ALL issues relating to the bond issue and club finances

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I never posted that second quote...
I posted exactly what Andersred had written word for word so everyone can see for themselves ..

Well yes, but then you posted

Andersred basically admits that he has had to ask MUST to stop spreading misinformation

so we'll let the jury decide on that one.

Anyway though, you're right it's yet another tedious distraction, so enough of that.
 
But nobody ever really addresses the whole question of what possible justification there can be for the way the Glazers are pillaging our club, and why we can't all just focus on how to get rid of the bastards.

I made it very clear that in this thread I wanted to focus on analysising our financials and looking at everything from primarily a business perspective.
I have said all along that I would be happy to discuss more general issues about the Glazers impact on the club in other suitable threads and I have given my opinion on these issues on several occasions in the past (particularly during discussion with ralphie).
 
Well done Interval, you obviously heard that everybody likes a smart-arse. Especially a patronising one who has totally missed the point of my question.

If you'd bothered read it, you'd see that the specific Andresred quote I was talking about purely talked about removing the A of GW from the profit figure. If you want to also exclude tax then fair enough, but that's not mentioned in the quote.

How you can claim I was "coming here and confidently saying that you're right" is beyond me - I was asking a question about something I didn't understand. Try stop being so aggressive and just talking about the issue maybe?

Fair enough.

Its not that I WANT to ignore the tax. But the implication (and andersred assumption) being that we would have to pay less tax if we hadn't had the Ronaldo income.

Also, I must apologise, it was just a momentary thing. Nowt to do with you.
 
I made it very clear that in this thread I wanted to focus on analysising our financials and looking at everything from primarily a business perspective.
I have said all along that I would be happy to discuss more general issues about the Glazers impact on the club in other suitable threads and I have given my opinion on these issues on several occasions in the past (particularly during discussion with ralphie).

Fair enough, though the title of the thread does specifically mention "Glazer taking cash out" but not "whether we broke even"...:smirk:
 
Also, I must apologise, it was just a momentary thing. Nowt to do with you.

Apology accepted - an unusual act of maturity for the caf (you spastic):smirk:

As I say, I think the debate on whether we would have MAPWTRS is getting a bit worn-out. None of it alters the fact that the profit or loss made, adn the efefct on cash-flow would have been massively improved without teh interest repayments.
 
As I've said plenty of times, of course MUST spin things to their argument, and produce exagerated soundbites - both sides do and you would expect nothing less.

No, that's not acceptable. If MUST aren't interested in telling the truth then why should any of us trust them? Why are they deceiving us? If their accusations against the Glazer ownership are not convincing enough without ridiculous exaggeration then why are they making them? MUST have absolutely no credibility whatsoever, they've shamelessly manipulated the fans with incorrect 'facts', misinformed 'interpretations', moronic soundbites and sensationalised journalism. Yet you'd 'expect nothing less'? Is it too much to ask then that they tell the truth and let us decide from that where we stand? If MUST think we need to be tricked into supporting them, and are ready and willing to trick us, then they stand for nothing and do not deserve to be associated with the United support.
 
Wrong.

Given the vast propoganda and spin offensives the club are able to push through media channels, if MUST weren't to also play the game their message would never be heard. They need the "we're all going to die!" headlines and soundbites to get any column inches and get people's attention.

Note: I am not talking about telling outright lies, which would not be acceptable, and I'm not aware of them having done. Quite rightly, once you go beyond the attnetnio grabbing headlines, their campaign is based on solid fact, and they are more than happy to let people make informed judgments based on the facts.

They will naturally highlight those facts which are petinent to their cause and not any "Glazer saves drowngin kitten" stories which come along, but what the hell do you expect? If you want impartial, balanced accounts form eithe MUFC or MUSt then your incredibly naive.
 
The Glazer family have released a statement confirming that Manchester United is not for sale and that they will not entertain any offers for the club.

THE END
 
I dont dispute what you are saying, but they are however the measurements that United are basing their valuation of the club upon, and using those figures to gain finance and investment.

Yes earnings will or at least should be expected to rise and thus goodwill isnt represented in a logical manner, but those are the yardsticks that they set out when they financed the business. They set those parameters. Not me, not you.. Its what they themselves set as their targets.

They have said that over 15 years they expect to realise £540 million from those assets. Its what they valued the goodwill at.

