Football Betting Thread 2017/2018

Cheers, will take Kanter and Vučević myself.

Sorry about Vucevic. He only got 6-17 for some reason and once it became clear Gordon was on fire, they started playing through him instead.
 
Looking at doing £100 on one of these two trebles:

Chelsea
Spurs
Celtic

2.44/1

or

Spurs
Celtic
Napoli

2.22/1

Or, £25 on the 5 fold:

Chelsea,
Spurs
Celtic
Napoli
Bayern

7.5/1
 
Kanter was so easy :lol: ended up with 19 rebounds.

Vucevic I got wrong. To be fair I did not expect Aaron Gordon to suddenly fire off to 41 points and be focal point of Magic offense. Towns and Love both in although marginally.

Great tip. Seems the bookies got that totally wrong. I was tempted by your argument but I don't follow basketball at all so decided not to. Oh well.
 
Great tip. Seems the bookies got that totally wrong. I was tempted by your argument but I don't follow basketball at all so decided not to. Oh well.

Just a shame I did not go higher for it and that I also put this in accumulator that got screwed by Vucevic. CJ was also 1 point short from 24 but that wasn't completely terrible bet to be honest.

I'll start grading my bets from now on into classes from A to F and differentiate my stakes. For example last night Kanter would have been an A for me, Towns would have been a B, Love, Vucevic and CJ would have been C or D.
 
Just a shame I did not go higher for it and that I also put this in accumulator that got screwed by Vucevic. CJ was also 1 point short from 24 but that wasn't completely terrible bet to be honest.

I'll start grading my bets from now on into classes from A to F and differentiate my stakes. For example last night Kanter would have been an A for me, Towns would have been a B, Love, Vucevic and CJ would have been C or D.

100% of my support for you, sir. Top act.
 
Looking at doing £100 on one of these two trebles:

Chelsea
Spurs
Celtic

2.44/1

or

Spurs
Celtic
Napoli

2.22/1

Or, £25 on the 5 fold:

Chelsea,
Spurs
Celtic
Napoli
Bayern

7.5/1

In my not so smart opinion, better concentrate on Serie A.

Atlanta, Napoli, Juventus are a must. Additional 50-50 win loose Milan and Lazio.

Hahahaha, but once again i am in a bad run...very very bad.
 
Just a shame I did not go higher for it and that I also put this in accumulator that got screwed by Vucevic. CJ was also 1 point short from 24 but that wasn't completely terrible bet to be honest.

I'll start grading my bets from now on into classes from A to F and differentiate my stakes. For example last night Kanter would have been an A for me, Towns would have been a B, Love, Vucevic and CJ would have been C or D.

Altering your stake according to the perceived value AND the actual odds (IE smaller stakes on longer odds) is definitely a good move.
 
Does anyone else take a punt and hedge their bets when odds are high?

For example at HT today in the Arsenal/Norwich game... I put $50 on a draw @ 3.00 AND $50 on Arsenal win @ 2.75

The result was a guaranteed profit of $50... the alternative would've been a profit of $37.50...... unless Norwich won.

Anyone else do this kind of stuff? @Sarni @BobbyManc et all?

Anyone?
 
Put together a long-term bet to keep me invested in the various leagues etc:

Napoli to win Serie A (without Juve); Monaco to win Ligue 1 (without PSG); Bayern Munich to win the Bundesliga; Corinthians to win Campeonato Brasileiro; Viktoria Plzen to win the Czech league; PSV to win Eredivisie; TNS to win the Welsh league; Galatasaray to win the Turkish league; Porto to win Primeira Liga; Lazio to win Europa League's Group K @31.5
 
Tips for the NBA tonight:

Steven Adams over 7.5 rebounds @ 1.85 - the line is based on two things I believe: previous season and his three games so far. What it doesn't factor in is that a) Thunder have more players who will shoot from distance this year, b) Carmelo plays at 4 now and he won't get into Adams way, like Kanter sometimes did when they played together, c) Westbrook has already got his MVP and triple-double record and won't be that bothered about rebounds. Also, this season he got 13 rebounds against Towns, and got 5 rebounds at Utah but it was against Rudy Gobert - nobody can rebound against Rudy freaking Gobert. I rate this bet a B+ grade.

