DevilRed
Full Member
So I just looked up this Al Thani fellers Wikipedia and it says he has 8 children. 3 Sons and 5 daughters.
Quite the feat in this day and age.
Quite the feat in this day and age.
Probably done it for the child benefit and universal credit.So I just looked up this Al Thani fellers Wikipedia and it says he has 8 children. 3 Sons and 5 daughters.
Quite the feat in this day and age.
I'm an expert on corporate deals. Well, I'm watching the second season of Succession which is pretty much the same thing. Surely on the balance sheets we would just be seen as another part of INEOS? When big companies buy smaller companies it doesn't seem like the small one ends up paying back what it owes the big one because they're now part of the same conglomerate. Debts are centralised, surely?Technically yes, but INEOS is way bigger than United so taking money from the club to pay of debt would
make zero sense.
Except why would INEOS shareholders be OK with being on the hook for 4bn loans plus another 2bn in badly needed infrastructure and players? And being responsible for paying interest payments on these loans from their own revenue. He has a duty to shareholders which involves proving that United is worth 6bn, ie can be sold for more in future, or that they can make enough in dividends to make it worthwhile. I don't believe the first one, and fear the second
Highest bid will win (taking into account any interest that Glazers can retain)
I'm not an accountant but I believe that's correct and better explained than my attempt. The debt part of the SJR bid is not significant enough compared to Ineos' revenue to warrant any concern about the financials.I'm an expert on corporate deals. Well, I'm watching the second season of Succession which is pretty much the same thing. Surely on the balance sheets we would just be seen as another part of INEOS? When big companies buy smaller companies it doesn't seem like the small one ends up paying back what it owes the big one because they're now part of the same conglomerate. Debts are centralised, surely?
Did it tell you how many wives he's got?So I just looked up this Al Thani fellers Wikipedia and it says he has 8 children. 3 Sons and 5 daughters.
Quite the feat in this day and age.
What are the chances that we can get a company to just buy us a new stadium? Their name can be plastered over it in perpetuity.
Bumface Industries @ Old Trafford. Stretford End gets renamed the Rear End. South Stand becomes the Bum Stand. Every seat is shaped like a bum.
I'm 35.
According to many people in this thread INEOS has just three shareholders and Sir Jim is the majority shareholder.
I think people assume any debt would be glazer style junk debt. But part of ineos capital structure it wouldn't be like that.Except why would INEOS shareholders be OK with being on the hook for 4bn loans plus another 2bn in badly needed infrastructure and players? And being responsible for paying interest payments on these loans from their own revenue. He has a duty to shareholders which involves proving that United is worth 6bn, ie can be sold for more in future, or that they can make enough in dividends to make it worthwhile. I don't believe the first one, and fear the second
That’s where I’m at and to be honest if you take both statements at face value the Qataris have me sold. The Ineos statement doesn’t really tell me too much.Let's not kid ourselves that Ratcliffe is in in for the love of the club. He tried to buy Chelsea and was a season ticket holder there for years. This is business for him.
At this point it's pretty unlikely that anyone but Qatar are buying the club unless the Saudis suddenly pile in. I'm not going to stop supporting so might as well get it over with and accept there's nothing to be done.
Yeah, I think everyone is looking at how the Glazers bought us and treating it like the norm. Hopefully a financial expert can explain it better @esmufc07I'm not an accountant but I believe that's correct and better explained than my attempt. The debt part of the SJR bid is not significant enough compared to Ineos' revenue to warrant any concern about the financials.
This is obviously separate from the argument that Qatar as a state are much wealthier than even Sir Jim.
They also have 60B operating expenses, I believe their profits were around 700m last year. So the money to buy the club, stadium, clear the debt, invest in infrastructure is essentially their profits for the next 10 years. With 5% interest rates going right now, it is more like their profits for the next 20 years.The key difference being that Ineos' revenue is circa USD61bn and it isn't a holding company
They probably already have over 10 billion in debt, like any other company of that size. a couple of billion debt for them is a drop in the ocean and not a significant financial consideration at all. It will make no material difference to their spending power.
