So about players value rising, from my observation.
when you go to The transfers and from the menu click transfer in or out (round) you can see how many were made. Normally if the player was transfered around 200k Net he should rise 0.1
so right now there is lot of players around that number
Defenders
more than 200
Gabriel 5.0
almost 200
Justin 4.5
Mitchell 4.0
Digne 6.0
more than 100
James 5.0
Castagne 5.5
Midfielders
more than 200
Bruno 10.5
Kdb 11.5
Willian 8.1
almost 200
Salah 12.0
more than 100
James 7.5
Hendrick 5.0
Forwards
more than 200
Bamford 5.6
almost 200
DCL 7.0
Wilson 6.5
Martial 9.0
more than 100
Vardy 10.0
I tried to find some path for Willian and Bamford and compared it to Gabriel and Wilson and it does not make any sense.
Bamford rised 99% from the GW1 Willian 51% Wilson 30% and Gabriel 272%
Percentage of transfers out to in are
12 Bamford, 11 Willian, 19 Wilson and 8.5 Gabriel.
So i guess it is more about that 200k transfers Net
The funny thing is almost 50k people had KdB for blank round and now sold him
Aaron, Bruno, Mason and Tony were sold around 40k each after GW1
I mean... why ?
about value going down, I have no idea how it works, but must be totally different than going up.
TAA Was sold more than 200k Doherty 130 k but their price is still The same
there are 5 players that dropped 0.1
Saliba
Soares
Pepe
Mane
Minamino
so I made some math and the thing that they have in common is they dropped from more than 20% of teams from the start of the GW1, so I guess that could be the key.
I didn't have much time but find few more that are close to that 20% drop so maybe it will give us more answers if they pass it
Pulisic 16.4%
Saka 19%
Antonio 15 %
TAA and Doherty are around 7% down so if their price won't change that also be some clue.
I hope that can help somehow.
Have a nice Day