Andre Drummond over 13.5 points @ 1.90
- he hasn't been scoring much this season but Towns has been really weak on defense so far and is playing back-to-back, so will probably be quite tired. He's a great rebounder so should probably be able to score off a few rebounds too. I rate this bet a B.

Ben Simmons over 6.5 assists @ 1.70 -
the man has been a machine and is and is a passing king. He only got 5 against Celtics in their previous home arena game but they shot awfully in that game. With Houston they should get some nice open looks and with the way Houston defend it will only allow his creativity to become visible more. I rate this a C+.
 
Now that I've seen Drummond's highlights from the past two games I give it a B+ too. He only saw the floor for 26 and 22 minutes against Washington and Charlotte and got 9 and 8 points respectively, against defenders much stronger than Towns. When he played 35+ minutes against Philadelphia (against Embiid who is MUCH better on defense than Towns) and New York (against Kanter who is admittedly worse than KAT but rebounds better which offsets each other) he scored 14 and 21 respectively. He will get 18 minumum tonight IMO.

Another factor that could play into Adams' hands is that Indiana are on back-to-back so Sabonis will be tired, and he also knows Sabonis from playing with him. Additionally, the strength difference between the two players is very significant so he should be able to outpower him plenty of time.

I am taking Adams and Drummond double at 300 PLN, 1050 PLN to return.
 
Waiting for that A+ grade tip :drool:

Unreal tip yesterday, shame I blew the winnings this morning on a terrible bet.
 
Wish I understood basketball (actually if I did it would probably just result in double the losses!)
Today's football Astana to nil (won 4 nil) Red Star or whatever they're called now to Nil , Roma and Atalanta.
 
Waiting for that A+ grade tip :drool:

Unreal tip yesterday, shame I blew the winnings this morning on a terrible bet.
I will be waiting for the next game Kanter plays against clueless rebounders, maybe they still won't adjust the line :D

Or generally for whoever can rebound and plays Celtics. Drummond will get 50.
 
My donation to the bookies.

Inter (already won)
Atalanta (2-0 so far)
Juventus -1.5
Roma -1.5
Lazio
Napoli
 
Tips for the NBA tonight:

Steven Adams over 7.5 rebounds @ 1.85 - the line is based on two things I believe: previous season and his three games so far. What it doesn't factor in is that a) Thunder have more players who will shoot from distance this year, b) Carmelo plays at 4 now and he won't get into Adams way, like Kanter sometimes did when they played together, c) Westbrook has already got his MVP and triple-double record and won't be that bothered about rebounds. Also, this season he got 13 rebounds against Towns, and got 5 rebounds at Utah but it was against Rudy Gobert - nobody can rebound against Rudy freaking Gobert. I rate this bet a B+ grade.

Andre Drummond over 13.5 points @ 1.90
- he hasn't been scoring much this season but Towns has been really weak on defense so far and is playing back-to-back, so will probably be quite tired. He's a great rebounder so should probably be able to score off a few rebounds too. I rate this bet a B.

Ben Simmons over 6.5 assists @ 1.70 -
the man has been a machine and is and is a passing king. He only got 5 against Celtics in their previous home arena game but they shot awfully in that game. With Houston they should get some nice open looks and with the way Houston defend it will only allow his creativity to become visible more. I rate this a C+.

Good luck. Think I'll watch for now.
 
Tips for the NBA tonight:

Steven Adams over 7.5 rebounds @ 1.85 - the line is based on two things I believe: previous season and his three games so far. What it doesn't factor in is that a) Thunder have more players who will shoot from distance this year, b) Carmelo plays at 4 now and he won't get into Adams way, like Kanter sometimes did when they played together, c) Westbrook has already got his MVP and triple-double record and won't be that bothered about rebounds. Also, this season he got 13 rebounds against Towns, and got 5 rebounds at Utah but it was against Rudy Gobert - nobody can rebound against Rudy freaking Gobert. I rate this bet a B+ grade.

