitrage betting. Berettini has a little edge on grass IMHO.
This game has potential for live arbitrage betting. Berettini has a little edge on grass IMHO.
Haase, Rybakina aaaand..Khachanov!
I'm on Berrettini on this one and I closed my position by doing an arb bet after the first set.
Good call with Berrettini, thought it was more a one off vs Kyrgios, shouldn't have closed it though bud! Only 1/3 for me, Haase didn't show up after the break and was broken 2/3 games on grass today....Going with Struff tomorrow @1.83.
On Lyn u19 VS Ullern U19 this afternoon @1.93 - Ullern missing key players, and BTTS in both matches in the womens WC @4.01.
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Pouille is the underdog again. Get in!
I'm going on Pouille to make the arb bet
Here in Portugal the odds are not as fast to be published because we have very few online sports betting websites legalized.
Raptors at 2.2 an excellent bet tonight
Nice money
Good tip!
Today I think the game Kudla - Berrettini has a good chance for arbing. Kudla historic against Berretini is quite positive.
Risky ones:
Dustin Brown is another arbing choice but it can be tricky: he's moralized after eliminating Zverev but his ATP ranking is so low that I think the risk is high. I need the odd of Auger-Aliassime to reach 1.65 to close my position. But this is a risky one.
In Basketabll, I think Venezia odd is way up there. They're probably going to loose, but I think their initial odd is strangely big and it could easily fluctuate. Afterall I onlu need Venezia odd to reach 1.44 minimum.
Risky ones:
Dustin Brown is another arbing choice but it can be tricky: he's moralized after eliminating Zverev but his ATP ranking is so low that I think the risk is high. I need the odd of Auger-Aliassime to reach 1.65 to close my position. But this is a risky one.
In Basketabll, I think Venezia odd is way up there. They're probably going to loose, but I think their initial odd is strangely big and it could easily fluctuate. Afterall I onlu need Venezia odd to reach 1.44 minimum.
Kudla - Berrettini not going well. Let's hope Kudla can recover a bit. I need a 1.52 to close my position. Off course, if all my arbs went through I would be rich by now
Under 21.5 as insurance.
3-6 3-6 = 18 games. Insurance paid off. At least I didn't loose money (didn't won any either)
Struff to win vs Pouille @1.8.
Staked a treble of Brazil to Win Copa, Mexico to Win Gold Cup and USA to win Womens WC at 16s. Also added in Morocco to win Afcon for a 4fold and then Italy to win u21s for a 5 fold.
Brazil and Mexico both win easily for me barring big upsets. Both are value for me as 2nd favourites are too short imo. Argentina are massively overrated, they shouldn't be 2nd favourites. They've done nothing to suggest they are the 2nd best side bar have Messi. Colombia and Uruguay have both regressed in recent years and Chile are finished. Home advantage for Brazil also as well as a stupidly easy path to the final.
Mexico also have an easyish route to the final. USA got home advantage but 2nd best player for injured this week and will miss the tournament. Mexico have comfortably the best manager and the best team on paper.
USA is a toss up with France basically, I make it 60/40 in favour of USA so with them being priced 50/50 its the value pick for me currently. They'll meet in the quarters, whoever wins that should win the comp.
Morocco are too big of price for me at 13s, should be 6 or 7/1. They're the best side in Africa for me and the most balanced. They were excellent in the World Cup. The other top sides rely too heavily on one player for me. Egypt are rightly favourites given they're at home though.
Italy is a bit of a toss up really, think they should be favourites for the comp though with the squad they've named and with them being hosts. France squad is strong but they are lazy. England squad lacks balance for me, they're stacked with attack minded midfielders and think they've a few weak areas.
Brazil and Mexico both win easily for me barring big upsets. Both are value for me as 2nd favourites are too short imo. Argentina are massively overrated, they shouldn't be 2nd favourites. They've done nothing to suggest they are the 2nd best side bar have Messi. Colombia and Uruguay have both regressed in recent years and Chile are finished. Home advantage for Brazil also as well as a stupidly easy path to the final.
Mexico also have an easyish route to the final. USA got home advantage but 2nd best player for injured this week and will miss the tournament. Mexico have comfortably the best manager and the best team on paper.
USA is a toss up with France basically, I make it 60/40 in favour of USA so with them being priced 50/50 its the value pick for me currently. They'll meet in the quarters, whoever wins that should win the comp.
Morocco are too big of price for me at 13s, should be 6 or 7/1. They're the best side in Africa for me and the most balanced. They were excellent in the World Cup. The other top sides rely too heavily on one player for me. Egypt are rightly favourites given they're at home though.
Italy is a bit of a toss up really, think they should be favourites for the comp though with the squad they've named and with them being hosts. France squad is strong but they are lazy. England squad lacks balance for me, they're stacked with attack minded midfielders and think they've a few weak areas.
Couldn't do an arb on the Pouille match. First lost of the day
Brown won the second set and I could close my position under 1.65. Not much of a profit here profit, but at least I didn't lost money.
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