Quite interesting interview from Jeff Bezos: https://www.geekwire.com/2018/jeff-bezos-isdc-space-vision/
Its been put forth as a stronger argument by people like Kurzweil and some others I knew in Uni. And it carries the name "Fermi Paradox" so I am talking about proponents of that live of beliefs more than the beliefs of Fermi as an individual. Its used by people like Kurzweil to almost assert that humans *are* the most intelligent form of life in the universe. Which is why work like Liu Cixin is so important because it quite clearly lays out how that entire line of thinking is illogical.
Someone should have asked Fermi "Why would you even assume we should be able to detect life in such a vast universe?"
Life can have evolved far beyond our current crude means of detection (we are ants solution), life can be too far away for us to detect it(vastness solution), life can be completely different than we assume and trying to communicate with us but we don't understand how yet (diversity solution), life can have moved beyond our single galaxy (not local solution), they are intentionally monitoring us and not interfering (star trek solution) and most powerfully from a game theory perspective it is actually illogical for intelligent life to broadcast and reveal itself (the Dark Forest solution). I think I am even missing a few but the Dark Forest is one of the most interesting and obvious solutions.
I got you, mate, and agree with most of what you said here, but that specific Fermi Paradox bit really brought out the pedant in me — poor Enrico's original inquiry was quite innocuous and was made in a light way in the company of colleagues and acquaintances, but a subsequent conveyor belt of pompous skeptics has transformed it into a demented hydra with the addition of increasingly cynical interpretations — including the likes of Kurzweil: who have put their own slant on things to justify their personal stance.
In terms of the solutions, the most straightforward argument is the minuscule scale of humanity's genuine cosmic observation...Reber's radio telescope is just over 80 years old, Project Ozama is less than 60 years old — that translates to only about ~85 and ~50 G-type stars from Sol, so our radio field of vision, and sample size and scope, is infinitesimally small, thus far. If the galaxy alone is equated to planet Earth, it's like we haven't even trained our sights beyond the first couple of steps. And that's with the consideration that any directed signals are being sent within the electromagnetic spectrum: heavily attenuated (on top of being time delayed because of expansion). Quite like the rather far-fetched Zoo/StarTrek hypothesis as well — mostly because it's the most palatable, and even a tad bit reassuring in that a Cosmic-scale U.N. is stopping extraterrestrial contact by decree of benign universal overlords. Not a fan of the Liu Cixin and Dark Forest, though — agreeable as a thought experiment, but for the most part it just paints the “aliens” with a uniform brush as massive, unadventurous, wusses — too paralyzed by the potential of existential threats to venture beyond their immediate vicinity, technological capability notwithstanding — dunno, just seems very counter-intuitive, lacking in je ne sais quoi, and unambitious.
Found this fascinating
There is no advanced civilization in the observable universe(Kardashev 2 or more). We would be able to see their impact in the brightness of the stars in the galaxies comparing in the infrared. Humans need to colonize the galaxy.There is no Fermi paradox: https://arxiv.org/abs/1806.02404
There is no advanced civilization in the observable universe(Kardashev 2 or more). We would be able to see their impact in the brightness of the stars in the galaxies comparing in the infrared. Humans need to colonize the galaxy.
I dont take the Kardashev scale as an absolute. Its just a minimum ground to establish an argument because we really dont know at this point.I have an issue with the Kardashev scale in that it is entirely anthropocentric - its a measure of life based on the way the human brain perceives the Universe. We define life as biological and carbon based and then go on to assume advanced life should be able to harness technology to do x or y (assumed in Kardashev scale). We can't be sure whether any of that is the correct approach to analyze life elsewhere.
I dont take the Kardashev scale as an absolute. Its just a minimum ground to establish an argument because we really dont know at this point.
But there is some truth that is inevitable: laws of Physics are the same everywhere. The resources to sustain an advanced civilization and the energy needed will come from their stars. Unless they can figure out how to produce anti-matter or use dark energy. But this probably would take superior science than what you need to build a Dawson Swarm.
The technology that humanity have today is enough to build some form of Dawson swarm. You dont need any sci fi tech. It would be just a variation of the Nasa Probe mission to the sun. And we would see any civilization starlifting their sun in the Milk Way. There is nothing there
There is no advanced civilization in the observable universe(Kardashev 2 or more). We would be able to see their impact in the brightness of the stars in the galaxies comparing in the infrared. Humans need to colonize the galaxy.
Comparing the visiblle light o any galaxy with the information in the infrared and you can see that there is no brightness missing and no apparent impact of an advanced civilizations in the stars.The observable universe? I can buy the idea that there are none in the Milky Way (although I don't really buy it; there's a lot of the Milky Way we can't even see, for one), but we really haven't got a very good grip on what goes on 47 billion light-years away. We're still discovering new types of stars and star systems for crying out loud, so it's absolutely, categorically not possible to conclude that there is no civilization out there harnessing their own star.
And it's not like we have a lot of stars under constant supervision. If some civilization 20 billion light-years away has their star under wraps, that might simply look to us as if it's a different kind of star.
