Club Sale | It’s done!

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So I just looked up this Al Thani fellers Wikipedia and it says he has 8 children. 3 Sons and 5 daughters.

Quite the feat in this day and age.
 
Technically yes, but INEOS is way bigger than United so taking money from the club to pay of debt would
make zero sense.
I'm an expert on corporate deals. Well, I'm watching the second season of Succession which is pretty much the same thing. Surely on the balance sheets we would just be seen as another part of INEOS? When big companies buy smaller companies it doesn't seem like the small one ends up paying back what it owes the big one because they're now part of the same conglomerate. Debts are centralised, surely?
 
Except why would INEOS shareholders be OK with being on the hook for 4bn loans plus another 2bn in badly needed infrastructure and players? And being responsible for paying interest payments on these loans from their own revenue. He has a duty to shareholders which involves proving that United is worth 6bn, ie can be sold for more in future, or that they can make enough in dividends to make it worthwhile. I don't believe the first one, and fear the second

According to many people in this thread INEOS has just three shareholders and Sir Jim is the majority shareholder.
 
Let's not kid ourselves that Ratcliffe is in in for the love of the club. He tried to buy Chelsea and was a season ticket holder there for years. This is business for him.

At this point it's pretty unlikely that anyone but Qatar are buying the club unless the Saudis suddenly pile in. I'm not going to stop supporting so might as well get it over with and accept there's nothing to be done.
 
I'm an expert on corporate deals. Well, I'm watching the second season of Succession which is pretty much the same thing. Surely on the balance sheets we would just be seen as another part of INEOS? When big companies buy smaller companies it doesn't seem like the small one ends up paying back what it owes the big one because they're now part of the same conglomerate. Debts are centralised, surely?
I'm not an accountant but I believe that's correct and better explained than my attempt. The debt part of the SJR bid is not significant enough compared to Ineos' revenue to warrant any concern about the financials.
This is obviously separate from the argument that Qatar as a state are much wealthier than even Sir Jim.
 
So I just looked up this Al Thani fellers Wikipedia and it says he has 8 children. 3 Sons and 5 daughters.

Quite the feat in this day and age.
Did it tell you how many wives he's got?
 
What are the chances that we can get a company to just buy us a new stadium? Their name can be plastered over it in perpetuity.

Bumface Industries @ Old Trafford. Stretford End gets renamed the Rear End. South Stand becomes the Bum Stand. Every seat is shaped like a bum.

I'm 35.

Stop talking out of your arse.
 
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According to many people in this thread INEOS has just three shareholders and Sir Jim is the majority shareholder.
Screenshot-20230218-181737-com-google-android-apps-docs.jpg
 
Except why would INEOS shareholders be OK with being on the hook for 4bn loans plus another 2bn in badly needed infrastructure and players? And being responsible for paying interest payments on these loans from their own revenue. He has a duty to shareholders which involves proving that United is worth 6bn, ie can be sold for more in future, or that they can make enough in dividends to make it worthwhile. I don't believe the first one, and fear the second
I think people assume any debt would be glazer style junk debt. But part of ineos capital structure it wouldn't be like that.
 
Let's not kid ourselves that Ratcliffe is in in for the love of the club. He tried to buy Chelsea and was a season ticket holder there for years. This is business for him.

At this point it's pretty unlikely that anyone but Qatar are buying the club unless the Saudis suddenly pile in. I'm not going to stop supporting so might as well get it over with and accept there's nothing to be done.
That’s where I’m at and to be honest if you take both statements at face value the Qataris have me sold. The Ineos statement doesn’t really tell me too much.
 
I'm not an accountant but I believe that's correct and better explained than my attempt. The debt part of the SJR bid is not significant enough compared to Ineos' revenue to warrant any concern about the financials.
This is obviously separate from the argument that Qatar as a state are much wealthier than even Sir Jim.
Yeah, I think everyone is looking at how the Glazers bought us and treating it like the norm. Hopefully a financial expert can explain it better @esmufc07
 
The key difference being that Ineos' revenue is circa USD61bn and it isn't a holding company :lol:
They probably already have over 10 billion in debt, like any other company of that size. a couple of billion debt for them is a drop in the ocean and not a significant financial consideration at all. It will make no material difference to their spending power.
They also have 60B operating expenses, I believe their profits were around 700m last year. So the money to buy the club, stadium, clear the debt, invest in infrastructure is essentially their profits for the next 10 years. With 5% interest rates going right now, it is more like their profits for the next 20 years.

Forgive me for finding the completely debt free Qatari offer more appealing. I mean it isn’t rocket science, is it. One offer is people who have the money to buy the club, the other is people who are borrowing money to buy the club.

