André Onana | signed for United | On a flight to NYC

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Do you mind explaining the stat, please? How is the number calculated. Genuinely didn't know if positive was good or bad

Basically they compare goalkeeper performances against a model that looks at how likely an average goalkeeper is to save each individual shot.

So those stats are telling you that over the last five seasons Allison has stopped a total of 17 goals more than you'd expect an average goalkeeper to stop. While on the other end of the scale Ramsdale has let in about 9 more goals than you'd expect from an average goalkeeper over the last four seasons.
 
He also performed very poorly in the short period he was still at Ajax after the ban expired and before his move to Inter - possibly due to a lack of motivation/caring.
yup, that pretty much summed it up. His lack of motivation to perform in those 6 matches was even worse than him not renewing his contract for 1 more year so Ajax could get a small fee for him that summer, despite Ajax paying him his salary during the ban, while they didn't have to.
 
In terms of shotstopping across multiple seasons, as per Fbref.

Allison (5 PL seasons): +17.4
Nick Pope (5 PL seasons): +8.2
Ederson (6 PL seasons): -0.7
Post-peak De Gea (5 PL seasons): -3.0
Kepa (5 PL seasons) -7.5
Ramdale (4 PL seasons) -8.8

Onana (1 Serie A, 4 Eredivise seasons): +6.4


The points I would take from this are:

1) Allison has easily been the best of these goalkeepers across the last several seasons.

2) Allison aside, the average level of shotstopping ability for goalkeepers currently in the other top PL sides has been nothing to write home about over the last few years.

2) Onana's stats suggest that even if we anticpate a drop off given the higher standard of the PL, he's going to be a shotstopper well within that range of most of the top PL teams.

In terms of the eye test De Gea probably looks/looked the best shotstopper of all of these, as he is the most gifted in that regard. But mistakes drag down your aggregate stats, even if you look great making the saves you do make.

Yet if you did it for last season only it's: Onana -2.7, De Gea, -0.7, Alison +10, Ederson -4.8.

People need to balance their expectations we'll see how he does in time but even compared to an aged De Gea shot stopping wise he's probably going to be slightly worse. If he brings other benefits that doesn't really matter as per Ederson there.
 
Not worry about Onana deal. We would not let De Gea leave if this isn't pretty much done deal. Striker position is what I'm worry about.
 
Yet if you did it for last season only it's: Onana -2.7, De Gea, -0.7, Alison +10, Ederson -4.8.

People need to balance their expectations we'll see how he does in time but even compared to an aged De Gea shot stopping wise he's probably going to be slightly worse. If he brings other benefits that doesn't really matter as per Ederson there.

Oh yeah I know his shot stopping isn't as good
 
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I get slaughtered by two (now blocked) people here for saying that this time last year. Right now, we barely seem to be able to one - the Onana deal looks to be in danger of collapsing, if the rumours are anything to go by. T
You never disappoint.
 
United never fail to take the joy out of transfers I hope the here we go is soon its getting annoying now
 
Basically they compare goalkeeper performances against a model that looks at how likely an average goalkeeper is to save each individual shot.

So those stats are telling you that over the last five seasons Allison has stopped a total of 17 goals more than you'd expect an average goalkeeper to stop. While on the other end of the scale Ramsdale has let in about 9 more goals than you'd expect from an average goalkeeper over the last four seasons.

Gotcha. Thank you!
 
Yes that also may add some extra pressure, i'd not thought of that side of things. Although I can't stand old Sourness, i think over his career racism is not a criticism he deserves. I think his very much over the top issues with Pogba were more of a generational midfielder thing where all the haircuts and dancing wound him up.

Whether Souness is still a racist, im not sure, but he did call my uncle a paki in the 70s when he patted him on the back even though my uncle is half West Indian and a Liverpool fan!
 
come on this is bullshit, OK I will admit his form over that past few seasons has dropped, but 10 years. NO cant agree with that

He hasn't ever commanded his box, bullied inside his own 6 yard box since he signed.

Excellent shot stopper but never once a commanding figure.
 
Maybe we’ll get an announcement later that a deals been agreed. It’s all went quiet after a flurry of updates last night saying it was very close, hopefully just working out the last minor details before we get confirmation.
 
Onananananananana
Onananananananana
Passing to you and me yeah
The goalkeeper that plays

(Games people play - inner circle)
 
Maybe we’ll get an announcement later that a deals been agreed. It’s all went quiet after a flurry of updates last night saying it was very close, hopefully just working out the last minor details before we get confirmation.

