AFCON 2023 (2024): AFCON 2025 Qualifiers

[el3mel]

And he scores !!!

This manager should be sacked after the tournament regardless of the end result. He's not using the squad to its full potential. We're not world beaters but we have better players he's not using, or using poorly.

Deciding to put Trezeguet on the bench after the first game as if he was responsible for not winning that match proves he has no clue.

 

[Rex Banner]

The commentator on the Egypt game is mental

 

[the_cliff]

This manager should be sacked after the tournament regardless of the end result. He's not using the squad to its full potential. We're not world beaters but we have better players he's not using, or using poorly.

Deciding to put Trezeguet on the bench after the first game as if he was responsible for not winning that match proves he has no clue.

It's not the first time with Trezeguet as well, he's saved you plenty of times in AFCON qualifying and the WCQs. Egypt are purring now though.

 

[PoTMS]

Egypt have won it at the death.

 

[Ole'sgunnarwin]

Unbelievable

 

[the_cliff]

What a goal. What a game.

 

[PoTMS]

VAR needs to get binned.

 

[Rex Banner]

Just seen the Ghana score. How have they blown that?

Surely need another angle here on this check?

 

[Annihilate Now!]

Ghana conceding two goals on stoppage time!

 

[KirkDuyt]

Surely this is not handball.

 

[the_cliff]

That's a goal come on. No way can they rule that out.

Edit: Goal, well deserved.

And Ghana have bottled it too !

 

[USREDEVIL]

How's Nigeria doing?

 

[el3mel]

Oh boy..

 

[Ole'sgunnarwin]

Best end of a group in history, doesn't get better than this

 

[the_cliff]

Wtf....

 

[el3mel]

Done by the GK for the 2nd game in a row.

 

[the_cliff]

Done by the GK for the 2nd game in a row.

Mozambique and Ghana is done. You finish 2nd anyway.

 

[el3mel]

Mozambique and Ghana is done. You finish 2nd anyway.

I know but it's annoying we threw that win away by silly mistakes.

 

[Ole'sgunnarwin]

If Egypt conceded again and lost, they'd still go through on 2 points.

 

[Rex Banner]

Crazy stuff. Ghana have blown it. Ivory Coast with a chance at redemption. Egypt are through, but I imagine there'll be a few third placed teams who finish with more points.

All credit to Cape Verde. Would love for them to go all the way.

 

[Samid]

Mad ending. Mad group in general. Team finishing on 7-3-2-2 points

 

[the_cliff]

Apparently this is the corner that Ghana conceded the equaliser from.


Got to love AFCON.

The look on Amarteys face....

 

[Samid]

Egypt have 7 Afcon draws in a row.

26 January 2022: Ivory Coast 0–0
30 January 2022: Morocco 1-1
3 February 2022: Cameroon 0–0
6 February 2022: Senegal 0–0
14 January 2024: Mozambique 2-2
18 January 2024: Ghana 2-2
22 January 2024: Cape Verde 2-2

The probability of a 25% chance event happening 7 times in a row is approximately 0.0244% or 0.000244.

 

[rooney2009]

I love the Afcon
What a tournament so far?

 

[Abizzz]

Egypt have 7 Afcon draws in a row.

26 January 2022: Ivory Coast 0–0
30 January 2022: Morocco 1-1
3 February 2022: Cameroon 0–0
6 February 2022: Senegal 0–0
14 January 2024: Mozambique 2-2
18 January 2024: Ghana 2-2
22 January 2024: Cape Verde 2-2

The probability of a 25% chance event happening 7 times in a row is approximately 0.0244% or 0.000244.

If anything it's surely a 1/3 event?

 

[Samid]

If anything it's surely a 1/3 event?

If it was rock paper scissors yes. Draws in football are statistically rarer than either team winning.

 

[Abizzz]

If it was rock paper scissors yes. Draws in football are statistically rarer than either team winning.

Probably slightly but I'd need to see a lot of statistics to be convinced that in a format where draws are possible it's only 1 in 4. Especially when played on neutral ground. Feels like they are abundant in most group stages of international tournaments.

 

[massi83]

Amazing stuff on stoppage time!

Egypt have 7 Afcon draws in a row.

26 January 2022: Ivory Coast 0–0
30 January 2022: Morocco 1-1
3 February 2022: Cameroon 0–0
6 February 2022: Senegal 0–0
14 January 2024: Mozambique 2-2
18 January 2024: Ghana 2-2
22 January 2024: Cape Verde 2-2

The probability of a 25% chance event happening 7 times in a row is approximately 0.0244% or 0.000244.

You did just 6 by accident.

 

[massi83]

Ivory Coast will go through if Morocco beats Zambia.

 

[Fanatic 00237]

This Afcon is absolutely mental! This final round of group phase matches has begun with very exciting games.

Equatorial Guinea and Cape Verde (who both rarely ever even succeed to qualify for the main tournament) finishing top of their groups with the Ivory Coast, Nigeria, Egypt and Ghana! Who’d have thunk?

Like others have said, Senegal have looked the most solid of all the favourites so far. I think they might just have a second consecutive Afcon win here.

 

[Rood]

What was that all about in the Morocco game??

Press going with accusations of racism but I watched Mbemba's post match interview and he accuses the Morocco manager of saying something bad to him but as far as I can tell doesn't mention anything about racism

https://www.moroccoworldnews.com/20...ncel-mbembas-racist-accusations-are-dishonest

 

[Samid]

 

[Captmfla]

Do you guys prefer to watch Afcon or asian Cup?

 

[FootballHQ]

Last looked at the scores when Ghana were 2-0 up and cruising into knock outs.

No way Hughton survives, they'd already lost in World cup qualifying to Comoros late last year.

 

[Captmfla]

Haha the group stages is easy stuff for the strong countries. 16 out of 24 teams will qualify from group stages. And every group has a really weak team based on their seeds.

 

[Rood]

Do you guys prefer to watch Afcon or asian Cup?

AFCON is widely available in UK, some matches even free to air on BBC - Asia Cup I have no idea where to watch it

Don't know about rest of the world

 

[the_cliff]

Haha the group stages is easy stuff for the strong countries. 16 out of 24 teams will qualify from group stages. And every group has a really weak team based on their seeds.

Not in the AFCON. So far just 2 groups have played all their games, Ivory Coast have one leg out of the competition and would be relying on a miracle to make it through and Ghana are going home.

Today there's a chance that both Cameroon and Algeria won't make it through.

 

[teague]

Probably slightly but I'd need to see a lot of statistics to be convinced that in a format where draws are possible it's only 1 in 4. Especially when played on neutral ground. Feels like they are abundant in most group stages of international tournaments.

Last year there were 952 International matches played and 207 of them were draws (21.7%)
257 of those matches were on neutral grounds and and 61 of them were draws (23.7%)

 

[Abizzz]

Last year there were 952 International matches played and 207 of them were draws (21.7%)
257 of those matches were on neutral grounds and and 61 of them were draws (23.7%)

Cheers. Assuming those are correct my initial feeling was way off.

 

[teague]

Cheers. Assuming those are correct my initial feeling was way off.

I got the raw data from here: https://www.kaggle.com/datasets/martj42/international-football-results-from-1872-to-2017/data
Looks legit to me.