I post here on Brighton players when they are inevitably coveted/linked to Manchester United. I posted extensively in the Caicedo thread and really appreciated the very positive feedback so I thought I’d give my thoughts on this thread too.
There seems to be some confusion with the points made in the sampled quotes above.
Ferguson signed an improved contract until 2026 in October 2022 - the likelihood of the player winding down his contract is rather slim, and in truth the club have never in the last 30 years allowed this to happen. Recently, Trossard (final year), Maupay (final year), Bissouma (final year) and even a handful of unused prospects have been sold for relatively large fees rather than allowing this to happen. In fact, these transfer fees combined have totalled over £70m+ add-ons.
There are two main reasons for this. Firstly our players are still in demand when sold. There is often no shortage of potential buyers, which means that we don’t get lowballed on want-away players. Secondly, and related to this, our players are on relatively low wages in comparison to the top clubs and even many clubs who are doing less well. Everton, for example, are said to have practically doubled Maupay’s wage.
In practice this means the club “sitting on” a player isn’t a financial nightmare, because other clubs can afford to sign them and they’re still all relatively young. We don’t have Phil Jones’s, Oxlade-Chamberlain’s and the like on huge money that we want rid of. Both earn considerably more than our highest earners.
I did get quite a few mocking replies re: Caicedo, because - respectfully - some fans of the biggest clubs find it quite incredulous that Brighton are where they are in a business and footballing sense. Points made along the lines of “they’re just Brighton, offer them £20m and force a move. They only paid £5m for him, that’s a huge profit”.
I stated at the time that Caicedo was unlikely to go anywhere for south of £70m - and many spat out their coffee. Fair enough, it does sound mental, but it’s worth remembering that reputation isn’t the benchmark of a player’s value any more - ability, age and potential are. Whether they play for Barca or Bournemouth.
What Brighton pay for a player is irrelevant to outgoing dealings, speaking in terms of historical precedent. The club view profit/loss in strictly business terms. Maupay, for example, had amortised his transfer fee prior to his sale. Therefore, with use of the player for several seasons, the club view his sale for £5m less than we paid as a “profit”.
Brighton in particular, but many other smaller clubs than Manchester United, Chelsea, Arsenal, Liverpool, Manchester City aren’t pushovers any more when it comes to fees. And as was shown with Caicedo/White to Arsenal and Cucurella to Manchester City trying to force transfers, our chairman Tony Bloom will only sell on his terms and if he wants to.
Going back specifically to Evan Ferguson, he has shown huge promise. He’s physically finished aged 18 (made his professional debut in Ireland for Bohemians aged 14) - he’s a unit. His touch is superb and has shown some excellent finishing.
He speaks well, seems very mature and grounded and his family - his Father in particular - keep him on the straight and narrow and focused on football and development. I know this first hand.
If I HAD to speculate on what it would take fee wise in the summer, assuming he gets a few more goals in the next 11-12 games, I’d guess something in the region of £75-80m would do it.
Thanks for reading! If you have any questions about Evan or anything please feel free to ask and I’ll do my best to answer. Bear in mind I’m limited still to five posts per day. Cheers!