Oh, we also have an example on how Qatari lead a club to glory (PSG), and how Ineos does feck all (Nice). With both clubs being in the same farming league.
 
My top 6 most likely buyers’ list and the odds I would assign them against what I currently know.

Looking at the reports, we have very little intel. Very few sources actually claiming to know anything. We know Jim Ratcliffe will make a bid. Not much more.

The below is based on my own guesses, I am not just copying what others are reporting. So take it as that, perfectly possible that everything is based on misunderstandings.

1. Qatar Sports Investment — 15%
It is the one buyer that makes the most sense for me. They have invested extremely heavily in sports, tourism and entertainment. It is a tremendously rich country for which an investment like this is fairly small.

Most notably, they would easily get by far the biggest synergies of any potential buyer. Scouting, sports science, media deals and so forth. Group friendly deals between us and PSG. They have heavy media interests in Al Jazeera.

We already know that Qatar is interested in buying a Premier League team, from 2016:

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sport/f...eckons-World-Cup-chief-Hassan-Al-Thawadi.html
I can see it happening down the road. It’s likely. There’s such a passion for football and the Premier League in particular. Everyone on the street has an opinion.’” — Hassan Al-Thawadi

They have also been linked to us in the past:
https://syndication.bleacherreport....over-good-move-for-manchester-united.amp.html
Manchester United FC (England) - In 2010, £1.5 billion bid was said to be on the table by Qatar Holding.”

Do I think it’s likely? No. Not before we hear that they have any definite interest

2. “Elliot Investment Management” / Any other hedge fund or group of hedge funds — 12.5%
Big football clubs are rarely for sale. Right now we have had several big transactions, but that is not the norm but the exception. Outside of the PL and Serie A — the +51% rule is the norm.

Between say 2025 to 2050 — it’s definitely possible that none or only one big PL club will be sold. There will be new filthy rich in 2040. There will be investors wanting a big PL team that don’t exist today.

If a hedge fund buys a PL team in 2022 with the aim to own it for 10-15 years, there is basically no reason to not expect a decent return when it’s sold in say 2035.

In addition, it’s of course the door opener of all door opener to own the biggest sports brand.

It’s of course impossible to predict which hedgefund would buy us.

Do I think it’s likely? No, it’s typically an investment with a too long horizon for a hedgefund. Financing is hard to come by right now. It’s one thing to come in and invest in a club with too much debt — with a much shorter horizon. It’s another to start a 10-15 year project.

3. Saudi Media Group — 5.5%
They bid for Chelsea. The PL has found that Newcastle is owned by a fund (the Saudi Public Investment Fund) which is independent of the Saudi state. If Saudi Media Group also is found to be independent from the Saudi state — the PL could surely not object to another Saudi based owner independent from the state owning a PL club.

The Saudis have also not invested that much in Newcastle either. Maybe they shift focus? They obviously were willing to ant up for Chelsea. If we look at the last auction of a PL club just what 7m ago, the richest participant was the Saudi Media Group.

Do I think it’s likely? No. Not before we hear that they have any definite interest. Just 100% speculation at this point.

4. Jim Ratcliffe — 5%
There is a possibility that Ratcliffe has been indicated a number and declared that he is willing to pay that. Say 5.5bn. It’s possible that the Glazers want to sell to him, give the club back to an English owner. It’s possible nobody else will bid over him.

Do I think it’s likely? No. Not before we hear that everyone else with deeper pockets won’t be interested.

5. Apple Inc — 3%
First a little back ground to how these auctions normally work. It’s Insider Information regarding Manchester United plc. You cannot spread that information freely, unless it’s sent out to all investors at the same time. There are special provisions for so called Market Soundings. You basically list who gets which information, keep records of it. But since you want some info on the lay of the land — you often start a secret market sounding process with a few select investors. You “wall cross” them. Then when you know that there is a foundation for a deal, you disclose everyone else to the auction. Nothing is decided, but you know that there is interest.

My best bet is that we have definite interest from one buyer that is not Apple — and then someone leaked that Apple also was interested, just to get every potential investor out there to open their eyes. What does Apple know that we don’t? Amazon, Disney, Netflix, Rakuten, Alibaba etc etc etc. Hence I don’t believe in Apple.

But unlike many others, I would not 100% rule them out.

We got a source saying that there are interest. It came out really really fast, and it just don’t feel totally fabricated:
Apple have expressed an interest in discussing a potential deal. …CEO Tim Cook is keen to explore the opportunities owning United could provide - and will line up talks with the banks appointed to oversee the sale, which include The Raine Group.”

Apple will have a very professional strategic investment team, and they just struck a big deal with the MLS meaning that they surely commissioned reports on the impact of football on streaming.