THe fact they arent meeting that valuation isnt justification to say "well just ignore it then"

They based their borrowings on the fact that over the 15 year period the goodwill would be amortized. They would have forecast that in their projections.

Do you seriously believe the banks would lend them the money if they turned up and said "heres our business plan, this is how we envisage it going, oh and by they way, just ignore those bits there because if things go bad and we fail to meet our business plan, those bits we can pretend dont exist"

The banks would have taken amortisation into account when they decided if they should lend them the money. Glazer would have taken them into account when he prepared his financing plans. If the banks and the Glazers had to take them into account, surely it follows that everyone else should too.

What those accounts show is that the business plan they prepared ( including their projections of goodwill and depreciation etc ) are not going as well as they hoped they would be.

I am not disputing theres more money coming in. My point is, they prepared a plan, and as thiings stand, its not going as well as they said it would be...

If there was a surplus after amortisation and depreciation no one would be saying ignore it.. Its only because its showing a deficit that people are asking it to be swept under the carpet.

Ultimately it boils down to this. They prepared a business plan and projected profits and earnings. They borrowed on the strength of those plans. Now those plans are showing somewhere, somehow, they got it wrong. They arent doing quite as well as they thought they would.

WHich is what I've been saying for 5 years. But everyone said "no.. no.. its fine... we arent in any bother". What happened.. they had to go to the city cap in hand with a begging letter saying "please bail us out the shit.. we fecked up"

There are some people who just wont accept that no matter what, the Glazers will keep telling you everything is fine and they are on track as per their plans. Each time it comes out that they havent achieved their desired targets, and they need to move the goalposts. THen suddenly everyone is running through hoops to suggest that the new goalposts are equally as achieveable as the last ones, even though the last ones were proven to be complete pie in the sky...

I'm not too sure where to start with this...

The best thing I can do is address your claim that ''United isn't performing as well as the Glazers thought it would''.

So I will direct you to the 2006 Investment Memorandum which the Glazers published when they were raising the bank debt for their first refinancing (very interesting read by the way for anyone else interested in this): http://andersred.googlegroups.com/w...SiETdg0Q2ffAyHU-dzc4BZkLnSFWX59nr5BxGqA&hl=en

Look for the ''Key Business Plan Assumptions'' on Page 53 of the document (P54 of the PDF) where you'll see the revenue and more importantly the EBITDA figures that they projected. Remember that United successfully refinanced on the back of these plans.

Note that back then in July 2006 they projected EBITDA to be £92.9m in the 2008/09 financial year.

The actual adjusted EBITDA for that period as revealed in January of this year was in fact £94m.

The truth is, Fred, the Glazers plans for United whether we like it or not ARE on track and ultimately there isn't a damn thing anyone can do about that.

I would suggest it is you who can't accept that fact.
 
To be fair to MUST, unless you can show that they have continued repeating the "would not have made a profit without the sale of Ronaldo" line after they were informed that it is an erroneous interpretation, accusing them of intellectual dishonesty and of a willingness to say anything to further their aims is more than a little ironic.

I've no doubt that MUST are in the business of propaganda, which is certainly not something that I appreciate, but that's not the same as purposeful deception, unless otherwise shown. I would lose a lot of respect for them as an organization if that were the case, because there is absolutely no need to inflate the case against the current ownership model, even if it requires a lot more effort to get an accurate narrative in to the wider consciousness.
 
What was the point of Gill coming out and saying we got £95m to spend.

That just means that valuations for players we might be looking at are going to be slightly increased after this declaration.
 
I'm not too sure where to start with this...

The best thing I can do is address your claim that ''United isn't performing as well as the Glazers thought it would''.

Not particularly getting involved with Fred's specific point, but it's worth pointing out that at the time SU, IMUSA and many other supporters claimed that the Glazers business model spelt nothing other than a world of shit for the club and it's supporters...

...And as you rightly say, it's all going exactly to plan!
 
What was the point of Gill coming out and saying we got £95m to spend.

That just means that valuations for players we might be looking at are going to be slightly increased after this declaration.

He didn't say that, he said we have around £95m cash in the bank.
 
What was the point of Gill coming out and saying we got £95m to spend.

That just means that valuations for players we might be looking at are going to be slightly increased after this declaration.

Yeah, they'll go up from 3m to 3.5m for our Tesco Value targets.
 
Not particularly getting involved with Fred's specific point, but it's worth pointing out that at the time SU, IMUSA and many other supporters claimed that the Glazers business model spelt nothing other than a world of shit for the club and it's supporters...

