sullydnl
Ross Kemp's caf ID
- Joined
- Sep 13, 2012
- Messages
- 35,064
You can't say "balance of probabilities" and ignore the normally very low probability that one person assaulted many women, and not a single one filed a police report. Probability is just a substitute for, "here's my default position and that's it", which is fair enough. Just don't dress it up as the logical conclusion.
Tbf I would suspect that several totally unconnected women falsely accusing the same random guy is statistically even less likely. Especially given the sort of behaviour we're describing isn't something a guy is likely to do once and never again.