AaronRedDevil
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- Jun 28, 2018
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I stand by my November call.
I stand by my November call.
They do though. The club's been running large losses, debt levels have been increasing, interest rates are rising, and other macroeconomic indicators are not good.
The Glazers can't afford the status quo.
You're thinking of this like an investor who wants the club to do well though, their only interest is returns. I doubt they feel there is urgency to do anything to OT or Carrington. Glazer model has been for a decade(plus) to spend when we need CL qualification and then sit back. If that does become harder and harder to do, I mean 50% of the CL places will soon be basically guaranteed to state backed clubs, they will still make money they'll just allow the club to spend less and less of the money it generates in order to do so. That's the really frightening thing no one seems to talk about, people assume the Glazers want CL football and will sell if they can't get it but they don't, United can turn a profit and be an EL club, they will just start selling our best players, buying lesser players and paying smaller salaries. Swiss Ramble report last year had them, across their ownership tenure, taking £166m in dividends, £55m in Directors bonuses and then they also pay all their management fees (£23m) through the club - then you have the near £1b of debt/interest repayments all whilst their asset has grown to a ridiculous valuation. That's not including the absolute killing (I've seen figures saying £500m) they made in share sales of which not a penny came to the club. I think last year was the only year they have not taken dividends. They aren't giving up the club unless it's stupid money which makes me think we'll end up with a minority investment or Qatar just overpay massively.They definitely do. The business model they have in place is haemorrhaging money at a time when they desperately need to invest in infrastructure including Old Trafford and Carrington. Their business model is built on debt at a time when debt is becoming prohibitively expensive.
Simon Stone talking takeover from 36:14. Says no one knows what the Glazers think and it’s up in the air. Also says that regardless of what happens with the bid, Qatar will more than likely be involved with a Prem club such as Spurs.
Simon Stone talking takeover from 36:14. Says no one knows what the Glazers think and it’s up in the air. Also says that regardless of what happens with the bid, Qatar will more than likely be involved with a Prem club such as Spurs.
No such restriction exists.Also the siblings have been running down their shares in United.
By doing this they have managed to accumulate hundreds of millions of dollars.
May 2014: Malcolm Glazer dies. The family sells 12 million more shares at $17 for $200 million (£129 million). In December, Edward Glazer sells 3 million of his shares. Amid fan anger, the Glazers rule out selling Manchester United for at least five years.
August 2017: Through the holding company Red Football, the Glazers sell 4.3 million shares for $17 a share. They make $73 million (£58 million) from the sale.
March 2021: Avram Glazer, the co-chairman, sells 5 million Class A shares worth around $100 million (~£70 million).
October 2021: Avram’s brothers Kevin and Edward Glazer have sold 9.5 million shares at a price of $16.98 per share, netting a total of $161 million (£117 million).
from - https://www.sportico.com/feature/manchester-united-sale-glazer-family-timeline-1234723124/
So the strategy has been to sell shares and raise funds however now they, as a family, are down to about 69% of shares that they jointly own, so they can only really sell off another 2% in the absence of a major club sale.
Also some of the brothers have been more active sellers than others and therefore may be tapped out in the absence of the actual sale of the club.
In summary they have extracted as much from their shares as is possible and now only have the trump card of selling the controlling stake in United with little prospect of dividends, which compared to the massive sums obtained through shares sales are miniscule.
Swear to feck, I'm going to be fuming if spurs get a new improved owner. I hate that team so much. (Personal reasons)
Maybe, but it’s very obvious that they want a PL team.Simon is just making stuff up now
They have been previously linked to them as well, I can see it happening as they're won't need to put as much money into the infrastructure.Maybe, but it’s very obvious that they want a PL team.
If they don’t get United, they’ll get one of our rivals
Well I can’t believe that Raine Group, Rothschild’s and all the other expensive advisors and lawyers are still beavering away on this. The process ended weeks ago. No doubt Raine, Rothschild’s et Al have given their recommendations ages ago and walked away. I can only assume there is a split in the board, and/or, family, and the Glazer’s are just bickering away at each other to try and resolve it. There has been no hint of any new bids or developments to the offers, so an internal dispute looks most likely to me.This has crossed my mind too
Maybe, but it’s very obvious that they want a PL team.
If they don’t get United, they’ll get one of our rivals
I get why people think this. However, in my eyes, when that was the case previously, there were ample articles in the media to wind up the fans, suggesting both bidders are frustrated, in the dark, etc. Now, it's just absolute silence. Fans were kind of misled by the football journalists and unreasonable expectations for news flow were set. I am expecting the next news we get to effectively mark the conclusion of this process, one way or another. When that will be, who knows.Or… and it’s just a thought… there is no news and the Glazers really are that incompetent.