My top 6 most likely buyers’ list and the odds I would assign them against what I currently know.
Looking at the reports, we have very little intel. Very few sources actually claiming to know anything. We know Jim Ratcliffe will make a bid. Not much more.
The below is based on my own guesses, I am not just copying what others are reporting. So take it as that, perfectly possible that everything is based on misunderstandings.
1. Qatar Sports Investment — 15%
It is the one buyer that makes the most sense for me. They have invested extremely heavily in sports, tourism and entertainment. It is a tremendously rich country for which an investment like this is fairly small.
Most notably, they would easily get by far the biggest synergies of any potential buyer. Scouting, sports science, media deals and so forth. Group friendly deals between us and PSG. They have heavy media interests in Al Jazeera.
We already know that Qatar is interested in buying a Premier League team, from 2016:
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sport/f...eckons-World-Cup-chief-Hassan-Al-Thawadi.html
“I can see it happening down the road. It’s likely. There’s such a passion for football and the Premier League in particular. Everyone on the street has an opinion.’” — Hassan Al-Thawadi
They have also been linked to us in the past:
https://syndication.bleacherreport....over-good-move-for-manchester-united.amp.html
“Manchester United FC (England) - In 2010, £1.5 billion bid was said to be on the table by Qatar Holding.”
Do I think it’s likely? No. Not before we hear that they have any definite interest
2. “Elliot Investment Management” / Any other hedge fund or group of hedge funds — 12.5%
Big football clubs are rarely for sale. Right now we have had several big transactions, but that is not the norm but the exception. Outside of the PL and Serie A — the +51% rule is the norm.
Between say 2025 to 2050 — it’s definitely possible that none or only one big PL club will be sold. There will be new filthy rich in 2040. There will be investors wanting a big PL team that don’t exist today.
If a hedge fund buys a PL team in 2022 with the aim to own it for 10-15 years, there is basically no reason to not expect a decent return when it’s sold in say 2035.
In addition, it’s of course the door opener of all door opener to own the biggest sports brand.
It’s of course impossible to predict which hedgefund would buy us.
Do I think it’s likely? No, it’s typically an investment with a too long horizon for a hedgefund. Financing is hard to come by right now. It’s one thing to come in and invest in a club with too much debt — with a much shorter horizon. It’s another to start a 10-15 year project.
3. Saudi Media Group — 5.5%
They bid for Chelsea. The PL has found that Newcastle is owned by a fund (the Saudi Public Investment Fund) which is independent of the Saudi state. If Saudi Media Group also is found to be independent from the Saudi state — the PL could surely not object to another Saudi based owner independent from the state owning a PL club.
The Saudis have also not invested that much in Newcastle either. Maybe they shift focus? They obviously were willing to ant up for Chelsea. If we look at the last auction of a PL club just what 7m ago, the richest participant was the Saudi Media Group.
Do I think it’s likely? No. Not before we hear that they have any definite interest. Just 100% speculation at this point.
4. Jim Ratcliffe — 5%
There is a possibility that Ratcliffe has been indicated a number and declared that he is willing to pay that. Say 5.5bn. It’s possible that the Glazers want to sell to him, give the club back to an English owner. It’s possible nobody else will bid over him.
Do I think it’s likely? No. Not before we hear that everyone else with deeper pockets won’t be interested.
5. Apple Inc — 3%
First a little back ground to how these auctions normally work. It’s Insider Information regarding Manchester United plc. You cannot spread that information freely, unless it’s sent out to all investors at the same time. There are special provisions for so called Market Soundings. You basically list who gets which information, keep records of it. But since you want some info on the lay of the land — you often start a secret market sounding process with a few select investors. You “wall cross” them. Then when you know that there is a foundation for a deal, you disclose everyone else to the auction. Nothing is decided, but you know that there is interest.
