Help me out guys!
Last round coming up, guess a few managers are as nervous as me. I need some input and reassurances for my own league, where I currently enjoy a 12 point lead over the next guy (who's an annoying Liverpool-fan btw) - having been as much as 150 points up during the season. Losing this in the last round would be devastating to say the least! I have the bench boost activated (without really having a bench) - he has no chips left whatsoever. I have been lingering around 10-20k in the world all season, before losing my grip the last 10 rounds or so - hedging too much and doing stupid choices and hits:
My squad - listed full due to bench boost:
Lloris
Valencia, Smalling, Laporte, Monreal, Long
Sterling, Son, Mahrez, Willian, King
Kane (c), Jesus, Quaner
His team:
De Gea (Courtois)
Vertonghen, Mustafi, Monreal, Laporte (Smalling)
Eriksen (c), Sterling, Tadic (Young) (Carroll)
Jesus, Kane, Perez
Both have obvious problems coming up; Valencia/Smalling probably won't play for me, but we know de Gea won't play for him - Courtois uncertain as well. Our back-lines are pretty similar due to hedging, I have a nice differential in Long from Burnley (Bmouth at home), my Lloris hedges out Vertonghen. Both midfields pretty weak, him having a probable advantage in Eriksen vs. Son as Son could be rested for Lamela or Moura in the last game. Eriksen always plays. Similar strikers, although he has Perez who'll start the game at home to Chelsae for sure.
Should I stay calm and hope for the best or do a few hits to get a better team? All I know is that he will probably take a hit or two, at least -4. I also think he will choose another captain than Kane, as he knows I will pick Kane. I am guessing right now that he'll captain Eriksen, possibly Jesus. I've already made one transfer by bringing in Long for Kenny, obviously regretting it since I now realize Valencia and Smalling both will (most likely) be rested. Right now I am contemplating doing a -8 hit, where I sell Mahrez and Valencia/Smalling, bringing in Salah and a Liverpool-defender based on any leaks coming out. As mentioned above, I also have the bench boost activated. Quaner and King will most likely rack up a total of 3 points in total.
Your input is highly appreciated!