...And as you rightly say, it's all going exactly to plan!

''World of shit'' is an exaggeration but yes the matchgoing supporter (which includes me by the way) has had to endure a significant increase in the cost of attending matches at Old Trafford.

Anyway I thought we were trying to keep this thread strictly to the club's finances?

And I don't think I need to remind you what those same supporter groups said about United's actual financial situation under the Glazers Ownership.
 
Fair enough.

Its not that I WANT to ignore the tax. But the implication (and andersred assumption) being that we would have to pay less tax if we hadn't had the Ronaldo income.

Also, I must apologise, it was just a momentary thing. Nowt to do with you.

To be fair, if you're taxed on income, it's bound to be the case. You'll pay more tax on a player sold for £80m than £20m. I don't really see it as an issue.

AutoTrader would charge me more for selling my car for £3000 than £1000 but I'll make more money from it myself - same principle really.
 

The fact that they have released a statement saying that they have no intention of selling the club can be interpreted in several ways.

That's exactly what clubs say about players, for example, two weeks before agreeing to sell them. It might well be true that the Glazer's have no intention of selling the club, although that's not actually true, because there is certainly a figure that would persuade them to do so, but we'll only really find that out if and when they are offered a sizable amount of money for the club.
 
I'm not too sure where to start with this...

The best thing I can do is address your claim that ''United isn't performing as well as the Glazers thought it would''.

So I will direct you to the 2006 Investment Memorandum which the Glazers published when they were raising the bank debt for their first refinancing (very interesting read by the way for anyone else interested in this): http://andersred.googlegroups.com/w...SiETdg0Q2ffAyHU-dzc4BZkLnSFWX59nr5BxGqA&hl=en

Look for the ''Key Business Plan Assumptions'' on Page 53 of the document (P54 of the PDF) where you'll see the revenue and more importantly the EBITDA figures that they projected. Remember that United successfully refinanced on the back of these plans.

Note that back then in July 2006 they projected EBITDA to be £92.9m in the 2008/09 financial year.

The actual adjusted EBITDA for that period as revealed in January of this year was in fact £94m.

The truth is, Fred, the Glazers plans for United whether we like it or not ARE on track and ultimately there isn't a damn thing anyone can do about that.

I would suggest it is you who can't accept that fact.

Would you care to look at their player capital investment figures and tell me if they likewise are on line with what was forecast ?
 
OK - just had a quick glance...

Is that "Increase/(decrease) in cash" line not something to file under "Bad", seeing as it appears to report a decrease in cash, and cashflow is what its all about?
 
OK - just had a quick glance...

Is that "Increase/(decrease) in cash" line not something to file under "Bad", seeing as it appears to report a decrease in cash, and cashflow is what its all about?

Oh yes, just seen the tweets in the G&G thread.

Yes, those tweets are totally groundless. No money as of March 31st had left the club to repay any of the PIK loan. The reduction in cash from £122m at December 31st 2009 down to £96m by March 31st 2010 (not massive by any means) is just the result of seasonal cashflow and also legal fees paid out for the bond issue.
 
The reduction in cash from £122m at December 31st 2009 down to £96m by March 31st 2010 (not massive by any means) is just the result of seasonal cashflow and also legal fees paid out for the bond issue.

Can you understand how this all adds up to sounding a lot like explaining stuff away?

It's a constant stream of...

"The club only reported profits of £25m after selling Ronaldo":nervous:

"Oh, that's because of amortisation of Goodwill, it's the cash position you need to worry about.":D

"Phew. Hang on, We're £55m down in cash over the last 9 months!":eek:

"Oh, don't worry about that, it's seasonal and there were some legal fees".:D

At the end of the day, it's all sailing very close to the wind, and needs a constant stream of financial analysis to explain why it's not actually going tits up.

This from a club that, in essence, should be clearing a profit of tens of a millions of pounds, despite being able to spend big on players if required, and without worrying about a single red figure on the books.
 
Would you care to look at their player capital investment figures and tell me if they likewise are on line with what was forecast ?

Well, let's start by saying that player capital investment has nothing to do with and doesn't effect the level of EBITDA achieved (in accountancy terms anyway).