My best bet is that we have definite interest from one buyer that is not Apple — and then someone leaked that Apple also was interested, just to get every potential investor out there to open their eyes. What does Apple know that we don’t? Amazon, Disney, Netflix, Rakuten, Alibaba etc etc etc. Hence I don’t believe in Apple.
But unlike many others, I would not 100% rule them out.
We got a source saying that there are interest. It came out really really fast, and it just don’t feel totally fabricated:
“Apple have expressed an interest in discussing a potential deal. …CEO Tim Cook is keen to explore the opportunities owning United could provide - and will line up talks with the banks appointed to oversee the sale, which include The Raine Group.”
Apple will have a very professional strategic investment team, and they just struck a big deal with the MLS meaning that they surely commissioned reports on the impact of football on streaming.
They have “too much money”. Just like buying Manchester United wouldn’t be a horrible investment for a hedge fund, it’s not like Apple would buy us for 6bn, invest 3bn over 10 years — and then only be able to sell us for 2bn. They are getting their money back.
OTOH, it is also hard to see exactly how much owning us actually would benefit their Apple+. Like sure, you get Man Utd TV. But that isn’t exactly 5,000,000 subscribers with the content it has now. Could it be 50,000?
Do I think it’s likely? Nope, of course not. I just don’t think the upside is that big for Apple and I especially don’t think they want to diversify their business more than absolutely necessary.
6. Dubai — 2.5%
The biggest argument in favor of Dubai is that they do — not — own a PL team. I just don’t think that is a very good argument. And why aren’t Kuwait also mentioned, aren’t they richer than Dubai?
Dubai has a different profile than Qatar, and is like the financial capital of the Middle East. They are more into normal business. They aren’t as rich.
Sure they did bid för Liverpool way back — but that was at a totally different level.
If they wanted a soccer team — why did they not bid for Chelsea? Makes no sense to me.
Why not just stop supporting ?
Yup. It’s a nonsense that United would pay a debt in INEOSs name. The way the Glazers have profited on the club seems to have mentally scarred everybody and one or two have popped a fuse cos of the words debt and majority.I'm an expert on corporate deals. Well, I'm watching the second season of Succession which is pretty much the same thing. Surely on the balance sheets we would just be seen as another part of INEOS? When big companies buy smaller companies it doesn't seem like the small one ends up paying back what it owes the big one because they're now part of the same conglomerate. Debts are centralised, surely?
Except why would INEOS shareholders be OK with being on the hook for 4bn loans plus another 2bn in badly needed infrastructure and players? And being responsible for paying interest payments on these loans from their own revenue. He has a duty to shareholders which involves proving that United is worth 6bn, ie can be sold for more in future, or that they can make enough in dividends to make it worthwhile. I don't believe the first one, and fear the second
How so?
Here you go
2. Permitted Exclusions
I should also point out that the level of loss that a club reports in their financial accounts will not be the same figure as is used in the Break Even calculations. This is because UEFA have allowed clubs to exclude certain expenditure from the calculations. UEFA are keen to develop the game and don't want the FFP rules to constrain clubs from investing and developing - without any exclusions a club building a new stadium or new stand would be hit by an FFP penalty (the cost of the development would mean the club reported a large financial loss). Clubs can therefore exclude infrastructure development costs and youth development/community development costs. Manchester City announced that they should be able to exclude around £10m a year as a result of the youth/community exclusion.
@Regulus Arcturus Black
Should we complain that Spurs have a better stadium and training ground than us? how unfair.
What a silly reasoning. Chelsea had a brand new training ground in Cobham built by Abramovich, where were the complaints then?
INEOS do not have ‘shareholders’. They are a Ltd company, not a PLC.Except why would INEOS shareholders be OK with being on the hook for 4bn loans plus another 2bn in badly needed infrastructure and players? And being responsible for paying interest payments on these loans from their own revenue. He has a duty to shareholders which involves proving that United is worth 6bn, ie can be sold for more in future, or that they can make enough in dividends to make it worthwhile. I don't believe the first one, and fear the second
If you once supported the club, if the values it upholds are no longer aligned with yours, a clean separation is always better for your own sake. The team doing badly and the negative impact it would have on the fanbase is never something I'd wish for. I'd just put it behind me, I don't see what wishing it to do badly would accomplish for myselfYou don't get why gay fans would like to see a football club owned by a regime that treats gay people so badly do poorly? Really?!