They have “too much money”. Just like buying Manchester United wouldn’t be a horrible investment for a hedge fund, it’s not like Apple would buy us for 6bn, invest 3bn over 10 years — and then only be able to sell us for 2bn. They are getting their money back.

OTOH, it is also hard to see exactly how much owning us actually would benefit their Apple+. Like sure, you get Man Utd TV. But that isn’t exactly 5,000,000 subscribers with the content it has now. Could it be 50,000?

Do I think it’s likely? Nope, of course not. I just don’t think the upside is that big for Apple and I especially don’t think they want to diversify their business more than absolutely necessary.

6. Dubai — 2.5%
The biggest argument in favor of Dubai is that they do — not — own a PL team. I just don’t think that is a very good argument. And why aren’t Kuwait also mentioned, aren’t they richer than Dubai?

Dubai has a different profile than Qatar, and is like the financial capital of the Middle East. They are more into normal business. They aren’t as rich.

Sure they did bid för Liverpool way back — but that was at a totally different level.

If they wanted a soccer team — why did they not bid for Chelsea? Makes no sense to me.

Cancel all your subscriptions, the Caf dominated the news flow as of December 1…

;)
 
I'm an expert on corporate deals. Well, I'm watching the second season of Succession which is pretty much the same thing. Surely on the balance sheets we would just be seen as another part of INEOS? When big companies buy smaller companies it doesn't seem like the small one ends up paying back what it owes the big one because they're now part of the same conglomerate. Debts are centralised, surely?
Yup. It’s a nonsense that United would pay a debt in INEOSs name. The way the Glazers have profited on the club seems to have mentally scarred everybody and one or two have popped a fuse cos of the words debt and majority.
 
Except why would INEOS shareholders be OK with being on the hook for 4bn loans plus another 2bn in badly needed infrastructure and players? And being responsible for paying interest payments on these loans from their own revenue. He has a duty to shareholders which involves proving that United is worth 6bn, ie can be sold for more in future, or that they can make enough in dividends to make it worthwhile. I don't believe the first one, and fear the second


It's a private company.

They've invested in a lot sport ventures, some of it can be small but steady returns similar to real estate, gathering up growing assets, one can only earn so much and needs to be put elsewhere. Another angle is in just rich people having a growing asset and leisure interest for their own lives and marketing which can be hard to quantify and very valuable for a dodgy state or companies or people. Taking on United isn't that big of a deal for Ineos as a broad asset.
 
Some of the posters in here have made me remember why I was just a lurker on this site for so many years :wenger:
 

Here you go

2. Permitted Exclusions

I should also point out that the level of loss that a club reports in their financial accounts will not be the same figure as is used in the Break Even calculations. This is because UEFA have allowed clubs to exclude certain expenditure from the calculations. UEFA are keen to develop the game and don't want the FFP rules to constrain clubs from investing and developing - without any exclusions a club building a new stadium or new stand would be hit by an FFP penalty (the cost of the development would mean the club reported a large financial loss). Clubs can therefore exclude infrastructure development costs and youth development/community development costs. Manchester City announced that they should be able to exclude around £10m a year as a result of the youth/community exclusion.

@Regulus Arcturus Black

That's FFP, which was replaced last summer by UEFA's new Financial Sustainability Regulations (FSR). Spending on infrastructure was exempt from the 'break-even' calculations under FFP, but this is no longer the case under the new regs:

 
Should we complain that Spurs have a better stadium and training ground than us? how unfair.

What a silly reasoning. Chelsea had a brand new training ground in Cobham built by Abramovich, where were the complaints then?

Spurs funded that stadium themselves though. They'll be making payments on that for years to come.

If a new owner builds and funds a new stadium for United then that's really no different to financially doping.
 
Except why would INEOS shareholders be OK with being on the hook for 4bn loans plus another 2bn in badly needed infrastructure and players? And being responsible for paying interest payments on these loans from their own revenue. He has a duty to shareholders which involves proving that United is worth 6bn, ie can be sold for more in future, or that they can make enough in dividends to make it worthwhile. I don't believe the first one, and fear the second
INEOS do not have ‘shareholders’. They are a Ltd company, not a PLC.
 
You don't get why gay fans would like to see a football club owned by a regime that treats gay people so badly do poorly? Really?!
If you once supported the club, if the values it upholds are no longer aligned with yours, a clean separation is always better for your own sake. The team doing badly and the negative impact it would have on the fanbase is never something I'd wish for. I'd just put it behind me, I don't see what wishing it to do badly would accomplish for myself
 
Spurs funded that stadium themselves though. They'll be making payments on that for years to come.

If a new owner builds and funds a new stadium for United then that's really no different to financially doping.
And they're about to be taken over and have all their debt cleared.