Andre Drummond over 13.5 points @ 1.90
- he hasn't been scoring much this season but Towns has been really weak on defense so far and is playing back-to-back, so will probably be quite tired. He's a great rebounder so should probably be able to score off a few rebounds too. I rate this bet a B.

Ben Simmons over 6.5 assists @ 1.70 -
the man has been a machine and is and is a passing king. He only got 5 against Celtics in their previous home arena game but they shot awfully in that game. With Houston they should get some nice open looks and with the way Houston defend it will only allow his creativity to become visible more. I rate this a C+.

Steven Adams not on bet 365?
 
Everytime I bet on this prick Zverev, he's so struggling to win his service games.
Yeah have him too. He's been struggling a lot. I may stop betting on him(after he wins today hopefully). He's already qualified for the finals and has nothing to play for
 
Luckily, his opponent today even more!

Think there was 7-8 breaks of service in match. Felt I was watching Williams - Ostapenko at times. :nervous:
 
https://i.imgur.com/dydHAbJ.png

My donation to Bet365 tonight.

You're welcome Bet365. Even gave Club Brugge a 1 goal cushion to lose and they're still wankers. Feckers haven't lost a game by more than 1 since April, and they've won the vast majority of them.

Celtic also manage to record their lowest corner count of the season.

Feck my luck.
 
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:lol: fecking hell, my bet went bad quickly. I could have cashed out at HF for tidy profit as well.
 
I was in the process of putting a fiver on West Ham at 33/1 to win when my bet was refused as West Ham equalised :(

Anyway, in-play Sporting Cristal To concede at 11/10 looks nice
 
I like the Blue Jackets ML -Buffalo are one of the worst teams in the NHL and are on the 2nd night of a back to back and will be playing their back up goalie, Blue Jackets are very strong at home and are coming of a home loss so expect them to come out firing.

St Louis Blues ML- Again their opponents are on the end of a back to back, they had a gruelling match last night which went into over time, again they are playing their back up goalie who isn't very good. Blues have come off a 3 day rest so should have a big advantage here.

and I'm going to parlay this all with Spurs-3.5. Miami are missing Whiteside so I expect Spurs bigs to score with ease. Also Waiters is questionable, even if he does start his health can't be close to 100 percent.

All at 4.14!
 
Tips for the NBA tonight:

Steven Adams over 7.5 rebounds @ 1.85 - the line is based on two things I believe: previous season and his three games so far. What it doesn't factor in is that a) Thunder have more players who will shoot from distance this year, b) Carmelo plays at 4 now and he won't get into Adams way, like Kanter sometimes did when they played together, c) Westbrook has already got his MVP and triple-double record and won't be that bothered about rebounds. Also, this season he got 13 rebounds against Towns, and got 5 rebounds at Utah but it was against Rudy Gobert - nobody can rebound against Rudy freaking Gobert. I rate this bet a B+ grade.

Andre Drummond over 13.5 points @ 1.90
- he hasn't been scoring much this season but Towns has been really weak on defense so far and is playing back-to-back, so will probably be quite tired. He's a great rebounder so should probably be able to score off a few rebounds too. I rate this bet a B.

Ben Simmons over 6.5 assists @ 1.70 -
the man has been a machine and is and is a passing king. He only got 5 against Celtics in their previous home arena game but they shot awfully in that game. With Houston they should get some nice open looks and with the way Houston defend it will only allow his creativity to become visible more. I rate this a C+.

I really like the Simmons over, he's had a triple double 3 outta 4 games and plays the point with the 2nd unit. I'm on it!
 
Steph Curry Under 38.5 pts, rebounds and assists @ 1.80

I'm doing this.. my raptors play great defence and they're coming off a night where they ran the spurs close.
 
I really like the Simmons over, he's had a triple double 3 outta 4 games and plays the point with the 2nd unit. I'm on it!

Yeah he's already had 7!

Drummond has 12 points early into third quarter but Detroit are ahead by 25 so it all depends on whether they will bring him back into the game considering the game is already won...