Yeah that's what I am hoping too
 
Absolute hyperbolic nonsense. DDG is and always has been a WC shot stopper.
There's literally a motion picture length (1hr+) blooper reel gone viral on twitter showing DDG's calamities. It isn't hyperbolic nonsense at all. After one of the all time great shot-stopping seasons in 17/18, his shot-stopping fell of a cliff and has never recovered to better than average. Yes, he's still capable of making worldy saves but its wilful ignorance at this point to be banging this drum in 2023.
 
Gonna be honest, I don't like the use of post shot xG stats for goalkeepers as a metric to judge shot stopping. It's really flawed. The idea is good, but it just doesn't work and is very flawed. Better to not use it than look at shitty data. A few tweets from a guy who focuses purely on goalkeeper analytics...

Opta only looks at where the ball crosses the line and gives that a post shot xG figure essentially. Doesn't have velocity. Doesn't have trajectory, goalkeeper positioning etc. Super flawed.



 
Maybe we’ll get an announcement later that a deals been agreed. It’s all went quiet after a flurry of updates last night saying it was very close, hopefully just working out the last minor details before we get confirmation.
Hopefully so it's a bit frustrating no here we go yet. I'm never confident or excited about our transfers because we take so long compared to other teams
 
Absolute hyperbolic nonsense. DDG is and always has been a WC shot stopper.
The problem is for 90% of the season he plays like the best shot stopper and then for 10% he just makes massive mistakes (Everton, Brentford, city, Sevilla, west ham, etc) and it drags his totals down.
 
Does Onana come out for crosses? We Iacked that with DDG

He's in the 59th percentile for collecting crosses so above average. De Gea was in the 9th percentile which I nearly rock bottom and meant he just didn't or couldn't do it.

So he's a massive improvement on De Gea in that aspect but not at someone like Courtois' level.
 
Slightly different to the potential other chants, is this new dance tune that I heard all over Ibiza recently. Gets stuck in your head.

 
Also just for reference, this is how de Gea was rated last season (other stuff is private I think, occasionally he puts out info like this).


So de Gea on the whole still had a good shot stopping season, but was pretty much right on average overall.
 
Also just for reference, this is how de Gea was rated last season (other stuff is private I think, occasionally he puts out info like this).


So de Gea on the whole still had a good shot stopping season, but was pretty much right on average overall.

Funny that overall, De Gea was only ever so slightly worse than Ederson according to Harrison's model. Which would lead you to believe that Onana will be significantly better than Ederson next season.
 
He's in the 59th percentile for collecting crosses so above average. De Gea was in the 9th percentile which I nearly rock bottom and meant he just didn't or couldn't do it.

So he's a massive improvement on De Gea in that aspect but not at someone like Courtois' level.

Doesn't have to be Alisson/Courtois level,personally if he's on a similar level to Ederson then I see that as a significant upgrade
 
Yet if you did it for last season only it's: Onana -2.7, De Gea, -0.7, Alison +10, Ederson -4.8.

People need to balance their expectations we'll see how he does in time but even compared to an aged De Gea shot stopping wise he's probably going to be slightly worse. If he brings other benefits that doesn't really matter as per Ederson there.
My understanding is that Onana struggled a bit at the start of the season, which is to be expected seeing as he'd barely played for 18 months. But he then kept improving as the season wore on, so hopefully most of those shots he should have saved happened during that early period before he was up to speed.
 
Funny that overall, De Gea was only ever so slightly worse than Ederson according to Harrison's model. Which would lead you to believe that Onana will be significantly better than Ederson next season.
It's more nuanced than that though. You need a goalkeeper that suits your needs. Your team as a whole improves more with a goalkeeper that suits your system and needs (and ederson apparently had a down year with his stopping). You could argue for city that preventing goals is more important than actual shot stopping, along with his distribution of course contributing to a lot of their control and being difficult to press.

With more control, you'd expect less need for shot stopping, more shot prevention, improvement in possession. De Geas numbers basically are equally good as Ederson but edersons suit a big team that controls games but de Geas suits a smaller side that doesn't care much about deep build up and will face a lot of shots.
 
It's more nuanced than that though. You need a goalkeeper that suits your needs. Your team as a whole improves more with a goalkeeper that suits your system and needs (and ederson apparently had a down year with his stopping). You could argue for city that preventing goals is more important than actual shot stopping, along with his distribution of course contributing to a lot of their control and being difficult to press.

With more control, you'd expect less need for shot stopping, more shot prevention, improvement in possession. De Geas numbers basically are equally good as Ederson but edersons suit a big team that controls games but de Geas suits a smaller side that doesn't care much about deep build up and will face a lot of shots.
Very much agree with you. I think this bodes well for Onana because I expect his shot stopping to be better than Ederson's, whilst scoring similarly to him in the other categories.
 
Sources say if Andre Onana goes to Manchester he prefers to be carried via air transportation and it's definitely not a hot air balloon.
 
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