Where do we complain?
 
INEOS do not have ‘shareholders’. They are a Ltd company, not a PLC.

Ah OK. Even still though, they aren't so rich, either Jim or the other two shareholders that they'd be OK spending 6bn or so on a football asset that has likely reached peak value, without expecting some kind of return. I mean even with nice, no one expects they can compete with psg, but he could have made the advantage of turning them into a CL side, but they seem to have made no strides towards that have they?
 
Have there been any decent articles comparing the bids and bidders? I don't really know anything about either except that one's Qatari and one is British.
 
I mean even with nice, no one expects they can compete with psg, but he could have made the advantage of turning them into a CL side, but they seem to have made no strides towards that have they?

What exactly has Qatari ownership achieved in football that is impressive in comparison?
 
If you once supported the club, if the values it upholds are no longer aligned with yours, a clean separation is always better for your own sake. The team doing badly and the negative impact it would have on the fanbase is never something I'd wish for. I'd just put it behind me, I don't see what wishing it to do badly would accomplish for myself
I guess that's easy for someone like you to say.

Would you have no opinion of a club owned by people who imprisoned and killed people based upon the darkness of their skin? You wouldn't want the project to fail?
 
Forget the morality aspect for a second if you can.
Ratcliff has to borrow to just buy the rights for the club. Clearly, he would need to borrow more for investment into the clubs stadium, facilities and players. Even if he borrowed, the investment would be much less than the Qatari bid.
 
What exactly has Qatari ownership achieved in football that is impressive in comparison?

They took a psg side that hadn't sniffed a league title in a two decades to the dominant side in their country, and they've reached the semi finals and final of the CL within the last three years. Ratcliffe took a team that had finished in the CL spots and 4th place to lower positions
 
Ah OK. Even still though, they aren't so rich, either Jim or the other two shareholders that they'd be OK spending 6bn or so on a football asset that has likely reached peak value, without expecting some kind of return. I mean even with nice, no one expects they can compete with psg, but he could have made the advantage of turning them into a CL side, but they seem to have made no strides towards that have they?
Ratcliffe wants a legacy. Putting Utd back at the top of world football and winning the CL is the target, which sounds good to me. The progress at Nice has been hindered by losing managers to bigger clubs like Favre to Dortmund, Viera to Palace and most recently Galtier to PSG. They haven’t been perfect owners but I’m not sure that exists really.
 
I guess that's easy for someone like you to say.

Would you have no opinion of a club owned by people who imprisoned and killed people based upon the darkness of their skin? You wouldn't want the project to fail?
I would have an opinion but quickly move on to something else because I'd realize wishing it to fail would bring no happiness to me, more like frustration and continued anger. I prefer to focus on things that I can impact
 
INEOS do not have ‘shareholders’. They are a Ltd company, not a PLC.
Ineos 2010 was created to replace Ineos founded in 1998. It has a correspondence address in Hampshire, 2 Directors and 1 secretary, none of which are Radcliife. However there is only 1 'Person with Significant Control', Racliffe with between 50-75% of shares. I would guess its more than 66% to ensure only he can pass any type of motion within the company. It is for all intents and purposes his vehicle to do what he wants with.
Looking at past loans/investments around the world by Ineos, its clear that clearing United's current loan and investing in a new stadium is not going to difficult for Racliffe. Ineos being a £60bn turnover company and probably right now swimming in cash given price movements in the energy field.
 
Ratcliffe wants a legacy. Putting Utd back at the top of world football and winning the CL is the target, which sounds good to me. The progress at Nice has been hindered by losing managers to bigger clubs like Favre to Dortmund, Viera to Palace and most recently Galtier to PSG. They haven’t been perfect owners but I’m not sure that exists really.

Yeah but you would think with his financial strength and thr comparative weakness of the French league that making them the 2nd team in France along with the consistent CL revenues should be a no brainer really
 
Ineos 2010 was created to replace Ineos founded in 1998. It has a correspondence address in Hampshire, 2 Directors and 1 secretary, none of which are Radcliife. However there is only 1 'Person with Significant Control', Racliffe with between 50-75% of shares. I would guess its more than 66% to ensure only he can pass any type of motion within the company. It is for all intents and purposes his vehicle to do what he wants with.
Looking at past loans/investments around the world by Ineos, its clear that clearing United's current loan and investing in a new stadium is not going to difficult for Racliffe. Ineos being a £60bn turnover company and probably right now swimming in cash given price movements in the energy field.

As i said though, even as majority shareholder, he still has a fiduciary duty to the rest of the shareholders, now if they're both on board, fair enough, but if they aren't they could probably sue him
 
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