The net cash expenditure on players in the period since the Glazers takeover in May 2005 up to the end of March 2010 has been £57m. Now obviously that includes the quite extraordinary sale of Ronaldo for £80m 11 months ago. Given the extraordinary size of that fee (smashed the world record let's not forget) it would seem pretty daft to draw any definitive conclusion about the level of Capex on players under the Glazers ownership. Of course if you take that figure out of the equation you get a total outlay of £137m or roughly £27m a year. The average outlay in the three years before the sale of Ronaldo was £23m.

In short, we need to wait and see what the Capex is like over the next few years.

But none of that has anything to do with your point about how United isn't performing financially as well as the Glazers (and banks) had hoped.

Do you now agree that you were mistaken to think that?



Lunch-time
 
I think you are deliberately trying to play dumb here A1Dan - obviously the club has working capital requirements and has to spend money every month on wages etc - is that a suprise to you?

I wont actually have time to look at results until tonight/tomorrow so will reserve comment until then.
 
If I shut my eyes and dont look at the total debts attached to United, then I think I can see what Roodboy is on about.....
 
I think you are deliberately trying to play dumb here A1Dan - obviously the club has working capital requirements and has to spend money every month on wages etc - is that a suprise to you?

Well that's pretty much the point I was making ages ago, but you are just flip-flopping to whatever suits you.

On the one hand you say that we shouldn't be looking at proft and loss figures that include non-cash items, as it's all about whether we have cash.

But now you're telling me that cash flow isn't relevant and we should look at the long-term financial picture, which is precisely why accounts include non-cash items such as amortisation of player registrations, taxes etc.

Make your mind up!
 
Well, let's start by saying that player capital investment has nothing to do with EBITDA (in accountancy terms anyway).

The net cash expenditure on players in the period since the Glazers takeover in May 2005 up to the end of March 2010 has been £57m. Now obviously that includes the quite extraordinary sale of Ronaldo for £80m 11 months ago. Given the extraordinary size of that fee (smashed the world record let's not forget) it would seem pretty daft to draw any definitve conclusion about the level of Capex on players under the Glazers ownership. Of course if you take that figure out of the equation you get a total outlay of £137m or roughly £27m a year. The average outlay in the three years before the sale of Ronaldo was £23m.

In short, we need to wait and see what the Capex is like over the next few years.

But none of that has anything to do with your point about how United isn't performing financially as well as the Glazers (and banks) had hoped.

Do you now agree that you were mistaken to think that?



Lunch-time

Unless I am mistaken, when you prepare a business plan, you look at whats going to come in, whats going to go out, and you formulate a plan of action..

Now quite rightly, you mention the money coming in is what they projected.

Sadly, the money going out somehow doesnt match because they havent had to spend half of what the planned for.

So the money coming in is what they said it would be
THe money in the bank is what they said it would be
The debt is about the amount they projected it would be
But they havent spent what they said they would spend.

Unless you can dress up a credit agreement in a United top and stick him as a centre forward, then I would guess that what they said they would spend on players isnt being matched. That money is going elsewhere.
 
Well that's pretty much the point I was making ages ago, but you are just flip-flopping to whatever suits you.

On the one hand you say that we shouldn't be looking at proft and loss figures that include non-cash items, as it's all about whether we have cash.

But now you're telling me that cash flow isn't relevant and we should look at the long-term financial picture, which is exactl why accuonts include non-cash items such as amortisation of player registrations, taxes etc.

Make your mind up!

If you put a dress on a pig, and make it wear lipstick, should you ever be desperate for a shag, just pretend its Angelina Jolie....

If anyone tells you its not Angelina, just remind them that Angelina wears a dress and wears lipstick too. Thus that pig must be the same as Angelina...

the moral... anything can be what you want to to be if you just ignore the bits you dont like...
 
A couple of things on the balance sheet one of our "experts" could confirm...

Presumably the bond counts within shareholders’ funds, and none of the cash rasied from the bond has yet been used to pay of the senior debt?

Ie - that explains the increase in asstes and shareholders’ funds, and shortly the assets will drop by £4-500m along with the Creditors—amounts falling due after more than one year?

What form is that £4-500m currently in... it's not cash, it's under Current assets—other?

I also don't really get how the bonds can show as shareholders’ funds. Shareholder implies a degree of ownership and control - an equity stake in the company. That doesn't sound like bonds to me...
 
I've quickly scanned both "Financial Results" pdf's and the "Presentation of Results", and there doesn't appear to be anything of particular note that we didn't already know, which is unsurprising.

We are skint...

yup.. we knew that already....
 
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