If they wanted a PL team I think they’d have bought one by now. United didn’t come up for sale just when they looked to England, they only bid for us because we are Man United.Maybe, but it’s very obvious that they want a PL team.
If they don’t get United, they’ll get one of our rivals
Well I can’t believe that Raine Group, Rothschild’s and all the other expensive advisors and lawyers are still beavering away on this.
If they wanted an easy picking they would have gone for it already and it would be over. No, I think they really want Utd only.Maybe, but it’s very obvious that they want a PL team.
If they don’t get United, they’ll get one of our rivals
If that happens, can you imagine the uproar amongst United fans? If it turns out that the Glazers have been stringing everyone along for months, people will be after their blood.
Simon Stone talking takeover from 36:14. Says no one knows what the Glazers think and it’s up in the air. Also says that regardless of what happens with the bid, Qatar will more than likely be involved with a Prem club such as Spurs.
Simon Stone talking takeover from 36:14. Says no one knows what the Glazers think and it’s up in the air. Also says that regardless of what happens with the bid, Qatar will more than likely be involved with a Prem club such as Spurs.
You know what? They won't give a shit. Unless protests lead to games being called off. Which i will suport.
Yes, we have now reached a new tier of speculation from the football journos where they won't even put it in a written article. Before, it would be a written article with like 75% speculation and 25% info fed to them by a source. Now, it's podcast appearances with 0% info fed by a source and 100% speculation.Stone is just waffling because he has nothing new to say.
Everyone is totally exhausted with the whole thing, even the journos have given up trying.
A point I made back in January or soHe does make a good point that if Qatar do take over another club, it could be an expensive mistake for the Glazers. It adds another competitor to the top 4 race and if United fall too far behind and spend too long outside it, the value will drop and their valuation of £6bn becomes a pipe dream
Good point.No such restriction exists.
They could sell all their remaining A shares and most of their B share and still retain control of the club. The transactions above involve A shares. The very last transaction involved the sell of B shares by one of the Glazers ( who had presumably ran out of A shares). Those shares converted to A shares on sale and thus were sold at a discount to their true value. The extra premium ( B share value less A share value) was essentially transferred to the remaining B shareholders, and that value can only be determined when control is ceded.
Selling B shares by this mechanism is bad for the selling Glazer and good for those remaining and is a possible source of conflict between those who want to sell and those who want to remain.
A full sale gives the B shareholders full value while a partial sale that doesn't involve equitable power sharing will not realize that value.
None of these considerations help the club which still needs an injection of cash. As of 31 March 2023, the club owes about 430m to other clubs (and banks) in relation to player transfers.
He does make a good point that if Qatar do take over another club, it could be an expensive mistake for the Glazers. It adds another competitor to the top 4 race and if United fall too far behind and spend too long outside it, the value will drop and their valuation of £6bn becomes a pipe dream
Your username makes me nostalgic.Good point.
No such restrictions exists but sensibly they must not go below their 67% stake.
As you say, the Glazer's premium lies in being able to offer, say Jassim or Sir Jim , all their B class shares and therefore control of the club. Jassim/Jim would then hold 67% of the shares and accordingly have control of the club.
If the Glazers starting eating into their 67% holding then they can not offer Jassim or Sir Jim control of the club. Let's say the Glazers had continued to sell and only then held 50% class B shares - then they could not offer a buyer instant control of the club by simply buying their stake. The buyers would have to go into the NSYE to purchase a sizeable stake from the market to take full control.
At the moment the Glazers hold power and they know that if they in the future hold a stake of less than 67% club then they can't offer instant takeover power to a buyer.
If you say that the value of the B shares will increase due to their scarcity, then why should Edward choose to sell now for a relatively small sum compared to the sum that Joel will command for holding only a handful of B shares in the future. They can not maximise their return per share if they all go it alone. Therefore the family pressure is to uniformally sell control as a unit. That way all members receive the maximum per share.
The problem is, they didn't say they were going to sell. Quite the opposite really, their statements sounded like they were seeking investment more than anything, but once bids for the club came in then the whole thing grew arms and legs. Perhaps we've all jumped the gun and this was never what we thought it was.
You're wrong! I could go deep into why but I don't think it's needed.Stretford Paddock are just as bad as the United Stand
You're lucky you still have a magma reserve. I've gone extinctTrue. I've taken to dudeism to resolve my inner turmoil. I feel like Yellowstone's lava system..bubbling just underneath
The problem is, they didn't say they were going to sell. Quite the opposite really, their statements sounded like they were seeking investment more than anything, but once bids for the club came in then the whole thing grew arms and legs. Perhaps we've all jumped the gun and this was never what we thought it was.
Joe and Jay are always good value. Haven't seen them team up for a while, probably because it's off season.You're wrong! I could go deep into why but I don't think it's needed.