So there's no advanced civilizations in the observable universe because we haven't noticed any irregularities in the brightness of stars in the Milky Way yet? Sorry mate but that sounds extremely daft.There is no advanced civilization in the observable universe(Kardashev 2 or more). We would be able to see their impact in the brightness of the stars in the galaxies comparing in the infrared. Humans need to colonize the galaxy.
Comparing the visiblle light o any galaxy with the information in the infrared and you can see that there is no brightness missing and no apparent impact of an advanced civilizations in the stars.
Dyson Spheres always sounded like a really stupid idea quite frankly. The amount of materials required would be mindblowing, and it presupposes that we'd have some need for the staggering quantities of energy involved. Why exactly? As we develop nanotechnology and new energy technologies, isn't it perfectly likely that we'll discover new ways to reduce rather than endlessly expand our external energy requirements? We have sources of energy around us in the world every second of the day, but we just don't have many ways of actually using them yet. We're already working on fabrics that generate energy, different ways to harness solar etc etc. Plus we may still have fusion power to come, and then goodness knows what kind of future technologies that might be even more efficient.
If the best method we've got for trying to determine whether civilizations exist is 'have they built a sphere or swarm around their sun' then we're probably wasting our time really.
We are not looking at the entire universe though. In fact, we are looking in only a small fraction of our galaxy, and we know next to nothing about stars in other galaxies.Comparing the visiblle light o any galaxy with the information in the infrared and you can see that there is no brightness missing and no apparent impact of an advanced civilizations in the stars.
Physics was mentioned in a few posts recently... is it plausible that the laws of physics as we know it could change in other galaxies due to varying factors, like say dark matter?
Dyson Spheres always sounded like a really stupid idea quite frankly. The amount of materials required would be mindblowing, and it presupposes that we'd have some need for the staggering quantities of energy involved. Why exactly? As we develop nanotechnology and new energy technologies, isn't it perfectly likely that we'll discover new ways to reduce rather than endlessly expand our external energy requirements? We have sources of energy around us in the world every second of the day, but we just don't have many ways of actually using them yet. We're already working on fabrics that generate energy, different ways to harness solar etc etc. Plus we may still have fusion power to come, and then goodness knows what kind of future technologies that might be even more efficient.
If the best method we've got for trying to determine whether civilizations exist is 'have they built a sphere or swarm around their sun' then we're probably wasting our time really.
More than likely no. Laws of physics are either universal or we have totally misinterpreted them and don't know anything about them.Physics was mentioned in a few posts recently... is it plausible that the laws of physics as we know it could change in other galaxies due to varying factors, like say dark matter?
Physics was mentioned in a few posts recently... is it plausible that the laws of physics as we know it could change in other galaxies due to varying factors, like say dark matter?
More than likely no. Laws of physics are either universal or we have totally misinterpreted them and don't know anything about them.
As Raoul said though, in other possible universes, the laws of physics and universal constants might be different.
Never say never.Dark matter doesn't seem to interact much (if at all) with ordinary matter in any other way than gravity, so it's very unlikely it could have any sort of effect that you're thinking about. And nearly every galaxy has dark matter in it, because dark matter is integral to those galaxies forming in the first place.
Like the others have said, all bets are off concerning other universes, but that is something we will never be able to know so any speculation truly is just speculation.
Never say never.
Yep, that's probably the most interesting takeaway: ~13 times the mass of Jupiter, but only ~1.2 times the diameter — it's almost exactly at the lower end of the the Hydrogen to Deuterium-Burning Mass Limit. For now, they've classified it as a planet:13x Jupiter seems almost small star size. Wonder if it indeed a brown dwarf.
http://www.astronomy.com/news/2018/08/free-range-planetThe peculiar and untethered object, succinctly named **** J01365663+0933473 (we’ll call it **** for simplicity's sake), was first discovered back in 2016. At the time, researchers thought **** was a brown dwarf: an object that’s too big to be a planet, but too small to be a star. However, last year, another study showed that **** is just small enough, at 12.7 times the mass and 1.2 times the radius of Jupiter, to be considered a planet — albeit a mammoth one.
“This object is right at the boundary between a planet and a brown dwarf, or ‘failed star,’ and is giving us some surprises that can potentially help us understand magnetic processes on both stars and planets,” said Arizona State University’s Melodie Kao, who led the new study on ****, in a press release.
For a planet, **** is also pretty hot: The world has a surface temperature of over 1,500 degrees Fahrenheit (825 Celsius). For comparison, the hottest planet in our solar system is Venus, which sports an average temperature of around 875 F (470 C), while the Sun, a relatively small and cool star, has a surface temperature of about 10,000 F (5,500 C). However, it’s important to note that Venus gets most of its heat from the Sun. And since solitary **** is not orbiting a star, its heat must be leftover from its initial formation some 200 million years ago. So, over time, the planetary goliath will continue to radiate away its warmth
So if SETI received a signal from an alien civilisation, what's the worst possible message we could get?
1. Beware, they are coming.
2. Help us
So if SETI received a signal from an alien civilisation, what's the worst possible message we could get?
1. Beware, they are coming.
2. Help us