And they're about to be taken over and have all their debt cleared.Spurs funded that stadium themselves though. They'll be making payments on that for years to come.
If a new owner builds and funds a new stadium for United then that's really no different to financially doping.
INEOS do not have ‘shareholders’. They are a Ltd company, not a PLC.
I mean even with nice, no one expects they can compete with psg, but he could have made the advantage of turning them into a CL side, but they seem to have made no strides towards that have they?
Does not matter anyhow. In the end, it only depends who owns how much of a company.INEOS do not have ‘shareholders’. They are a Ltd company, not a PLC.
I guess that's easy for someone like you to say.If you once supported the club, if the values it upholds are no longer aligned with yours, a clean separation is always better for your own sake. The team doing badly and the negative impact it would have on the fanbase is never something I'd wish for. I'd just put it behind me, I don't see what wishing it to do badly would accomplish for myself
Clubs have three years to adapt.No longer the case under the new regs (FSR).
What exactly has Qatari ownership achieved in football that is impressive in comparison?
Did it tell you how many wives he's got?
Ratcliffe wants a legacy. Putting Utd back at the top of world football and winning the CL is the target, which sounds good to me. The progress at Nice has been hindered by losing managers to bigger clubs like Favre to Dortmund, Viera to Palace and most recently Galtier to PSG. They haven’t been perfect owners but I’m not sure that exists really.Ah OK. Even still though, they aren't so rich, either Jim or the other two shareholders that they'd be OK spending 6bn or so on a football asset that has likely reached peak value, without expecting some kind of return. I mean even with nice, no one expects they can compete with psg, but he could have made the advantage of turning them into a CL side, but they seem to have made no strides towards that have they?
IndeedDoes not matter anyhow. In the end, it only depends who owns how much of a company.
I would have an opinion but quickly move on to something else because I'd realize wishing it to fail would bring no happiness to me, more like frustration and continued anger. I prefer to focus on things that I can impactI guess that's easy for someone like you to say.
Would you have no opinion of a club owned by people who imprisoned and killed people based upon the darkness of their skin? You wouldn't want the project to fail?
Ineos 2010 was created to replace Ineos founded in 1998. It has a correspondence address in Hampshire, 2 Directors and 1 secretary, none of which are Radcliife. However there is only 1 'Person with Significant Control', Racliffe with between 50-75% of shares. I would guess its more than 66% to ensure only he can pass any type of motion within the company. It is for all intents and purposes his vehicle to do what he wants with.INEOS do not have ‘shareholders’. They are a Ltd company, not a PLC.
Ratcliffe wants a legacy. Putting Utd back at the top of world football and winning the CL is the target, which sounds good to me. The progress at Nice has been hindered by losing managers to bigger clubs like Favre to Dortmund, Viera to Palace and most recently Galtier to PSG. They haven’t been perfect owners but I’m not sure that exists really.
Well technically there are two minority shareholders, and Sir Jim needs a supermajority to make any decisions.INEOS do not have ‘shareholders’. They are a Ltd company, not a PLC.
Ineos 2010 was created to replace Ineos founded in 1998. It has a correspondence address in Hampshire, 2 Directors and 1 secretary, none of which are Radcliife. However there is only 1 'Person with Significant Control', Racliffe with between 50-75% of shares. I would guess its more than 66% to ensure only he can pass any type of motion within the company. It is for all intents and purposes his vehicle to do what he wants with.
Looking at past loans/investments around the world by Ineos, its clear that clearing United's current loan and investing in a new stadium is not going to difficult for Racliffe. Ineos being a £60bn turnover company and probably right now swimming in cash given price movements in the energy field.