But this theory assumes they will make CL footy.
He's young and has quite plainly said he wants to play in different leagues. He most likely favours Real (as everyone does), but I don't think he'd turn down a move to City in a league he wants to play for ridiculous wages under one of the greatest managers ever, who probably wont be there for too many more years - even if it was his second choice its a fantastic proposition. Then say perhaps Real is his second choice, he gets to play for the same club his idol played for and try and emulate his impact, again a great proposition. It's not like the second choice is a bad choice and moving a year early to ensure you're playing in the CL or ensure you can start amassing trophies one year sooner makes sense for a player who seems to want to win all he can and break all the records he can. He has the belief that he will be able to play wherever he wants in the future and in Mino, who has ostensibly become his agent, he has someone who can agitate moves for him.