Glazers could be gearing up to sell Manchester United
Financial analysts believe the Glazer family could be gearing up to sell Manchester United, after it emerged that the American owners intend to pay off £220 million in high-interest loans secured on their shareholding.
The motives behind the Glazers’ decision to pay off their controversial payment in kind (PIK) loans are unclear, as are the source of the funds.
But speculation is growing in the City that it could be the first step as part of a long-term strategy to sell the club the Americans bought in a debt-laden takeover in 2005.
If the interest on the loans, accruing interest at an astronomical 16.25 per cent, had been allowed to continue to ‘roll over’ until they matured in 2017, the total debt would have stood at more than £600m, on top of the £526m bond secured on the club itself.
“It could be seen as the housekeeping you do before you sell,” investment analyst and blogger Andy Green, who provided much of the material for the Panorama investigation into United’s finances last summer, told Goal.com UK.
“The PIKs were running out of control, particularly in light of the value that Liverpool was sold for. They were eating away at the value of their [the Glazers’] equity.
“If they were thinking about a sale or entertaining offers in the next year or few years, you would want to sort out the PIKs quickly, to stabilise them. This would be a sensible thing to do.”
There has been long-held concern among supporters that the Glazers would raid the club’s coffers, which have £151.7m of cash reserves, including the £80m Cristiano Ronaldo windfall.
However, the board confirmed in a statement yesterday accompanying the release of a quarterly financial update to bond holders that they have not touched the £95m dividend of club cash to which they are entitled.
Although a Glazer family spokesman told the BBC that no equity stake had been sold in the club, it will not quell speculation about their intentions.
“Paying off the PIKs would make the club more attractive to a buyer,” confirmed Emmanuel Hembert, football business expert for management consultants AT Kearney, to Goal.com UK. “The Glazers maybe realise that, in fact, by taking cash out of the club, they were really weakening it and the price they would be able to get for it.
“The big issue is the price they are expecting. They were talking over £1billion when the Red Knights wanted to bid. At that price, there will never be a buyer. Nobody would buy a football club for that type of money, for sure. The price of a football club is set by competition. There are not that many buyers at the moment.”
Nevertheless, David Bick, who worked as a financial consultant at Old Trafford before the Glazer takeover, went further by suggesting that a third party could be helping to pay down all the PIK debt next Monday.
“This is more likely to be is a pre-cursor to partial sale or whole sale to a new investor and the reason I say this is because; one – it allows them to pay off the PIK note which is horrendously expensive,” said Bick. “It must be, in financial terms, killing them.
‘So, the first thing a new investor could do for them is to help them pay off the PIK note. The second thing it could do is put some money into the Glazer’s pockets and the third, and crucial thing, and this where I think Manchester United will not be slow on the uptake, it will allow them to invest in the squad, which they clearly haven’t been doing that in any meaningful way over the last couple of years.
"And that means they’ll decline out of the top four if they don’t invest soon and, from what I hear, Sir Alex Ferguson has been insisting on that investment being made in the none too distant future.”
United chief of staff Ed Woodward had a 20-minute conference call with bond investors yesterday morning but those hoping for clarity on how the PIKs would be paid off next Monday – or the Glazers’ plans - were left disappointed.
Analysts believe that the most likely scenario is that the owners simply refinanced and paid off the high interest debt instruments with a new loan that will accrue at a less taxing rate of interest.
“We don’t know how they have done it,” continued Green. “Will we ever find out? If they have done the refinancing at a UK company level, somewhere along the line we will find out. If they have done it in America we will never find out because American companies are able to be far more secretive.
“It could just be a bit of financial jiggery-pokery that doesn’t change the situation. If they have found money from somewhere else totally separate to the club, it is good news. If they have just swapped old PIK debt into new debt we need to know the details.
“What is really outrageous is that the family doesn’t communicate with the fans. If I put my cynical hat on, if it was good news you would think they would want the whole world to know.”